Posts Tagged ‘Rabi’

MAIZE……… “A-maize-ing”

The changing desires of eating taste have changed the periphery of the cereal. The change of label from “makka” on the road side to “masala corn” or “sweet corn” in the shopping malls across the country, has given an edge to this commodity.

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ACERAGE REPORT – INDIA

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Area, production and yield of maize in India had been increasing for the last five decades and India had reached near self sufficiency in production. “But this year there is a small twist in the story”.

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Maize is grown in both kharif and rabi seasons. According to data provided by industry players, kharif maize output is estimated at 12.5 million tonnes for 2009-10 as compared to 14 million tonnes in the previous year. The rabi season output is estimated at 4.68 million tonnes as against 5.60 million tonnes in the previous year. Overall, maize production in 2009-10 is likely to be 17.28 per cent lower, or 3.41 million tonnes less, at 16.32 million tonnes, from 19.73 million tonnes in 2008-09.

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Punjab: Maize acreage in Punjab is expected to increase by about 1.50 lakh hectares to 2.82 lakh hectare this season. In the last few years, maize is also grown in spring, particularly in the potato belt of the state.

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Haryana: Haryana farmers have increased the corn acreage to 40,000 hectares against the government target of 4000 hectares. This might not have an impact on domestic corn prices for the reason that Haryana is not a major corn producer and acreage in major corn producing states Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh has declined..

Tamil Nadu: Acreage of corn in Tamil Nadu has increased by around 71% till June 7, 2010 compared to last year.

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Andhra Pradesh: Despite of the normal rains in Andhra Pradesh, acreage under maize as on 16/06/10 has reduced significantly. Lucrative returns in other crops like sugarcane, sesamum have attracted farmers to shift corn area into those crops. Area covered under maize in Andhra Pradesh as on 16/06/10 is reported at 8945 hectares compared to the normal area covered till date 31403 hectares..

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On the whole, the total sowing acreage of maize as on 26th June 2010, reduced by 35% to 5.39 lakh hectares due to delayed monsoon in northern and central part of India..

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ACERAGE REPORT – WORLD.

Global maize production was likely to be a record 822 million tonne (MT) in the 2010-11 season, the International Grains Council (IGC) said in its latest report. “The world maize production forecast for 2010-11 is increased by 15 MT to a record 822 MT, up from 807 MT last season, due to improved prospects in US, Mexico and parts of Africa” the IGC report said.

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In its weekly crop ratings report, USDA said 73 percent of the corn crop was in good or excellent condition, down from 75 percent a week before.

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FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK

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·Chicago Board Of Trade (CBOT)

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U.S. corn futures market is caught between pressure from expectations for a big U.S.crop and support from uncertainty about weather and Chinese demand. Corn futures headed for the biggest monthly decline in three months as planting advances in the U.S., the world’s largest exporter, boosting expectations that the next harvest may exceed last year’s record. The USDA kept its estimate on the nation’s corn production unchanged at 13.37 billion bushels in the year beginning September, with 88.8 million acres planted, beating last harvest’s record of 13.11 billion bushels.

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·National Commodity Derivative Exchange (NCDEX)

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Maize NCDEX July future prices had seen consolidation in a range of 1010-1025. Recently, the counter making a technical break out, made a high of 1034.50. Despite of the higher acerage reports, the prices have maintained a continuous uptrend journey. Maize futures have given a profit return of about 9% in a span of six months dwelling between both bulls & bears. Most interestingly, the July contract has registered a profit of more than 11.69% within 8 weeks – 48 trading sessions – 336 hours of trade (approx.). Prices maintaining an upright stand & expecting the same with continuous buying from the consuming industries, the cereal is anticipated to make new highs. Maize NCDEX July future prices are in CONTANGO situation as
against June contract.

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Therefore to sum-up, there is a lot’s potential for corn futures supported by the fact of upcoming demand & rising consumption from every corner of the world. The day is not very far for the cereal to be the most “A-maize-thing” amazing commodity on trading platforms, giving their best returns.

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WEEKLY COMMENTARY 1st – 05th March

Series of economic data amid Indian Union Budget resulted in erratic price movements in commodities throughout the week. Market participants indulged actively themselves in the market. Bullions cut some of their losses in the later part of the week on short covering.

Expiry of February contract of base metals also made them very volatile. Most of them surrendered their previous gain on poor outcome of economic data.

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Strong dollar together with the most recent signs that the U.S. economy is still struggling to recover, led bearishness in all base metals. On the date of expiry, lead closed down and the gap between lead and zinc  narrowed down to 90 paisa. Similar to base metals, even energy complex drifted lower on negative economic releases in the middle of strong dollar.

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A stronger dollar makes oil and other commodities less affordable for holders of other currencies. On MCX, it touched the 3722 and moved down towards the level of 3600 on profit booking. Rising number of rigs coupled with rising mercury in Midwest cooled down natural gas prices further. On Friday, commodities recovered marginally on improved US GDP.

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Bears were seen active in agro-commodities last week as most of the future contracts on NCDEX settled in red zone on weekly basis. Guar pack settled in red territory as weak domestic and export demand hammered maize prices on future bourses.

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In oil seeds section, soyabean also ended the week with negative impression as the Indian market moved in line with weak overseas market. Continuation of subdued demand for soy meal from South East Asian countries and ample stocks of edible oil kept prices under check during the week.

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Mustard seed futures traded range bound. Lack of demand and improvement in weather condition had a bearish impact on market in the week gone by.

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In spices pack except turmeric futures all other futures settled in red zone. Pepper and jeera futures maintained their downtrend during the week taking cues from the higher fresh arrivals to the physical market. However turmeric futures ended the week on positive note supported by good export demand. Maize also traded in negative zone due to fresh crop arrivals and higher output estimates. According to latest government estimates the total output of current rabi season will be at 5.64 million tonnes over 5.61 million tonnes last year.

Rabi Sowing Picks Up in State

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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Rabi sowing picks up in State

Rabi sowing picks up in State:

The recent rain in several parts of Karnataka seem to be playing a key role in rabi sowing with farmers going in for large-scale coverage of jowar, Bengal gram and sunflower, particularly in the northern districts.


As sowing is in progress, data from the Agriculture Ministry shows that rabi crops were sown on 27.05 lakh hectares of land accounting for 73 per cent progress against the target of 37 lakh hectares as on November 18.


Sowing of maize, wheat, Bengal gram and sunflower continued in the northern districts while transplanting of paddy and sowing of black gram was in progress in parts of Dakshina Kannada and Udupi.

Bengal gram has been sown on 8.78 lakh hectares of land against 7.67 lakh hectares during the corresponding period last year, while jowar, the major rabi crop, has been sown on 9.25 lakh hectares, wheat on 1.9 lalkh hectares, and sunflower on 2.90 lakh hectares.


Overall coverage of pulses such as Bengal gram, horse gram, black gram, green gram, cowpea and avare stood at 9.93 lakh hectares against the coverage of 8.99 lakh hectares last year.


However, the area under cereals — rice, jowar, ragi,maize, wheat, and minor millets — trails at 12.32 lakh hectares against 14.39 lakh hecatres during the corresponding period last year.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we can see  FMC has recently instructed bourses to ensure compliance of the PMLA and Sugar production in India may exceed estimated figures.

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Commodity bourses must follow PMLA norms : “FMC”

In order to step up the regulatory grip on commodity derivatives market, Forward Markets Commission (FMC) has recently instructed bourses to ensure compliance of the Prevention of Money Laundering Act 2002 (PMLA) by their members.


“This is more of a pre-emptive step to prevent unscrupulous money coming into our (commodity futures) market,” BC Khatua, chairman, FMC, said.

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Sugar output may beat estimates “Survey”:

Sugar production in India, the world’s second-largest grower, may be 11 percent more than estimated after farmers boosted planting and yields improved because of increased fertiliser use.


Output may jump to 17.68 million metric tonne in the season started Oct. 1, according to interviews with 631 farmers across six states by Geneva-based SGS SA for Bloomberg.


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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

CORN………. “The Un-discovered Legend” Part 1

Hello Friends here we come up with another write up on “Commodity Corner Series”.

Here we would touch upon the importance of Maize crop in Indian commodity market and its relevance in the context of Indian Scenario 🙂

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CORN………. “The Un-discovered Legend”

Maize, also known as corn, is a cereal which is an important crop after rice and wheat.

The domestication of maize has been dated back as far back as 12,000 years ago. Today, maize is widely cultivated throughout the world, in a greater size with top producing countries like United States, China, Brazil, France, Indonesia, India and South Africa.

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Indian Scenario:

Andhra Pradesh is now the largest producer contributing around 21% of annual maize production.

India ‘s area harvested of maize and yield have risen by mainly on account of rising production of single cross hybrids seeds, its demand and increasing acceptability among farmers.

In India, its cultivation extends from the hot arid plains of Rajasthan and Gujarat to the wet hills of Assam and Bengal.

There are three distinct seasons for the cultivation of maize:

the main season is kharif;

next is Rabi in Peninsular India and Bihar and

in spring in northern India.

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Normally, higher yields have been recorded in the rabi and spring crops.

Over 85 per cent of the maize acreage is sown under rain-fed conditions during the monsoon when over 80 per cent of the annual rainfall is received.

However, this year due to the erratic monsoon production has been affected, as a result of which maize prices have been in uptrend since the withdrawal of monsoon from the country.

During 2008-9, Indian exported 3 million tonnes of maize and 12,000 tonnes of maize seed worth of Rs 2,400 crore and Rs 2,000 crore respectively.

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Stay Tuned for more on this.

In next blog we would touch upon the issues like Potential source of demand for Maize crop, Industrial Demand and PVO (Price-volume-open Interest) of MAize crops.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

No Global food crisis even after India’s rice export ban :)

No Global food crisis even after India’s rice export ban :)

No Global food crisis even after India’s rice export ban 🙂

No global food crisis is on the cards on account of India’s rice export ban and possible high imports.

A reduction in exports from India and possible imports to the tune of two million tonnes plus is unlikely to spark another global food crisis.

The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has said that drought in India may slash rice output in the world’s second-largest grower by about 18% this year, cutting global supplies available for importers.

India’s absence in the export market may curb supplies at a time when global stockpiles are forecast by the FAO to drop 3 % to 117.4 million MT by the end of the 2009-2010 season.

In Other major Agri Updates we can see that Deccan floods have made spices too hot to handle.

Turmeric prices have more than doubled from Rs 3,500 per quintal levels in January, causing NCDEX to impose special margin on long positions.


High prices have also led to an increase in acreage of the crop and production is expected to be over 55 lakh bags in 2010, against 35-40 lakh bags this year.

Among other spices, jeera is likely to move up in the medium term on back of good export demand and a bad crop in Syria and Turkey.

Indian Jeera is also quoting a low price in international markets.

Even pepper is expected to remain firm due to low stocks in main producing countries like India, Vietnam and Indonesia and slow arrivals from Brazil.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here 🙂

No global food crisis is on the cards on account of India’s rice export ban and possible high imports.

A reduction in exports from India and possible imports to the tune of two million tonnes plus is unlikely to spark another global food crisis.

The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has said that drought in India may slash rice output in the world’s second-largest grower by about 18% this year,cutting global supplies available for importers.

India’s absence in the export market may curb supplies at a time when global stockpiles are forecast by the FAO to drop 3 % to 117.4 million MT by the end of the 2009-2010 season.

In Other major Agri Updates we can see that Deccan floods have made spices too hot to handle.

Turmeric prices have more than doubled from Rs 3,500 per quintal levels in January, causing NCDEX to impose special margin on long positions.

High prices have also led to an increase in acreage of the crop and production is expected to be over 55 lakh bags in 2010, against 35-40 lakh bags this year.

Among other spices, jeera is likely to move up in the medium term on back of good export demand and a bad crop in Syria and Turkey.

Indian Jeera is also quoting a low price in international markets.

Even pepper is expected to remain firm due to low stocks in main producing countries like India, Vietnam and Indonesia and slow arrivals from Brazil.

Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here 🙂