Posts Tagged ‘Shanghai’

Weekly Equity Update 21st-28th August :)

Weekly Update

After closing almost flat in penultimate week, in the week gone by markets closed in green terrain following the global markets which rallied to 10-month highs buoyed by renewed hopes that the global economic recovery is gathering pace and is pulling out of its deepest recession since the 1930s.

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Closer home, revival of monsoon rains, fresh buying by FIIs and firm European market boosted sentiment.

Moreover the statement made by FM that government expects GDP growth to accelerate to over 8% in 2010-11, with the economy showing signs of recovery, acted as a booster to markets.

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However it is expected that higher food prices will lead to WPI inflation accelerating to 6% in the fiscal year to March 2010.

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On the world economic front, the US economy shrank at an annual pace of 1% between April and June 2009, unchanged from an initial estimate released last month.

From the United Kingdom, its economy contracted 0.7% in the second quarter as the recession prompted companies to cut investment and inventories while consumers scaled back spending.

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Japan‘s exports tumbled and stood at 35.7% for a tenth straight month in July as demand from all of the nation’s major markets deteriorated.

Trend of all markets is up though Shanghai has topped out and moving down which is a cause of concern.

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Nifty has support between 4600-4500 and Sensex between 15500-15000.

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Once again commodities have shown the buoyancy that they can hold the support.

One or two day’s correction in the prices couldn’t break the trend of commodities. However upside is limited.

Resembling last week, current week as well is jam-packed of event risk as GDP data of many countries will release which will make commodities volatile throughout the week accordingly.

Precious metals may trade in a range with upward bias.

Back at home, to see more upside it has to trade above the level of 15000 in MCX.

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In agro commodities, buying may return in spices as recent fall in the prices has made Indian parity more competitive in international market.

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MARKET OUTLOOK

Trend of all markets is up though Shanghai has topped out and moving down which is a cause of concern.

It seems that currently US markets are determining the overall trend and our markets might be linked up with US markets now as we have broken above 4730 Nifty.

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If US markets don’t react, then we should be seeing higher levels ahead.

Nifty has support between 4600-4500 and Sensex between 15500-15000.

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EQUITY TABLES :

1. Indian and Sectoral Indices :

weekly indices update

2. BSE Movers and Shakers & IA Equity Figures

BSE Movers and Shakers & IA Equity Figures

3. NSE Movers and Shakers :

NSE Weekly Movers and Shakers

4. MONEY MARKET & ECONOMIC INDICATORS :

MONEY MARKET & ECONOMIC INDICATORS

5. GLOBAL INDICES :

Weekly GLOBAL INDICES


From the United Kingdom, its economy contracted 0.7% in the second quarter as the recession prompted companies to cut investment and inventories while consumers scaled back spending.

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Weekly Equity Update 14th-21st August :)

EQUITY MARKET UPDATE1


The week gone by started on a weak note and domestic market nosedived deep into red terrain on huge selling pressure over the ground as unsatisfactory US consumer sentiment report weakened concerns about the recovery in global economy.

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In addition, weak Asian markets along with negative European markets also took huge beating on the bourses.

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Furthermore a poor monsoon rattled the markets, raising fears it could hurt economic prospects of corporates. However it is expected that market may remain volatile next week.

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In this year poor rains have raised worries about growth in India’s domestic-demand driven economy.

But a ray of hope was shown by FM saying that the government will take all the required steps to control drought.

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India has attracted 8% higher FDI to $2.58 billion in June 2009, from $2.39 billion in June 2008.

FII inflow in calendar year 2009 totaled Rs 35,773.40 crore. Inflation for the week ended 8th August stood at -1.53%with the previous week’s annual decline of -1.74%.

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MARKET OUTLOOK

Trend of world markets is still up. US and Europe were holding strong whereas a correction had come in Asia, but overall they are all up.

Shanghai looks to have topped out but till we are holding above 4450-4350 zone in Nifty, there is no need to worry.

Sensex has support between 15000-14700 levels and Nifty between 4450-4350 levels. πŸ™‚

However it is expected that market may remain volatile next week!!

Further more Global markets will also play a pivotal role in setting the direction. Inadequate monsoon rains may continue to weigh on investor sentiment. 😦

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TABLES :

1. Indian and Sectoral Indices :

weekly indices update

2. BSE Movers and Shakers & IA Equity Figures :

Weekly BSE Gainers- Losers updateπŸ™‚

3. NSE Movers and Shakers :

NSE Weekly Movers and Shakers

4. MONEY MARKET & ECONOMIC INDICATORS :

MONEY MARKET & ECONOMIC INDICATORS

5. GLOBAL INDICES :

Weekly GLOBAL INDICES

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NEWS ROUND UP

Economy

After falling for three weeks in a row, inflation rate rose to -1.53 per cent for the week ended August 8, primarily due to dearer primary articles, especially food items.

The inflation rate for the previous week ended August 1 was -1.74 per cent and stood at 12.82 per cent during the corresponding period in 2008.

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Oil & Gas

Β·Reliance Industries may sell part of its stakes in some of the overseas oil and gas blocks to lower its exploration risk.

RIL, through its wholly-owned subsidiary Reliance Exploration and Production DMZ, holds interests in 15 overseas exploration blocks and is considering farming-out a part of its stake.

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Realty/ Infrastructure

DLF, the country’s largest realty firm, bagged a 350-acre plot for Rs 1,750 crore in Haryana for developing a recreation and leisure project, making it one of the costliest land deals in recent times.

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Information Technologies

Β·Geometric Ltd has announced the release of version 2.0 of its visualisation product, 3DPaintBrush.

This is an innovative visualisation and rendering tool that helps create near photo-realistic images, animations, and videos from 2D models in real-time.

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Trend of world markets is still up. US and Europe were holding strong whereas a correction had come in Asia, but overall they are all up. Shanghai looks to have topped out but till we are holding above 4450-4350 zone in Nifty, there is no need to worry.

Can India run ahead of China?

Can India run ahead of China?

Can India run ahead of China?

Indians have for long suffered from an advanced case of China envy. It has never been just a question of higher growth rates in China. Visitors from India have also inevitably come back with breathless tales about the new downtown Shanghai, the magnetic levitation trains or the new highways being built across that country.

However, the World Bank said on Monday that India is expected to grow at a slightly faster pace than China in 2010. And the two economies will expand at around the same rate in 2011.

Is this a turning point in the long race between the hare and the tortoise?

There is little doubt that the gap between the rates at which the two emerging giants are growing has started narrowing.

China used to grow around 3 percentage points faster than India earlier this decade. That gap has now narrowed to the point of insignificance in the past couple of years, even without discounting China’s dodgy macroeconomic numbers.

This change is likely to be enduring for several reasons.

First, China is more exposed to the vagaries of the world market because of its high trade intensity. A Japan-style secular slowdown in the US and Europe over the next decade will hurt China more than India unless China moved beyond its admittedly successful mercantilism.

Second, the foreign direct investment boom in China since the mid-1990s pushed up its investment rate, enabled technology transfer and plugged the nation into global supply chains. All this took China closer to the global efficiency frontier, but it now seems that diminishing returns are setting in. Future growth will have to depend more on domestic demand and local innovation, which means that China will have to change its growth model.

Third, China is a fast ageing society, thanks to a one-child policy. This demographic change will increase dependency ratios and social costs.

India seems to be on a stronger wicket right now, thanks to its higher dependence on domestic demand, its vibrant entrepreneurial culture and a young population. But that should not mean that catching up or overtaking China is inevitable.

The joker in the pack is the quality of national leadership.

India needs to do several things if it has to realistically overtake China in the next decade: economic reforms, better infrastructure, internal security check, less bureaucracy and intensive skill development, for example.