Posts Tagged ‘SMC capital’

Indian Stock Traders To Contend With Fewer Holidays in 2010 !

Indian Stock Traders To Contend With Fewer Holidays in 2010

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Indian brokerages and traders would have to contend with fewer trading holidays in 2010, going by the list of weekdays on which the markets will remain closed in 2010.

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Moreover, they would have to put in longer hours this year owing to the decision of stock exchanges to increase the trading hours.

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In comparison to 2009, when there were 19 holidays throughout the year, the projected number of public holidays in 2010 has dropped to just 11, including the first day of the year.

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As per the official of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), this is certainly not by design.

Eight holidays this year — including Dussehra, Guru Nanak’s birthday, Christmas, Independence Day — fall either on a Saturday or Sunday,” he said.

“It’s only that we have mentioned them on our holiday list.”

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According to SMC Capital’s Jagannadham Thunuguntla, the Securities and Exchange Board of India was already contemplating a cut in the number of holidays to align the Indian markets with other peers, where trading holidays are restricted to six-seven a year.

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“This year, coincidentally, this has fallen in place. Many festivals and events are on weekends. That’s why, if you notice, today has been declared a holiday as a consolation to us,” Thunuguntla told.

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The authorities at the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) have not only increased the trading hours by 55 minutes but have also decided not to advance the opening bell this year .

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From Jan 4 onwards, trading will commence at 9 a.m., while the closing bell will ring at 3.30 p.m. in a move intended to woo foreign funds from other major Asian markets like Singapore and Hong Kong.

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Corporate India set to prefer QIPs for Funds Raising in 2010

Corporate India set to prefer QIPs for Funds Raising in 2010

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Merchant bankers are of view that Qualified institutional placements (QIPs) are expected to still be the preferred route to raise money in 2010.

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Earlier, QIPs  had gained traction during the middle of the year but ran into valuation headwinds in the last quarter of 2009.

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In 2009, Indian companies had raised close to Rs 33,000 crore by way of 45 QIP issuances.

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Also, about 33 QIP issuances are trading above the issue price, while 12 issuances are trading below the issue price.

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2009 was the year of the QIPs.

QIPs are expected to rule the roost, as there is serious interest and appetite in the overseas markets for instruments like converts/ADRs/GDRs.

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QIP, which was introduced in May 2006, picked up momentum in 2007 and then stagnated in 2008 when the market was in a bear grip.

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Delhi-based real estate company Unitech successfully raised $325 million through a QIP in mid-April 2009.

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Later, Indiabulls Real Estate and PTC India raised Rs 2,657 crore and Rs 500 crore, respectively, through such placements.

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QIP is a private placement by which a company sells its shares to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) on a discretionary basis with the two-week average price being the floor.

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In a QIP, unlike an IPO or PE investment, the window is shorter (four weeks) and money can be raised quickly.

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According to a study by SMC Capital, the 45 QIP issuances have resulted into a mark-to-market (MTM) return of about more than 21.60 per cent, amounting to a profit of about Rs 7,050 crore.

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Some of the QIP issuances trading significantly above the issue price are Unitech (first round of QIP issuance), Emami, Shree Renuka Sugars, HCC , United Spirits, Dewan Housing, etc.

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Those trading below the issue price are Network 18 Fincap, REI Agro, Indiabulls Financial Services, Punj Lloyd, Delta Corp.

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“The overall positive listing performance of QIPs in 2009 will encourage investors as well as Indian corporates to access this route for fund-rising in an aggressive manner,” says Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head, SMC Capitals.

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QIPs had hit a pause button when a large percentage of them ran into valuation headwinds, resulting in companies raising a much smaller amount than what was initially proposed.

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🙂

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Retail Investors Turn Cautious Towards IPOs

Retail Investors Turn Cautious Towards IPOs

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Aggressive IPO pricing and poor post-listing performances have made retail investors extremely cautious this year.

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😦

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Of the Rs 18,407 crore collected through IPOs, the retail investor portion was subscribed 1.86 times on an average, according to a research report by SMC Capital.

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Qualified institutional buyers‘ portion was subscribed by 11.42 times and high net worth individuals’ portion by 8.49 times.

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IPOs this year were subscribed 7.64 times.

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Of the 19 IPOs, the retail portions of five issues were not even fully subscribed, while five just about managed to get subscribed.

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Many retail Investors have decided against putting money into recent IPOs after looking at the post-listing performances of stocks that were listed earlier.

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Only shares of six companies are trading above their issue prices – these include Mahindra Holidays, Oil India and Cox and Kings (India).

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A lot of investors had saved up, especially for the NHPC IPO.  But when it listed poorly these investor must have suffered hugely.

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As per the market experts , a lot of the IPOs that came out this year have been highly priced, which has made the already skeptical retail investor stay away from the primary market.

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Bunch of retail investors are looking at “short-term gains”, so they now prefer to invest their money in the secondary markets rather than in IPOs, market experts feel.

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If one goes by the DRHPs filed with SEBI, there are approximately Rs 29,000 crore worth of IPOs in the pipeline, said Mr Jagannadham Thunuguntla, Equity Head at SMC Capital.

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🙂

QIPs account for 60% of funds raised by India Inc

Qualified Institutional Placements (QIP) contrib-uted Rs 6 out of every Rs 10 raised by Indian companies from domestic sources in January-November 2009. Simply put, Indian companies raised Rs 47,419 crore from domestic sources in the 11 months of this year with QIP funds accounting for Rs 28,726 crore (about 60 per cent).


In the same 11 months of 2008, India Inc raised Rs 2,104 by means of QIPs out of the total Rs 48,807 crore garnered from domestic so-urces, shows a study by New Delhi-based SMC Capitals. This means that in 2009 QIPs account for more than half of total funds raised. Just to put the things in perspective, QIPs am-ounted for only 4.3 per cent of the funds raised during January to November 2008. This underlines the kind of domination QIPs have sho-wn in 2009; and QIPs have truly come to the rescue of cash-starved Indian corporates, said Jagannadham Thun-uguntla, Equity Head at SMC Capitals.

The funds raised thro-ugh IPOs as a percentage of total funds raised through domestic sources is to the tune of 31.7 per cent during January-November, at Rs 15,043 crore compared to that in January-November 2008, which was 34.8 per cent at Rs 16,995 crore, supported heavily by the Reliance Po-wer mega IPO of 2008. The funds mopped up from ADRs/GDRs have jumped up by more than 29 times from $0.1 billion in January to November 2008 to $ 3.15 billion in January to November 2009.

Company Insiders Sold Shares Worth Rs.15K Crores

Company Insiders Sold Shares Worth Rs.15 K Crores

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Company insiders, including top management and promoters, have sold shares in their firms worth about Rs.14,950 crore in the past three months.

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This was most perhaps done to cash in on the steep rise in prices during the recent rally and signaling that the market may be fully valued.

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“Insiders are cashing out some part of their shares.

That shows the market is no longer undervalued,” says Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head of research at SMC Capital Ltd.

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Since the Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark hit a low of 8,160 points on 9 March earlier this year,

the 30-stock Sensex, India’s most widely tracked index, has risen 103.81%

as foreign investors injected $15.42 billion (Rs 72,165 crore) into the markets, enticed by the prospect of economic growth.

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🙂

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While major Western economies are barely emerging from a deep recession,

India’s economic output is expected to expand at least 6%, according to estimates by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), making it the second fastest growing major economy.

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🙂

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Insider sales include those by promoters, top management such as chief executive officers and chief financial officers, as well as sales of treasury stock.

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While insider trades are reported to the stock exchanges, only the number of shares is disclosed.

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Often, such sales take place over a period of time.

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SMC Capital has played a role in the compilation of the data.

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Insider transactions also include share purchases.

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On an overall basis, company insiders bought shares worth around Rs 5,194 crore during the same period, or around one-third of the Rs 14,950 crore of shares sold.

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🙂

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A large part of these have happened in the last six months because people are still sceptical about the sustainability of the recovery.

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“No one has any conviction on how long this bull market will last,” said SMC’s Thunuguntla.

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🙂

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Indeed, with the pace of economic recovery in the West still under question, a potential debt default by Dubai government-promoted entities rocked global markets last week,

sending the Sensex down 3.3% in just two days of trading.

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Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? “No” Says India’s Think Tank :)

 

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? "No" Says India's Think Tank


Indian policy-makers
are not really worried over the potential adverse impact on the country’s economy because of the multi-billion-dollar debt default risk faced by Dubai World, ranked among the largest conglomerates in the region.

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Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said “India is a very large economy. It is a resilient economy”.

“I don’t think some development in real estate in Dubai will have an impact on the Indian economy” he added.

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🙂

He also said “As far as India is concerned, the housing, real estate sector and construction industry are all doing well.

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This is confirmed by the increasing demand for construction materials, cement and steel,”

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Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla also saw little impact of the Dubai World’s woes on the country’s economy.

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Though he was a trifle more circumspect and preferred to watch the situation before hazarding a guess.

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“We will have to study what the issue is, what is the problem, what will be the possible implication if any for the Indian economy, the people and corporates,” Chawla told.

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Asked if the crisis will impact money flows into India,since the Gulf region accounts for over half the total inward remittances worth over $25 billion annually from expatriate Indians,

Chawla said: “It’s unlikely.”

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The state-run Dubai World stunned the global financial world Thursday when it announced it would need to restructure its debt, estimated at $59 billion, to preempt default and asked creditors for a six-month deferment.

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The conglomerate, which has a host of companies under its fold, has interests in a wide range of businesses such as realty, infrastructure, logistics and economic zones.

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And that is not just in the region but across a clutch of countries including India.

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Indian equities reacted adversely to the development, with the benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) down as much as 634.16 points, or 3.76 percent, midway into the trading session Friday.

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It later recovered and closed with a loss of some 220 points, or 1.3 percent over the previous close.

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Indian markets have rallied more than 100 percent from the lows a year ago,mostly backed by news of recovery and not necessarily on fundamentals,”

said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of brokerage firm SMC Capital.

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“This is why such news will have a negative impact on our markets and we will be dragged down,” Thunuguntla, who heads the equities division of SMC Capital told.

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Even some Gulf-based companies, like Emmar, which have business interests in India, said there will be virtually no impact on their ongoing projects in India.

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The response was similar from India’s leading engineering and construction major Larsen and Toubro Ltd, which said its exposure in Dubai was around $20-$25 million.

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🙂

India’s Investment in the US Bonds Stands Lowest Among BRIC Nations

India's Investment in US Bonds Stands Least Among BRIC Nations


India
stands least exposed among the other BRIC nations with respect to their respective foreign exchange reserves.

This is in addition to the recent development where it got evident that India has reduced its investments in US Treasury bonds between May and September.

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India’s investment in the US bonds stands at $35.90 billion as per the latest data released by the US Department of Treasury on November 17, as on September 30.

However, India’s investment in the US bonds is the lowest among all BRIC nations.

China’s investment in the bonds remained the highest at $798.9 billion.

Brazil’s exposure was $144.90 billion, followed by Russia at $121.80 billion.

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In terms of percentage of exposures to the US bonds to each of these economy’s total foreign exchange reserves also, India was the lowest.

India’s exposure to US bonds was 12.81 per cent of its forex reserves of $280.34 billion in September compared with

64.63 per cent of Brazil, 35.15 per cent of China, and 29.46 per cent of Russia.

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India’s forex reserves and US bond investments ratio improved during the period between May and September this year as its forex reserves went up.

In May, the ratio was 14.79 per cent on the forex reserves of $262.31 billion.

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Mr Jagannadham Thunuguntla of SMC Capital said: “With less exposure to US treasury bonds, India stands least vulnerable to US dollar depreciation in comparison to its BRIC peers”.

The current trend showed that though China and Russia too reduced their vulnerability ratio during May-September, Brazil increased it, Mr Thunuguntla said.


Brazil has forex reserves worth $224 billion, while Russia has $413.45 billion.

China has $2,272 billion foreign exchange reserves.

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