Posts Tagged ‘industrial growth’

Rising Food Prices Burden the Poor

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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Rising Food Prices Burden the Poor

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Rising prices burden the poor:

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Rising prices of essential commodities coupled with wage deflation and increasing joblessness are pushing the poor households in India to a point of distress.

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Cosmetic measures of the government are unable to address the situation.

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The government of the day is harping upon the idea that an annual GDP growth rate in the range of 7% to 9% would be able to address the situation.

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The country has already experienced a GDP growth rate of 7.9% in the second quarter of the current fiscal 2009-10, but the situation has not improved.

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This is enough to prove that the GDP growth rate alone would not solve the problem.

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Governmentโ€™s heavy dose of fiscal stimulus can give a big push to the corporate performance and post a good industrial growth which has already been possible in the second quarter of the current fiscal year.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we have information regarding dip in sugar output and regarding centre’s direction to state govts to rationalise taxes on food items in order to check price rise.

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Sugar Output dips 2 lakh tonne:

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India produced 7.84 million tonne (78.4 lakh tonne) sugar till January 15 in the current season (October-September), lower by 2 lakh tonne compared to the output in the same period last year, industry body Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) said.

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ISMA attributed the fall in output to sluggish supply of the cane in Uttar Pradesh, the second largest sugar producing state.

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Centre to ask state govts to rationalise taxes on food items to check price rise:

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The central government is expected to strongly emphasize on states the need to rationalize their tax structure on food grains and sugar to bring down price of essential commodities at the forthcoming meeting of state chief ministers later this week.

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Prime Minister Manmohan Singh will hold the review meeting on food prices with state chief ministers.

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According to official sources, agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is also expected to list the steps taken by the central government including :

extension of deadline for white and raw sugar, extra allocations of wheat and rice over normal PDS suppliesโ€”announced after the meeting of cabinet committee on prices last month.

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Indian Industry Expanded At A Fastest Rate in 25 Months :)

Indian Industry Expanded At A Fastest Rate in 25 Months

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India’s industrial output rose at a faster-than-expected 11.7 per cent in November ย from a year earlier, due to stimulus-backed demand for manufactured goods, particularly consumer goods.

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Part of the industrial growth, measured by IIP is no doubt due to a low base of last year but it is mostly attributable to stimulus-driven demand.

Stimulus measures have boosted domestic demand for sure.

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However, industrial growth was just 2.5% in November 2008.

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India’s factory production in November was the fastest in 25 months, raising a debate on whether stimulus provided to spur the economy should continue.

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Meanwhile, manufactured goods, which have around 80% weight in the Index of Industrial Production, which measures industrial growth, grew by 12.7% in November 2009 compared to 2.7% in the same month a year ago.

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Within this category, consumer durable goods production expanded by 37.3% in the month against just 0.3% a year agoย  while industrial output in Q1 of 2009-10 stood at 3.8% and in Q2 at 9.2%.

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Moreover, with better-than-expected performance in November,ย  industrial production in the first 2 months of Q3 now expanded at more than 10%, as it grew by 10.3% in October.

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As such, if the trend is maintained in December, industry would expand at faster pace in the third quarter.

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On the other hand, the continuous rise of industrial production gives enough hope that the recovery is on a firm footing.

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Though it is going to fuel the debate whether stimulus provided by the government to boost the economy should be withdrawn now or not.

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Market experts believe that with respect to stimulus, there could be some withdrawal on the indirect taxes side. This could be required to make up for the fiscal deficit.

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As part of stimulus, government had cut excise duty by six per cent and service tax by two per cent, besides stepping up Plan expenditure taking the total value of stimulus to Rs 1,86,000 crore.

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Indian Corporates Pitched For a Cut in Interest Rates :)

Softer Interest Rate Regime

Stating that it was essential to maintain the growth momentum, India Inc described 6.8% rise in July industrial output as “evidence of recovery and pitched for a cut in interest rate.

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However, although performance in July has been lower than the previous month, vigorous increase in mining and manufacturing has kept up the level of industrial growth at a reasonable level of 6.8%.

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Additionally, it is said that the industrial economy is passing through a very important stage and FICCI has as a result advocated the need for a softer interest rate regime to assist the overall growth process and promote investments.

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“Although performance in July has been somewhat lower than the previous month…nevertheless robust growth in mining and manufacturing have kept up the level of industrial growth at a reasonable level of 6.8 per cent,” Ficci Secretary General Amit Mitra said in a statement.

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On the other hand, the RBI had cut reverse repo and repo rate by 25 basis points each in April whereas in June, the factory production was revised to 8.2% against 7.8% anticipated provisionally.

Moreover, Assocham stated that in future, the force of stimulus packages would also add on to the revival and India could move on to a close to 6.5% of GDP in the present financial year.

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India Industrial Output Up 7.8% :) FDI Flows to Improve ;)

Indian Industrial output

India’s industrial output INIP=ECI rose by a much faster-than-expected 7.8 percent in June from a year earlier, data showed on Wednesday, driven by higher demand for consumer goods and increased mining activity.

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Industrial output rose for the third straight month and clocked its highest rate of expansion since February 2008.

June output was far better than expectations for a 3.3 percent rise, although economists warned that the rapid pace of industrial growth might not be sustainable despite other recent positive signals.

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Output of consumer durable goods such as home appliances rose 15.5 percent from a year earlier.

Though the deficient monsoon has created an uncertainty about the overall growth outlook, the industrial buoyancy at this pace is definitely a strong positive signal.

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There are signs the expansion in activity continued in July, with car sales rising by a blistering 31 percent. Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers showed companies sold 115,067 cars during July, compared with 87,901 cars a year earlier.

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India’s manufacturing activity held steady in July, expanding for the fourth consecutive month, a survey by Markit Economics showed.

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But erratic monsoon rains could cloud demand in the economy.

With just over 40 percent of India’s agricultural land irrigated, farm output is heavily reliant on rains but below normal monsoon could potentially hurt rural demand, which accounts for more than half of India’s domestic consumption.

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