Posts Tagged ‘remittances’

Dubai Shakeout Leaves Thousand of Indian Families Worried

Dubai Debt Fallout Leaves Thousand of Indian Families Worried

The $59-billion debt woes of state-run Dubai World, one of the largest global conglomerates, has left thousands of Indian families worried, as the region accounts for half of the country’s $25-billion remittances.

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Gulf countries employ five million Indians, out of the 25 million total strength of the Indian diaspora in 130 countries, and Dubai being a key driver of the region’s economy, a shakeout there is seen unsettling the job market — and the incomes of relatives.

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Market experts have expressed that there will be at least 25-percent contraction in the job market and there may be a ripple effect on most Middle East countries because of Dubai World bust.

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They also said that Middle East meltdown is not a last month generated phenomena  rather it has been there for the past one year.

Infact, people have been coming back to India for the past one year.

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🙂

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Market experts and policy makers have expressed concern over the prospect of Indians employed in the Gulf losing their jobs.

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However they insist that much would depend on Dubai world Bust’s impact on the real economy there and employment.

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Many relatives of Indian expatriates in the Gulf have expressed concern and worries over the prospect of the loss of jobs in Gulf  in the wake of Dubai World Fiasco !!

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Many of families have taken huge amount of home loans to construct houses or to buy flats.

(With the dependence of paying it through the remittances they generally receive from their relatives working in Gulf).

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Now, they have worries like if their close family member working in Gulf loses the job then it will get impossible to repay the loan amount in full.

😦

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In Andhra Pradesh, which accounts for the largest share of remittances from the Gulf after Kerala, the realty industry feel there is an underlying worry that the Dubai World episode may just be the tip of the iceberg.

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Experts over there feel that things might go from bad to worse when the Dubai companies announce their financial results in December and January and many more could lose jobs.

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Analysts, nevertheless, maintained that while the future plans of Dubai World in India may be affected, the existing ones may not suffer much.

🙂

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? “No” Says India’s Think Tank :)

 

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? "No" Says India's Think Tank


Indian policy-makers
are not really worried over the potential adverse impact on the country’s economy because of the multi-billion-dollar debt default risk faced by Dubai World, ranked among the largest conglomerates in the region.

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Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said “India is a very large economy. It is a resilient economy”.

“I don’t think some development in real estate in Dubai will have an impact on the Indian economy” he added.

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🙂

He also said “As far as India is concerned, the housing, real estate sector and construction industry are all doing well.

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This is confirmed by the increasing demand for construction materials, cement and steel,”

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Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla also saw little impact of the Dubai World’s woes on the country’s economy.

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Though he was a trifle more circumspect and preferred to watch the situation before hazarding a guess.

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“We will have to study what the issue is, what is the problem, what will be the possible implication if any for the Indian economy, the people and corporates,” Chawla told.

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🙂

Asked if the crisis will impact money flows into India,since the Gulf region accounts for over half the total inward remittances worth over $25 billion annually from expatriate Indians,

Chawla said: “It’s unlikely.”

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The state-run Dubai World stunned the global financial world Thursday when it announced it would need to restructure its debt, estimated at $59 billion, to preempt default and asked creditors for a six-month deferment.

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The conglomerate, which has a host of companies under its fold, has interests in a wide range of businesses such as realty, infrastructure, logistics and economic zones.

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And that is not just in the region but across a clutch of countries including India.

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🙂

Indian equities reacted adversely to the development, with the benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) down as much as 634.16 points, or 3.76 percent, midway into the trading session Friday.

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It later recovered and closed with a loss of some 220 points, or 1.3 percent over the previous close.

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🙂

Indian markets have rallied more than 100 percent from the lows a year ago,mostly backed by news of recovery and not necessarily on fundamentals,”

said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of brokerage firm SMC Capital.

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“This is why such news will have a negative impact on our markets and we will be dragged down,” Thunuguntla, who heads the equities division of SMC Capital told.

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Even some Gulf-based companies, like Emmar, which have business interests in India, said there will be virtually no impact on their ongoing projects in India.

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The response was similar from India’s leading engineering and construction major Larsen and Toubro Ltd, which said its exposure in Dubai was around $20-$25 million.

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🙂

Dubai Debt News Sent a Shudder Throughout World Markets

Just a year after the global downturn  derailed  Dubai’s explosive growth, the  city is now  so  swamped  in  debt that  it’s  asking  for a  six-month  reprieve  on  paying  its bills.

🙂

Dubai Debt Fears Grip World Markets

 

This has cast a shadow on a world only just emerging from the worst economic crisis since the 1930s,  knocking markets  from Sydney to Sao Paulo and raising questions about Dubai’s reputation  as a magnet for international investment.

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For India, which has tens of thousands of its citizens living  and working in the emirate,  the concerns are more direct:  thousands of its expats staring at job losses and  the economy, sharply reduced trade.

India, which gets nearly a quarter of the remittances from the United Arab Emirates and  has lakhs of laborers working in the region, could be worse off than most other nations  if the crisis escalates into a full-blown one  like the Russian or Argentinean crises of the past.🙂

India’s exports to the UAE stood at $23.92 billion in FY09.

It is very likely that we may see one more leg of job losses in Dubai.

The only consolation for the region is that Abu Dhabi is booming.

🙂

Indian shares and the rupee fell in sync with other global markets where investors are fleeing for safety after Dubai debt trap concerns.

The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark Sensex on Friday tumbled over 451.63 points to 16,403.30 points in the first ten minutes of trading on hectic selling by funds in line with weak global cues and concerns over Dubai’s debt.

Similarly, the wide-based National Stock Exchange index Nifty dropped by 140.50 points to 4865.05 points.

🙂

Brokers said the selling focus was more on banking and realty stocks after Dubai’s debt problems revived concerns about the global financial system and rattled markets across Europe and Asia.

Indian rupee fell 24 paisa to 46.55 against the dollar.  The MSCI Emerging Markets Index lost 1.4%.

🙂

Most European indices were about 2% lower after Asia tumbled.

The Shanghai Composite Index slumped 3.6%, its biggest drop since August, and Brazil’s Bovespa Index slipped 1.1%. U.S. markets were closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.

Credit-default swaps tied to debt sold by Dubai rose as much as 131 basis points to 571.

“Dubai isn’t doing risk appetite any favours at all and the markets remain in a vulnerable state of mind,” said Market analysts.

“We’re still in an environment where we’re vulnerable to financial shocks of any sort and this is one of those.”

🙂