Posts Tagged ‘investor’

ECONOMIC INDICATORS… “Leading the World” Final Part

Hello Friends here we come up with an extension of our previous blog,

ECONOMIC INDICATORS… “Leading the World” Part 2.


Economic Indicators - Leading the World Final Part


In previous Blog, we had touched upon the classified categories of Economic indicators in details and about Time Era.


Now in this final part we would know what major economic indicators are!!


Major Economic Indicators :


· Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

Indicates the pace at which a country’s economy is growing or shrinking.


· Industrial Production:

Measures the change in the production of the nation’s factories, mines and utilities, industrial production also measures the country’s industrial capacity utilization.


·Purchasing Managers Index (PMI):

This index includes data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export and import orders.


·Producer Price Index (PPI):

Measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture, and electric utility industries.


The PPIs most often used for economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude goods.


Consumer Price Index (CPI):

Measures the average price level paid by urban consumers (80% of the population in major currency countries) for a fixed basket of goods and services.


Durable Goods:

Measures new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods.

This figure is a useful measure of certain kinds of customer demand.


Employment Cost Index (ECI):

ECI counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation’s business and government establishments.


Retail Sales:

It is the indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences.


Housing Starts:

Measures the number of residential units on which construction is begun each month.




Thus to conclude,

Economic indicators is a tool for an investor..

for knowing the economic world & simultaneously smartly making money out of the sensitive movements of the financial & commodities market.




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Uncertainty over stocks leads to price volatility in turmeric futures

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the globe.


Uncertainty over stocks leads to price volatility in turmeric futures:

In an unusual situation this week, far-term turmeric contracts were trading much below near-term ones, offering a big arbitrage opportunity for hedgers and speculators, on the National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX).

The price difference was 39 per cent.

Last year’s carryover stock is estimated to have declined steeply, at around 150,000 bags (a bag is 70 kg) as of today, as compared to around 700,000 bags around the same time last year.

Arrivals at the Erode market were 2,000 bags and sold at Rs 10,900-11,000 a quintal.

In Duggirala, prices were placed at Rs 9,800-10,500 a quintal and in Warangal at Rs 9,900-10,500 a quintal.

Turmeric exports climbed seven per cent to 4,000 tonnes in October 2009 from the same period last year.

Weak turmeric futures put downward pressure on spot markets, to send the product down by Rs 800 a quintal.


In Other major Commodities Updates also read Soybeans and Wheat Drop as Dubai Default Risk Dents Confidence of the Investors.


Soybeans, Corns and Wheat Drop as Dubai Default Risk Dents Confidence:

Soybeans, corn and wheat slumped after Dubai’s bid to reschedule debt sent equities tumbling and eroded investor confidence in commodities.

Soybeans for January delivery dropped as much as 2.7 percent to $10.2625 a bushel, the lowest level since Nov. 19, in electronic trading on the Chicago Board of Trade and were at $10.385 at of 10:50 a.m. Tokyo time.

The contract has lost 0.7 percent this week, the first such drop in three weeks.

Wheat for March delivery in Chicago lost as much as 2.4 percent to $5.5775 a bushel before trading at $5.595.

The grain dropped 3.7 percent this week, falling for the first time in four weeks.

Production may be around 21 million metric tons, down 2 percent from last harvest and lower than the 23 million tons forecast in October,2009.


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Global Slowdown Caused Slump in Growth Rate of the Demat Accounts

Global Slowdown Caused Slump in Growth Rate of the Demat Accounts


Despite the blistering pace kept by the equities market in the past 10 months, the rise in the number of new retail investors has slowed down.


According to the data from National Securities and Depositories Limited, the growth rate of demat accounts has declined to 6 per cent, compared with 13 per cent last year.

Experts attribute this to the overall slowdown in the economy.


As per experts a prolonged, dull phase in 2008 made investors jittery about investing in the equities market.

Also, as many individuals were scared of losing their jobs, so they did not intend to invest more.

There has been an average growth of 14.75 per cent in investors opening demat accounts till 2008.


Financial intermediaries such as broking companies, whose fortunes are directly linked to the markets, have witnessed subdued sentiments in the equity space from retail investors.

Experts cited 2008 market crash and the global financial meltdown as the reason for this negative development.

Moreover recession of last year had demotivated and scared the retail investors good enough to drive them away from the further investing.

This caused enormous loss for Financial intermediaries and most of the brokerage houses had to shut shop and retrench many staff too.


“The confidence of the retail investors is yet to be restored. Even in the case of new initial public offerings, only the institutional part is getting oversubscribed,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head of research at SMC Capitals.


BSE and NSE all Set to Improve Arbitration and Appeal Mechanism

NSE BSE Mechanism

BSE and NSE all Set to Improve Arbitration and Appeal Mechanism

Both the BSE and NSE will soon be adopting the best practices in the other to improve the investor grievance redressal mechanism where the NSE is considering putting in place an appeal mechanism similar to the one at BSE.


However, BSE is looking at scrapping the arbitration fees to be paid by the investor for claims below Rs 10 lakh while efforts are on to provide investors with help from a representative of Investor Associations (IA).

Meanwhile, at present, there is a two-level arbitration process in BSE whereas, in NSE, there is a single-level arbitration meaning if you lose your case in arbitration in NSE you shall have to appeal in the High Court.

Further, in BSE, you can appeal against an unsatisfactory verdict to an appellate panel of 5 arbitrators before taking the matter to court while if the arbitration claim amount is less than Rs 25 lakh on the NSE and less than Rs 10 lakh in case of the BSE, a single arbitrator hears the case.

But, if the arbitration claims are higher than this amount then a panel of 3 arbitrators will decide the case while NSE agreed to the appeal mechanism subject to the Arbitration Act.

In addition, on the BSE, an investor seeking redressal has to file an application with the exchange at Investors’ Grievance Redressal Committee (IGRC) comprising of a former justice of high court and a broker member trying to resolve the dispute at the IGRC level itself.

However, if no mutually agreeable settlement is reached, the parties are advised to go in for arbitration while another proposal, when executed, will be beneficial to investors like the BSE levies arbitration fees of approximately Rs 4,000 whereas on the NSE, for claims of up to Rs 10 lakh, only the brokers have to pay the arbitration fees.


Points to Remember while Selling Stocks – Part 1

Hello Friends here we come up with our another write up on “SMC Gyan Series”. 🙂

Points to remember while selling stock

Points to remember while selling stock


Buying a stock is simple, but Selling is actually harder as it requires regulation, understandable thoughts, and a tight rein on one’s emotions.

The ongoing optimism, slow economic revival, positive signs on the global front and high expectations from the stable government at home have forced bulls to give up their lethargic activities and to march northward.

Many investors who had seen the value of their stocks hit rock bottom and are now facing dilemma whether to sell or should they hold on? :O

Investors often face problems to take right decisions in volatile market as markets could head either way.

Wouldn’t it be disheartening if the markets rallied northwards, the day after you sold your stocks?

What if the markets come crashing down tomorrow, depriving you of the opportunity to enhance profits?

So, the decision to sell is critical.


Some of the points when to sell your stocks:

Prima facie, if there is any drastic change in fundamental of a company, this should be the only reason to sell stock.

But a depth research has to be done before taking any decision.

Changes includes;

-restructuring of its business model,

-different business focus and directions.



1. Margins Crashed

Margins are the profit that a company makes on its sales.

Rising gross margins tell us that a company is reducing production costs or raising prices.

Conversely, deteriorating margins say either that production costs are increasing and the company can’t raise prices proportionally or that the company is cutting prices in an attempt to maintain marketshare.

If there are expenses related to a new product’s introduction then margins might fall for inoffensive reasons.

Falling margins, either gross or operating, often signal a declining competitive position. Thus it’s important to check both.


2.Is There Any Drastic Change In Company’s Management?

If people in top management of the company say director or president who are liable for a company’s success begin to go away, there might be a few negative implications for the future outlook of that company as an investor.

You must look into and find out the root cause and also to see how much it could impact you.

If negative prospects, investor should sell the stock and should relocate the funds into a similar company that has stronger and more constant management.


3. What First Fascinated You To The Stock, No Longer Applies

For example, let’s suppose that you bought a stock of a health care company because of its innovative products in the pharmaceutical field and all of a sudden, it loses a crucial patent for a life-saving medicine.

This may result in a decrease of market share in its industry, which might lead to a reduction in future profits (resulting in a decline in the value of its stock).


Stay Tuned for more on this where we would touch upon other major points needed to keep in mind by investors before making any Buy and sell decision.

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RBI Raises Concern over Circular Investment Btw. MFs & Banks.

RBI Raises Concern over Circular Investment Btw. MFs & Banks

RBI Raises Concern over Circular Investment Btw. MFs & Banks

As per the latest data released from the Reserve Bank of India, nearly 90% of the funds, which are parked by the banks in mutual funds (MFs) come back into the banks.

The funds come in the form of overnight borrowings through various channels.


RBI said that the banks parked Rs 66,687 crore in MFs as of September 25, 2009 in debt and liquid schemes.

In turn, the MFs have lent Rs 29,504 crore under the collateralized lending and borrowing obligation (CBLO) platform and Rs 29,328 crore under market repo, respectively.


CBLO allows non-banks to lend to banks short-term surpluses.

The lending of MF through CBLO and market repo as a percentage of banks’ investment in mutual funds has surged to 88% in September from about 64% in July.


The objection of RBI came when MFs also subscribe to commercial paper issued by corporates, which is tantamount to lending to corporates by MFs, which is ostensibly from funds raised from banks.

RBI has objected against indirect lending by banks through intermediaries.

In this circular flow, MFs lend to corporates, which the banks themselves hesitate to lend, which exposes banks in a regulatory concern.

However, the more serious is its concern over the circular investment between MFs and banks.

Telecom Stocks Continues To Plunge Down :(

Shares of telecom companies continued to decline amid the ongoing tariff war

Shares of telecom companies continued to decline amid the ongoing tariff war

Shares of telecom companies continued to decline amid the ongoing tariff war and the losses of market leaders like Bharti Airtel and Reliance Communications so far this month almost at par.


Since the tariff war started, Bharti Airtel, which enjoys the largest market share, has declined over 23 per cent, while Anil Ambani led Reliance Communications has tanked nearly 31 per cent on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

Telecom stocks are continuously coming down.

The per second plan would act negatively for these companies and accordingly most of the brokerage houses have downgraded the sector.

Regarding RCom, experts said “the slide in the stock was more to do with the tariff war than the audit report and the fact that the company changed from CDMA to GSM also strained its balance sheet.”

Since October 5, shares of Idea Cellular has plunged 13.32 per cent, while the scrip of  Tata Teleservices Maharashtra was down 3.37 per cent.


“In the midst of the tariff war, the face of telecom industry is changing, the telecom story is being re-looked by the investor community.

The winner in this case is customers and the losers are the companies.”

SMC Capitals head of equity Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.


Earlier this month, telecom regulator mooted the plan to ask all the operators to consider per-second pulse as a mandatory tariff option along with their other tariff plans.

Paying tariff based on usage per second instead of the current per minute pulse, would heavily impact the profitability of the telecom operators and on these concerns shares of all major telecom companies slipped into the red.


As subscriber base numbers are also significantly down both in terms of pan India level and individual company wise, it would also affect the share price of the telecom operators significantly.