Posts Tagged ‘Indian Market’

Weekly Update 6th-10th September 2010

Stocks rallied this week as the manufacturing in U.S. and China expanded at faster pace reassured investors about the economic recovery. The ISM manufacturing increased to 56.3 for a sizable eight tenths gain from July.

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China’s PMI rose to 51.7 from 51.2, signaling that the economy’s slowdown is stabilizing. In U.S. payroll jobs in August slipped 54,000 after falling a revised 54,000 in July for the third straight month but there was a moderate gain in the private sector.

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Government jobs dropped 121,000 while private non farm employment continued to rise, gaining 67,000 in August. Also on the positive side, wages were up. President Barack Obama said there is “no quick fix” for the economy and will unveil new ideas next week to boost growth and hiring. Chief of Bank of Japan said that the bank is ready to take more actions after giving 10 trillion yen ($118 billion) to a bank loan facility and the nation’s Prime Minister said that the Japanese government is ready to take “bold” action on the currency if necessary which is threatening its exporters.

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India being second biggest emerging economy showed yet another strong performance in terms of growth. The economy saw an expansion of 8.8 percent in the first quarter ending June, the fastest pace in two and a half years giving an imprint of strong underlying domestic demand. Trade data showed that exports rose for the ninth straight month in July 2010, growing an annual 13.2% to $16.24 billion and Imports for the month rose 34.3% to $29.17 billion, widening the country’s trade deficit to $12.93 billion. Exports during the April-July period rose 30.1% to $68.63 billion.

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Being a short trading week, stock specific activity is expected to rule in the market as investors would like to see Industrial Production numbers for the month of July scheduled to be released on Friday, 10th September. In line with rebound in the global indices, Indian market too witnessed sharp bounce after testing the major support zone of 5350 levels. As expected, dollar index traded with the negative bias throughout the week and likely to be sideways to negative bias in the coming days as well. Keeping in the mind all the cues, one may stay long with trailing stop loss strategy or book partial profit on rally to avoid any notional loss. Nifty has support between 5400-5350 and Sensex between 17800-17600 levels.

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Currency play together with some improvements in economic releases invited bulls in industrial metals while energy pack could not retort positively. Bullions continued to rock on investment demand. Now there is a state of confusion on the subject of the further trend in commodities. Dollar index has taken the crucial support of 82 and moved northward. Base metals gave knee jerk reaction on weak unemployment data of US at the same time as precious metals are trading near multi week high. Various interest rate meeting may inject volatility in commodities. Buying is still intact but upside appears to be limited in short run in base metals. Furthermore, base metals and crude oil are moving in a different direction that is a cause of concern for the market players. It is creating an ambiguous situation and indicating unclear trend of commodities.

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Weekly Update 15th – 19th March

Here’s the weekly update again 🙂

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Its weekly overview of the Indian as well as of the Global economy.



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Despite volatility throughout the week, Indian market posted fifth consecutive weekly gains, the biggest stretch of weekly gains since June 2009, but closed flat on Friday erasing early gains as traders booked profits in selected stocks due to lack of triggers from global markets and as in line January IIP failed to lift sentiments of the market participants.

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On the contrary, though the broader index, Nifty closed in green but there was selling in mid cap and Small cap stocks as evident from the fact that BSE Midcap Index was down -0.51 per cent and BSE Small cap Index moved -0.79 per cent lower.

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On the Global Markets front; except Shanghai Comp., all the Asian markets closed in green.  🙂  European markets too closed in the positive terrain led by banking stocks.

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Both FTSE 100 and CAC 40 were up by 0.47 per cent and 0.42 per cent respectively. 🙂

Even mixed economic reports held the US stock market to only modest moves on Friday but gains for the week were strong.

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Uneven figures on retail sales and consumer confidence gave investors little new insight into the economy. If we talk about Indian economy, some concerns pertaining to further tightening in monetary policy after a partial withdrawal of fiscal stimulus in the budget have emerged in the light of robust manufacturing activity as indicated by IIP numbers.

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A sustained recovery in India’s industrial output which stood at 16.7% in January on a YoY basis as against 17.6% YoY growth recorded in the month of December and ballooning inflation is expected to force RBI to hike policy rates in its monetary policy review on 20’Th April.

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The food price index rose 17.81% in the 12 months to 27 February 2010, while the fuel price index was up 11.38%.

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FIIs net investment in Indian equity markets has crossed $75 billion mark. So far in calendar year 2010, FIIs have made net investments of $2.5 billion, of which $2.3 billion net flow made in last eight trading days since Union Budget 2010 held on February 26, reflecting the strong economic fundamentals of Indian economy, as well as confidence of the foreign investors in the growth and stability of the Indian market.

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For the forth coming weeks, advance tax payment by the major corporate will give an indication of fourth quarter earnings & would help market to take further direction in the coming week.

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Overall trend of world markets is up. The fall in the dollar index and rise in Euro from lower levels is giving support to stock markets.

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Nifty has support between 5030-4950 and Sensex between 16700-16400 levels. The coming week will give more clarity after the FOMC meet.

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As the rally after the budget had been swift and markets had a five week continuous rally, it seems that our markets are more in a consolidation mode before they take their next direction.

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Right now, investors are mostly following the “Wait & Watch” strategy and refraining to build heavy position at the time when market is expecting mixed outcome of economic releases and dollar index is oscillating between ranges.

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Market is waiting for clear direction. Recent downtrend in LME stocks is offset by still-slow pace of demand recovery, and we expect a range trading in base metals complex with downside bias.

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News that China has started work on its second phase of state strategic oil reserves in the southern province of Guangdong, is limiting the downside in crude oil prices.

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However, cautious trading is advised here as it appears overbought.

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Stay Tuned for More updates

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

RUBBER – STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD Final Part

Hello Friends here we come up with an extension of our previous blog, RUBBER – “STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD” Part 1

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RUBBER - STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD

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In previous Blog, we had touched upon the aspects like that of the investment scenario of rubber in India, price movement of the rubber in Indian market and gap in the demand and supply of the rubber in the market.

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Now in this part, we would look into the impact of the shortage of rubber industry on major industries and the scenario of the rubber production in other countries.

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IMPACT ON MAJOR INDUSTRIES:

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The acute shortages of rubber in the market & rising input cost have affected the tyre industry.

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The ticking demand from automobile industry is growing with days passing by, & the steep rise in raw material cost is exerting pressure on the companies to hike their product prices.

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Apollo has proposed a 5-10 per cent hike while JK Tyres may raise prices by 3-5 per cent.

The automobile firms are presently negotiating the price hike with the tyre companies.

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To curb this negative inflationary impact, the industry has asked permission for duty free import of one lakh tonnes.

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THE ELEVATION “Estimating the future”:

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Thailand & Indonesia accounting for over 60% of the global rubber production, have reported for a            9% & 6% fall in production this year.

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Also Malaysia output hit at 77,620 tonnes in November may pull other nations like China to make a aggressive buying from India.

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The country not confronting any shortage in the domestic market with higher relatively higher opening stock at 2.47 lakh tonnes by November-end is in a safer position as compared to other countries.

This is due to the higher import by the industry which was pegged at 1.32 lakh tonnes during the period.

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Estimating the future, in the lines of rise in domestic consumption by 3.5% as in this year  & export demand coming to the country with shortage in the major producing countries, the prices may ignite further.

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PLANNED LAYOUT “Paving the Way”:

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The government had decided to double the NR production in the country within a period of 10 years, with identifying & bringing around 4.5 lakh hectares of land under cultivation.

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The planned layout:

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1. To increase the acreage in the north-east by 26,200 hectares by 2011-12.

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2. Financial assistance to the tune of Rs 30,000 per hectare for fresh planting and re-planting activities in      these areas.

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3. Expenditure of Rs 23.47 crore for human resource development.

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4. Allocation of Rs 8.8 crore for research and development operations.

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5. An earmark of Rs 19.55 crore for assisting nursing of plantations, processing and marketing of rubber.

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6. Providing fencing to 25,000 hectares for rubber plantation and an additional 500 hectares with irrigation facilities during the eleventh five-year plan.

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7. In order to co-ordinate the development operations in the north-eastern states, an additional Rubber Production Commissioner exclusively for these area will be appointed.

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This was the final part of the topic RUBBER ………… “STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD”.

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Stay Tuned for more write ups in “Commodity Corner Series” on SMC Global Blog.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please Click Here

RUBBER – STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD Part 1

Hello Friends here we come up with another write up on “Commodity Corner Series”.

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Topic is RUBBER ………… “STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD”

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RUBBER - STRETCHING & MOVING ON THE WAY AHEAD

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We would touch upon aspects like the investment scenario of rubber in India and price movement of the rubber in Indian market.

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We would also read about the gap in the demand and supply of the rubber in the market.

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Rubber is springy & has the potential energy of getting stretched.

These properties are also seen in the price movement of the prices.

The year 2009, has given stretchable & phenomenal return on investing in rubber futures.

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INDIAN SCENARIO :

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The four-month period between October and January is the peak season of rubber output in the country.

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The total area of plantations in the country is 662,000 hectares of which 92-93 per cent is in Kerala.

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Tripura is the second-largest rubber planting state in India after Kerala.

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DEMAND & SUPPLY GAP –Walkthrough 2009:

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As we know that profit increases when the difference or the gap between the cost price & the selling price increases.

This immense gap was witnessed in rubber prices.

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Tight supply & tracking the rise in Asian markets like Tokyo and Singapore gave momentum to the prices to rise through out the year.

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The Indian industry consumed 356,400 tonnes of natural rubber (58 per cent of the total domestic consumption) during April-November.

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In April-November, natural rubber production in India dropped 6.5 per cent at 538,125 tonnes against an increase of 3.5 per cent in consumption at 614,600 tonnes.

So there was a gap of 76,475 tonnes in production and consumption.

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PRICE MOVEMENT “Focus on the journey, not the destination”:

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The spot prices at the benchmark Kochi had begun its journey at Rs.67.23/Kg & touched the high of Rs. 139.19 within a year.

Strong appreciation in prices in all major global markets which touched Rs 130.48 per kg, made the domestic market bullish.

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Similarly, the futures at MCX posted a gain of 78.94% as of 22nd December, 2009.

This spike was also supported by the increased gap between production & supply.

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Next Blog we would read about the impact of the shortage of rubber industry on major industries and the scenario of the rubber production in other countries.

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Stay Tuned for more on this.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please Click Here

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Food Inflation at 13.7% !!

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

Food inflation at 13.7%

Food inflation at 13.7%

Food inflation at 13.7%:

The food price inflation went up marginally to 13.7% for the week ended October 31 following an increase in vegetable prices, but the arrival of winter crop is expected to bring down the prices soon.

The built up inflation in the current year, or the increase in prices from the beginning of the current fiscal to end of October, has been strong at 14.4% against 7.67% in the corresponding period last year, data released on Wednesday showed.

This rise has been particularly steep in case of pulses (21.2%), vegetables (54.5%) and potatoes at (127.6%), clearly indicating that poorer segment of the population, who would spend a high proportion of their income on food, would have been hit hard by the increase in the prices.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we can see that wheat production in country is set to increase by 2 million Tonne in 2009-10.

Wheat Production to Increase by 2 Million Tonne in 2009-10:

Wheat acreage and production is expected to increase in 2009-10 rabi season.

A large area, which was not sown under rice due to poor monsoon this year, is expected to come under wheat according to scientists.

Area in central and southern belt will increase as unsown area will come under wheat.

Also, in the Indo-Gangetic plain of the Punjab plain, the Haryana plains, and the middle and lower ganga area will increase.

Rains in the month of September have ensured moisture availability for wheat.

However, the late harvesting of paddy (due to increase in temperature in the last week of October) has delayed sowing of wheat which is a big concern for the agriculture scientist and the farmers.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

Dalal Street Investors Hoping for Diwali Cracker ;)

Dalal Street Investors Hoping for Diwali Cracker

Dalal Street Investors Hoping for Diwali Cracker

September, for Dalal Street investors, was an unusually good month, raising hopes of a better Diwali in October after two consecutive years of subdued celebrations.

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During the month, sensex gained in 14 of the 20 session and added 1,461 points, or 9.3%, to 17,127.

Brokers and dealers admitted that much of these gains came on the back of liquidity, the inflow of money from abroad.

BSE data showed that so far this month net buying by FIIs in the secondary market alone was at a whopping Rs 18,200 crore, nearly $4 billion.

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On last Wednesday of september alone, FIIs net bought stocks worth over Rs 1,000 crore.

Sebi data showed net FII buying in 2009 at $12.2 billion, the second highest yearly inflow ever for the Indian market.

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However, going forward there could be some correction, market participants feel.

October is a short month, and one would be wary of the latest move in the index, which has been very fast.

Based on cues from the US, one would not be surprised to see a correction of about 10%, to say 4,600 nifty by end of October, which is healthy in our view, experts said.

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On last Wednesday of september, Nifty ended at 5,084.

With the Bharti Airtel-MTN deal off and the US markets showing weakness in early trades, the market could witness some correction in coming days.

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Movers and Shakers of Today’s Market : 22nd AuG,2009 :)

gainers and Losers

MOvers and Shakers

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Here we present you with the data of Top Gainers and Losers in BSE Index and NSE Nifty for today.

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Top Gainers shows the list of stocks that have gained the most (% terms) compared to their last closing prices. 🙂

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Top Losers shows the list of stocks that have lost the most (% terms) compared to their last closing prices.

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1. Top Gainers in Sensex

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Top Gainers Sensex

2. Top Losers in Sensex

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Top Losers Sensex

3. Top Gainers in Nifty

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Top Gainers

4. Top Losers in Nifty

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Top Losers Nifty


Click HERE to view company’s detailed stock quote and company profile.

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Top Gainers shows the list of stocks that have gained the most (% terms) compared to their last closing prices. 🙂

Top Losers shows the list of stocks that have lost the most (% terms) compared to their last closing prices. 😦