Posts Tagged ‘PSUs’

RBI, Monetary Projections And Indian Economy

Hello Friends,

Just an extension of our previous blog ”RBI And Its Policies – Part 1″.

RBI, Monetary Projections And Indian Economy

RBI, Monetary Projections And Indian Economy

In this Blog we would touch upon the aspects as that of Monetary projection from RBI, assessment of economy scenario at present and relevance of RBI policy on economy.

Monetary projection:

For policy purposes, money supply (M3) growth for 2009-10 is placed at 17.0 per cent, down from 18.0 per cent projected in the Annual Policy Statement.

Consistent with this, aggregate deposits of scheduled commercial banks are projected to grow by 18.0 per cent.

The growth in adjusted nonfood credit, including investment in bonds/debentures/shares of public sector undertakings and private corporate sector and Commercial Papers (CPs), has been revised downwards at 18.0 per cent as in the Annual Policy Statement.

🙂

Economy:

Since the last review in July 2009, there has been a discernable improvement in the global economy.

The recovery is underpinned by output expansion in emerging market economies, particularly in Asia.

World output has improved in the second quarter, manufacturing activity has picked up, trade is recovering, financial market conditions are improving, and risk appetite is returning.

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A sharp recovery in equity markets has enabled banks to raise capital to repair their balance sheets.

If we talk about the home country then there are definitive indications of the economy attaining the ‘escape velocity‘ and reverting to the growth track.

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The performance of the industrial sector has improved markedly in recent months.

Domestic and external financing conditions are on the upturn.

Capital inflows have revived.

Moreover activity in the primary capital market has picked up and funding from non-bank domestic sources has eased.

Liquidity conditions have remained easy and interest rates have softened in the money and credit markets.

Growth projection for GDP for 2009-10 on current assessment is placed at 6.0% with an upward bias, the same as the previous policy review.

But some darker parts also persist.

There are clear signs of rising inflation stemming largely from the supply side, particularly from food prices.

Private consumption demand is yet to pick up.

Agricultural production is expected to decline.

Services sector growth remains below trend.

Bank credit growth continues to be sluggish.

The central bank has warned of possible asset price bubbles, raised banks’ provisioning requirements for commercial real estate loans and lifted inflation forecast.

WPI inflation for end-March 2010 is projected at 6.5 per cent with an upward bias.

This is once again higher than the projection of 5.0 per cent made in the Annual Policy Statement in July 2009.

🙂

Stay Tuned for more on the topic.

We would look into Monetary Policy stance, more facts about economic indicators and Analysis from the Analyst from monetary point of view.

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Centre To Go Ahead With PSUs Disinvestment :)

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh reiterated that Centre will go ahead with the disinvestment in public sector undertakings (PSUs).

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh reiterated that Centre will go ahead with the disinvestment in public sector undertakings (PSUs).

While efforts will be made to recover loss-making units, the Centre will go ahead with the disinvestment in public sector undertakings (PSUs) stated Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.

However, this is said :

–  to unlock the true value of a company,

– improves its corporate governance standards and

– also help it in raising resources for funding future expansion plans.

🙂

Additionally, several PSEs are entering the capital markets striving to become active global players.

At the same time several PSEs got their shares listed on the markets in the last 2 years and many more want to do so, showing they are not shying away from market scrutiny and are ready to face new challenges.

🙂

Further, stressing the need for strengthening the public sector, MMS said that the government was committed to restructure and recover sick and loss-making PSUs.

Moreover, amount of Rs. 15,250 crore is provided by the government in the last 5 years as cash and non-cash support to 36 such enterprises.

🙂

On the other hand, stating that the Centre was committed to giving PSUs flexibility and autonomy to operate effectively in a competitive environment, MMS stated that they have delegated more powers to the boards of Navratna and Miniratna companies.

This was done in order to facilitate improvement in their performance, implemented revised salaries for executives of public sector enterprises and introduced innovative measures like performance related pay.

🙂

Did IPO Grading Fail to Catch the Fancy of Investors??

ipo grade system

The grading system of initial public offers (IPO) is in need of an upgrade, say market participants.

🙂

Two years after it was first introduced by market regulator SEBI, the system has failed to catch the fancy of investors as share price trends of newly listed companies have shown little or no correlation to the grading given by rating agencies.

😦

“IPOs with grading 4 have shown returns that are much lower than IPOs with grades 1 and 2.
So, this is raising the question whether it is time to look at amendments to the existing structure or maybe SEBI can think of completely scrapping the system,” said Jagannadham T, equity head of SMC Capitals.

🙂

However, one can’t deny the importance of the IPO grading system not only is it beneficial for retail investors who don’t have the time or skills to go through an entire prospectus but it also acts as a deterrent for fly by night promoters who wish to access the primary market solely for their gains.

🙂

Not only financials of a company is looked at but also people at the business head level are contacted to see what the company is up to.

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As per few experts, IPO grading doesn’t have anything to do with the price post listing. A lot of things apart from fundamentals drive the stock.

The reservation of comment on pricing is a sore point, but even more, is the grading of a SEBI barred company like Austral Coke at Grade 2 by CARE above Orbit Corporation at 1 by the same rating agency.

:O 😦

And this makes one wonder if a thorough due diligence is done by all rating agencies that’s ground enough for a review.

🙂

NHPC IPO subscribed over 16 times :)

NHPC IPO

The issue received bids for over 2,762.99 crore shares against 167.73 crore shares on offer, as per the data available on the National Stock Exchange.

🙂

The initial public offer of hydro power producer NHPC got subscribed over 16 times with most of the bids coming in from institutional investors.

🙂

The offer, which is expected to mobilize up to Rs6,000 crore making it the second largest IPO in the country till date after Reliance Power’s, will close on Wednesday.

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Marketmen said the portion reserved for qualified institutional investors and high networth individuals got subscribed nearly 20 times each, while the retail investors portion was subscribed over three times the shares on offer.

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“The subscription by institutional investors is likely to go up further and the retail participation would also increase towards the end of bid timing,” SMC Capitals equity head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

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Analysts said being a public sector firm, NHPC is getting attention from various categories of investors.

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This is the first stake sale by a state-run company in the last one and a half years, after REC raised over Rs 1,600 crore in February.

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The  of the issue has been fixed between Rs 30 -36.

🙂

Promoter stake reduction could raise Rs.159,000 crore :O

Promoter stake reduction could raise Rs.159,000 crore :O

Listed companies could raise over Rs.159,000 crore if Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee’s proposal to reduce promoter stake in all listed companies to 75 percent becomes a policy , a report released Wednesday said.

🙂

Of this, state-owned firms alone will contribute as much as Rs.138,000 crore, the report by broking firm SMC Capitals said.

Among the listed companies, there are about 180 firms where promoters hold more than 75 percent of the equity.

Of these, 28 are public sector units (PSUs),while the remaining 152 are private companies,said the SMC report.


“To comply with the proposal of reducing the promoters’ stake to 75 percent, the total value of stake that needs be offloaded is a whopping Rs.159,263 crore,” said SMC Capitals equity head Jagannadham Thunuguntla.

🙂

“Of this amount, stake sale in PSU companies will aggregate to about Rs.138,075 crore, and that of non-PSUs will be Rs.21,188 crore,” he added.

Mukherjee had said in his budget proposal July 6 that the government would look at increasing public stake in all listed companies to 25 percent, which currently is about 15 percent.

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The chairman of the markets watchdog, Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), has however proposed to the government that the increase in public holding be done in a phased manner and companies given time to dilute promoter holding to 75 percent.

🙂

“Keeping this account, it will be more practical and sensible to implement this regulation in a phased manner by the finance ministry, facilitating smoother implementation,” said the report. 🙂



Lack of PSU divestment roadmap stalls IPO market

Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head of SMC Capitals.

In the absence of a roadmap for divestment of public sector units (PSUs), many private companies that were getting ready to raise funds through initial public offerings (IPOs) may now decide to wait. The market fall on Monday (the budget day) and Wednesday has made matters only worse.

However, investment bankers see light at the end of the tunnel in the finance minister Pranab Mukherjee’s announcement on the need for mandating a minimum 25 per cent public holding in all listed companies.

“Excitement is a bit down as there is no roadmap for PSU divestment. This initiative would have created an ecosystem for several public issues of private sector companies hitting the market,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head of SMC Capitals.

“The divestment programme is unlikely to be as effective as was expected to be before the budget,” Thunuguntla added.

However, there is an air of expectation that companies would revive their plans to float initial public offerings (IPO) once the market revives.

The falling market, post-budget, has also put a question mark on the companies that were planning to raise funds through qualified institutional placements (QIPs), is a corporate fund raising instrument that enables completion of the process within a month against four months taken for a typical IPO.

According to a report published by Enam Securities While eleven companies have raised Rs 12,000 crore through QIPs before the budget, about 20 companies are planning to raise Rs 36,500 crore through this route, post- budget.

This list is liberally sprinkled with real estate companies, which have been facing a severe funds crunch since the outbreak of the global financial crisis in September 2008.