Posts Tagged ‘USA’

China May Become World Largest Economy by 2030 : Report

China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030

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As per the latest report by Deutsche Bank, the economic and financial status of emerging market economies such as India and China will continue to do well in the future and the recent downturn will help accelerate the trend.

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Report also suggests that the (BRIC) economies” increasing size will be making itself increasingly felt in the world markets, ranging from trade and investment to commodity markets.

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Meanwhile, the BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China are likely to achieve significant growth in future.

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Meanwhile, BRIC nations are already ranked among the top 10 on a PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) basis.

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The impressive economic growth rates and greater participation in global trade and financial flows by the BRIC economies are re-shaping the global economic and financial architecture of these economies.

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It is expected that with the constant present growth of the BRIC economies, political, economic and financial realities  of the world is going to change to the extent that China will replace the US as the World’’s largest economy by 2030.

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All the four big BRIC economies carry at least one investment grade rating, currently, at the same time.

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Moreover, China’’s and Russia’’s international status has been enhanced due to their substantial holdings of government controlled foreign assets.

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Global Market Outlook 2009 and 2010 :)

SMC Market Outlook

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With markets giving returns on investment more than 79% in 2009 and showing a strong sign of recovery from mid 2009 on the back of strong domestic demand, policy reforms and stimulus packages, 2009 calendar year emerged as the best year for investors since 2000.

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FII’s have once again proved to be the front runners in terms of the inflow, pumping more than Rs 82,000 crore in the Indian market this calendar.

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But 2010 promises to be another testing year as fiscal and monetary stimulus in many of the world’s major economies begins to wane.

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After being in consolidation for most of the month, in the week gone by the domestic markets suddenly jumped back to life and closed at their highest in 19 months as investors rushed to buy stocks on renewed optimism, after foreign direct investment into the nation jumped 60% in the first eight months of this fiscal year.

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The FM`s comments on GDP growth and encouraging cues from global markets also boosted the market.

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Both the indices, Sensex and Nifty made a new high for 2009 on the eve of Christmas, rekindling the festive spirit.

Bulls were in a mood of rejoice as Christmas took Nifty to a new high of 5,197.90.

The year ends with more than a spark of hope, and next year seems to be a stable and profitable one.

However, we believe that markets would continue to be volatile and hence it is important to manage risk in the coming year too.


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For the forthcoming week, markets may remain volatile as traders will roll their positions in the derivative segment from December 2009 series to January 2010 series ahead of the expiry of the near month December 2009 contracts on Thursday, 31 December 2009.

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On the flip side higher advance tax figures by India Inc which suggests better Q3 December 2009 results, may support the market.

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Corporate advance tax payments for the quarter were up 44% to Rs 48,300 crore against a 3.7% decline in April-June quarter and a 14.7% increase in July-September quarter.

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The global developments also need to be seen for any further directions.

Furthermore, food price index data for the year to 19 December 2009 will be closely watched which is going to release on Thursday, 31 December 2009.

The high food price inflation is a major worry for the policymakers as they contemplate a right approach to tame hike in inflation which seems to be more of a supply side issue.

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The next quarterly review of monetary policy is scheduled on 29 January 2010 which may also give some direction to the markets.

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On the global economic front, the US economy grew at a revised annual growth rate of 2.2% in the third quarter, much slower than initially projected.

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Japan’s unemployment rate rose to 5.2 percent from 5.1 percent in October, for the first time in four months in November, an indication job growth may not be strong enough to support the economy’s recovery from its deepest postwar recession.

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The world stock markets are not ready to react on the downside and after every consolidation they are moving up only.

4960 on nifty is strong support as was mentioned in last week magazine and the nifty touched there and moved up sharply.

Even the base metals and stocks are not reacting to the strong dollar.

Till the trend of stock markets is up, one should be playing from the long side of it.

Nifty has support between 5050-4970 and Sensex between 17100-16700 levels.

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New Year celebration may result in thin trading this week.It may impact domestic bourses as well.

Regarding outlook, dollar index will give next direction to precious metals. If it notices a pause in its rally then precious metals may trade in a range or vice a versa.

Base metals will remain volatile.

Gap between lead and zinc should shrink gradually.

Fresh buying in steel may keep nickel at higher side.

If US crude and other inventories continue to decline then fresh buying will stimulate in crude oil.

However, it already saw spiky moves hence upside is limited.

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China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030 : Report

China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030

As per the latest report by Deutsche Bank, the economic and financial status of emerging market economies such as India and China will continue to do well in the future and the recent downturn will help accelerate the trend.

.

Report also suggests that the (BRIC) economies” increasing size will be making itself increasingly felt in the world markets, ranging from trade and investment to commodity markets.

.

Meanwhile, the BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China are likely to achieve significant growth in future.

.

Meanwhile, BRIC nations are already ranked among the top 10 on a PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) basis.

.

The impressive economic growth rates and greater participation in global trade and financial flows by the BRIC economies are re-shaping the global economic and financial architecture of these economies.

.

It is expected that with the constant present growth of the BRIC economies, political, economic and financial realities  of the world is going to change to the extent that China will replace the US as the World”s largest economy by 2030.

.

All the four big BRIC economies carry at least one investment grade rating, currently, at the same time.

.

Moreover, China”s and Russia”s international status has been enhanced due to their substantial holdings of government controlled foreign assets.

.

🙂

Centre May Raise Coffee Package to Rs 802 Crores

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the globe.

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Centre may raise coffee package to Rs 802 cr

Centre may raise coffee package to Rs 802 cr

Centre may raise coffee package to Rs 802 cr:

The Centre is likely to increase the debt relief package for coffee growers to Rs 802 crore, 58 per cent more than the recommendations of Coffee Board, Union minister of law and justice, M Veerappa Moily said.

There are discussions at different stages to work out the package.

The figures of the total loan owed by the coffee industry to banks are Rs 1,700 crore.

The coffee board recommended a scheme for Rs 504 crore.

The coffee growers are in need of an urgent relief package, so as to give them a one-time life line to come out of the crisis.

The coffee industry is continuously facing low productivity due to drought of 2003 and 2004, which have had a domino effect on productivity.

In Other major Commodities Updates we can see how Corn, Soybeans advanced on the Speculation of excess rains which can delay the harvesting of crops”.

Corn, Soybeans Rally on Speculation Rains to Delay U.S. Harvest:

Corn and soyabeans advanced on the concern that higher-than-normal rainfall in parts of the U.S. may raise the risk of yield losses in the world’s biggest exporter of both crops.

Above average rainfall was forecast in producing states, including Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska and Indiana between Nov. 21 and Nov. 25, according to a U.S. Climate Prediction Center report dated Nov. 15.

The four states are among the biggest corn and soybean growing areas in the U.S. Corn for March delivery added as much as 0.9 percent to $4.0925 a bushel in after-hours electronic trading on the Chicago Board of Trade, and was at $4.09 as of 9:58 a.m. Singapore time.

Soybeans for January delivery climbed as much as 1.4 percent to $10.0125 a bushel in Chicago and last traded at $9.9475.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

Indian Export to Register 10% Growth during 2010-11 :)

India-exports-growth

With all sectors including textile showing recovery, the total export from India is likely to register 10% increase during 2010-11.

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However, the growth during this fiscal (2009-10) would be either flat or marginally negative, although export observed a marginal decrease during the last financial year due to global recession.

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While, it is said that almost all the sectors in India were showing a stimulation or plus-growth, including automobile, plantation and engineering.

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On the other hand, it is said that the economic situation is not really that bad and there is a sign of revival during the last two to three months whereas the year 2010-11 is said to be good for all the sectors, particularly textile, which was feeling the ”cyclic pinch” and that would be back to business in the year.

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Though textile would continue to remain weak in 2009, there could be recovery in the year 2010 and once the demand from the USA and EU improves, it is expected to achieve a reasonable growth 🙂

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However, though there was a steep export growth in textiles and clothing in the first half of 2008-09, there had been slowdown in demand from major markets, USA and EU, due to the global economic crisis.

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India on way to Become 3rd Largest Steel Producer by 2013.

India-3rd largest-steel-producer

The capacity expansions being carried out by various steel majors and the increase in crude steel production has pushed up India’s ranking to the fifth largest crude steel producer in the world.

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However, during the financial year 2008-2009, India produced 55 million tonne of steel and became the fifth largest steel producer stated Goutam Kumar Basak, Executive Secretary of the Joint Plant Committee (JPC) constituted by the Government of India.

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Additionally, as per the data available with JPC they have produced 22.14 million tonnes of steel during April-August this year, a jump by 6.6% compared to the figure of corresponding period last year.

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The capacity expansions being carried out by various steel majors and the increase in crude steel production has pushed up India’s ranking to the fifth largest crude steel producer in the world.

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Moreover, he expressed assurance that the steel sector would produce 60 million tonne steel this financial year.

On the other hand, China, which produced 501 million tonnes last year, was the leading steel producers in the world followed by Japan(119 million tonnes), USA (91 Million tonnes), Russia (69 Million tonnes).

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India, which had earlier set itself the target of becoming the world’s third largest steel producer by 2013, is also aiming to produce 124 mt of steel by 2011-12, as per the 11Th five year plan.

Going by the production of steel in the country so far, India is on its way to become the third largest steel producer in the world very soon.

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