Posts Tagged ‘WTO’

INDIAN ECONOMY – GAINING STRENGTH Final Part :0

Thank you friends for viewing the first part. Now i am posting the final part here enjoy:)

4.Fresh Investments – Infrastructure being one of the key thrust areas on government agenda would continue to see large investments coming in going ahead. Even the corporate are expected to continue with the capacity additions in the light of huge anticipated demand.

.

.


After the sharpest decline in more than 70 years, world trade is set to rebound in 2010 by growing at 9.5%, according to WTO. Exports from developed economies are expected to increase by 7.5% in volume terms over the course of the year while shipments from the rest of the world (including developing economies and the Commonwealth of independent States) should rise by around 11% as the world emerges from recession. This strong expansion will help recover some, but by no means all, of the ground lost in 2009 when the global economic crisis sparked a 12.2% contraction in the volume of global trade – the largest such decline since world war II . Should trade continue to expand at its current pace, the economists predict, it would not take much of the time to surpass the peak level of 2008 in terms of the volume growth.

.

.

Coming back to India front, the continued demand revival in major markets such as the US and European Union, led exports to remain in the positive territory for the fourth consecutive month with shipments in February growing by 34.8% to $16.09 billion from $11.94 billion during February 2009. India’s Imports too saw a growth of 66.4% to $25.05 billion from $15.06 billion in the corresponding period. Cumulative value of imports for the period April, 2009- February, 2010 showed a degrowth of 13.5% to $248.04 billion from $287.09 billion in the corresponding period as a result of both lower international crude oil prices and slowdown in domestic economic activity.

.

India’s two-way trade (merchandize exports plus imports), as proportion of GDP is close to 35%. Now, with the expected improvement in the global trade it would further give a fillip to the economic growth.

.

The services sector contributes around 65% to GDP. The lead indicators of service sector activity show that, services such as tourist arrivals, cargo handled by seaports and airports, and passengers handled by international terminals which are dependent on external demand are showing recovery with the improvement in global climate. However, services dependent on domestic demand have exhibited a robust and steady growth during 2009-2010, so far.

.

In sum, the expected normal monsoon, buoyancy in industrial production & services suggests continuation of growth momentum. With the fiscal deficit being addressed by the government with large focus on infrastructure spending, improvement in corporate sentiments with respect to capital spending & RBI taking steps to withdraw monetary accommodations in a calibrated way is expected to take economic growth back to 9% levels.

.

Stay tuned for more update like this :)

World Trade Organization (WTO) Chief Says Hopes of Doha Deal are Uncertain

The World Trade Organization (WTO) chief insisted members to resist protectionist pressure in the wake of the economic crisis, but said hopes of an early deal to free up international commerce are uncertain.

However, he said that in February this year, the global economic downturn was peaking while less than a year on; progress has been made but is not yet out of the woods.

Meanwhile, he said that the volume of world trade this year would decline a little more than 10%, which is unprecedented in modern times while in this environment, pressure for protectionist actions with their illusory gains for the domestic economy, will not necessarily diminish any time soon.

Further, success in completing the Doha round of trade talks next year as scheduled was vital to signal business and consumer confidence, and would strengthen the hand of governments as they confront protectionist pressures
.
On the other hand, this will not occur unless they are all ready for heavy political lifting at home while there would be a “crunch time meeting” in the first quarter to check if the goal was attainable.

RBI to Assess Affairs of Foreign Banks Operating in India

RBI to Assess Affairs of Foreign Banks Operating in India

RBI to Assess Affairs of Foreign Banks Operating in India

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) decided to run a detailed assessment of the risk-management capabilities and evaluate the transparency in financial affairs of all foreign banks operating in India with an aim to ensure that they do not pose any systemic risk to the banking sector.

🙂

However, until this process is finished, foreign banks are doubtful to be permitted to open more branches in India while India has committed to allowing 12 new branches to foreign banks in a year, but has been more liberal.


Moreover, this has resulted in a high presence of foreign banks in India as their WTO commitment allows them to deny licenses to foreign banks once their share in the total assets of the banking system exceeds 15%.


Additionally, as it comes in the aftermath of the financial crisis, the audit reflects concerns over an unduly large presence of foreign banks creating risks for Indian financial markets.


Meanwhile, the finance ministry and the central bank had always supported allowing foreign banks to operate in India as they thought that increased presence of foreign banks boosts the efficiency of the domestic banking sector.

China pips Germany to Become World’s No.1 Exporter

China is world’s No. 1 exporter

China has become the world’s largest exporter surpassing Germany, the World Trade Organisation (WTO) has said.

🙂

China piped Germany—which held the No. 1 slot since 2003—by a slim margin of $10 million after exporting goods worth $521.7 billion in the first half of 2009.

🙂

The latest figures have put China and Germany in a desperate race to establish themselves firmly at the zenith in 2009-end and in 2010.

Independent experts, including a WTO economist, have said it’s still too early to say that China would remain ahead of Germany by the end of 2009.

🙂

But elated Chinese economists have predicted that the country will continue to grow and never give up this special position which it has achieved for the first time.

🙂

China will surpass Japan to become the world’s second-biggest economy this year if the exchange rate factor did not come in the way, as expected by experts.

🙂

China’s exports to all its 12 major trading partners have risen rapidly in the past two years.

China’s share in the trade of these 12 countries, including the US and European countries, climbed from 16.2% during the first quarter to 19.3% in early 2008.

🙂

The WTO had predicted last July that China would pass Germany as the largest exporter in 2009.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said the ratio of China’s foreign trade to global trade will increase from the current 8.7% to 10% when the global economy recovers.

🙂

However experts have a piece of advise for Chinese exporters that their is need for them to shift their focus to emerging markets—instead of the US and Europe—to enhance their competitiveness.

🙂

China has become the world’s largest exporter surpassing Germany, the World Trade Organisation (WTO) has said. China piped Germany—which held the No. 1 slot since 2003—by a slim margin of $10 million after exporting goods worth $521.7 billion in the first half of 2009.

The latest figures have put China and Germany in a desperate race to establish themselves firmly at the zenith in 2009-end and in 2010. Independent experts, including a WTO economist, have said it’s still too early to say that China would remain ahead of Germany by the end of 2009. But elated Chinese economists, including Li Daokui of Tsinghua University, have predicted that the country will continue to grow and never give up this special position which it has achieved for the first time.

“The figure is not surprising, thanks to the nation’s growing economic strength. And possibilities are high that the momentum will continue,’’ Li was quoted in the official media as saying.

China will surpass Japan to become the world’s second-biggest economy this year if the exchange rate factor did not come in the way, Cai Haitao, inspector of the department of policy research under the ministry of commerce, was quoted in the official media as saying.

China’s exports to all its 12 major trading partners have risen rapidly in the past two years. China;s share in the trade of these 12 countries, including the US and European countries, climbed from 16.2% during the first quarter to 19.3% in early 2008.

The WTO had predicted last July that China would pass Germany as the largest exporter in 2009. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said the ratio of China’s foreign trade to global trade will increase from the current 8.7% to 10% when the global economy recovers.

Cai advised that Chinese exporters need to shift their focus to emerging markets—instead of the US and Europe—to enhance their competitiveness.