Posts Tagged ‘Indian equities’

Indians Equities Gained a Meagre 14 Points this Week

Indians Equities Gained a Meagre 14 Points this Week

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A benchmark index of Indian equities gained a meagre 14 points this week from its last weekly close even as broader indices managed to move up significantly and foreign investors bought into a wide range of scrips.

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Trading this week was range-bound on most days, and brushed aside improved industrial output numbers.

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The 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) rose 14.1 points or 0.08 percent to end Friday at 17,584.87 points, from its previous weekly close at 17,540.29 points.

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The broader S&P CNX Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) moved up 0.14 percent or 7.45 points from its last weekly close to end at 5,252.2 points.

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Broader market indices, however, reflected the buying interest in mid-to-small sized scrips as the BSE midcap index ended 1.5 percent up and the BSE smallcap index rose 3.14 percent.

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Data with markets watchdog Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) showed that foreign funds were net buyers during the week, having bought scrips worth $981.55 million.

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According to Jagannadham Thunuguntla, the equity head for brokerage firm SMC Capitals, the benchmark indices will continue to see a lot of sideways movement, having rallied over 90 percent in a year.

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‘Such sideways movement is expected, and will be the norm for some time to come.

Positive economic numbers and encouraging corporate results will not always translate into gains in the market,’ said Thunuguntla.

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The week started on a lackluster note Monday, with the Sensex ending 13 points lower at 17,526.71 points due to profit booking in front line stocks — Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, and SBI.

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The Nifty, which followed a similar trajectory to the BSE benchmark, managed to gain marginally at 5,249.4 points, a rise of 0.09 percent.

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The top gainers in the Sensex were TCS (up 13.1 percent), Wipro (up 10.2 percent), Infosys (up 8.6 percent), ACC (up 7.5 percent) and Ambuja Cements (up 6.9 percent).

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Among top losers were SBI (down 6.2 percent), Hindalco (down 3.9 percent), ICICI Bank (down 3.6 percent), Hindustan Unilever (down 3.6 percent) and Reliance Infra (down 3.3 percent).

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🙂

FLASHBACK 2009


For India, 2009, been a great year with the return of a stable government at centre, good FII inflow, 80% increase in the Indian stock market and less terror attacks. But globally, H1N1 influenza and a series of bankruptcy by some big international giants are some events, which we never want to happen again.

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Putting behind the worst annual performance ever, Indian equities were on a roll in 2009, catapulting a key index by more than 80 percent, to close the year with one of the best gains among emerging markets.

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At closing bell Thursday, the 30-share benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) was ruling at 17,464.81 points with an impressive gain of 7,817.5 points, or 81.03 percent, over the previous year’s close at 9,647.31 points.

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This was the best annual performance since 1999 and was in sharp contrast to 2008, when the Sensex ended with a hefty loss of 10,639.68 points or 52.45 percent making it the third-worst performing equities index among emerging markets.

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The story was no different at the National Stock Exchange (NSE), the other major bourse in the country, where the broader 50-scrip S&P CNX Nifty gained a hefty 2,241.9 points or 75.76 percent when it closed at 5,201.05 points Thursday.

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The main factors that made key indices rise like a Phoenix was resilience of the Indian economy and impressive growth despite global slowdown that also reflected in corporate earnings and the return of the foreign institutional funds.

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According to markets watchdog, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, such overseas funds pumped about $17.46 billion into the Indian stock markets in 2009, as opposed to a net sale worth $13.135 billion for the first time in over a decade..

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‘The performance in 2009 surpassed the expectations of even the most optimistic person. There were not many places left for foreign funds to invest and India was among the few attractive destinations,’ said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

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Even as the Sensex gained 7,817.5 points, some of the 13 sector-specific indices stood out because of their performance — the metals index appreciated the most, up 233.68 percent, while auto followed with a gain of 204.16 points..

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Similarly, the indices for information technology was up 132.78 percent, capital goods gained 104.26 percent, consumer durables rose 97.8 percent, banking gained 83.9 percent, state-run enterprises inflated 80.54 percent, power moved up by 74.3 percent.

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On the whole, the year started on a promising note with the government unveiling a second dose of fiscal stimulus to help the economy weather the adverse impact of a slowdown in the global economy — touted as the worst in eight decades.

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As a result, the Sensex rallied till Jan 6 and gained 7.13 percent in just three days of trading. But then came the confession of a multi-million dollar fraud by Satyam Computer founder B. Ramalinga Raju, triggering a 7.25 percent fall in just one session.

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Till February, the barometer index was oscillating between 9,000-odd points and 10,300-levels. But as signs of a prolonged economic recession receded the world over, Indian equities found more takers and reflected in steady rise in the index.

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By the beginning of May it was trading comfortably around the 12,000-point mark and gave a thumping welcome to the electoral victory of the Congress party-led United Progressive Alliance — that even saw suspension of trading as indices hit the upper circuit twice.

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On that eventful day of May 18, the Sensex stood at 14,284.21 points, gaining 2,110.79 points, or 17.33 percent, over the previous close, while Nifty also rose 17.3 percent, or 636.4 points, to close at 4,308.05 points.

The remaining months of the year saw a steady rise in the index with interim corrections even as events like the presentation of an industry-friendly national budget and a high growth for the economy during the second quarter boosted investor sentiments.

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Looking at individual stocks that go into the Sensex basket, the top five gainers during 2009 were Tata Motors, up 398.33 percent at Rs.792.60; Mahindra and Mahindra, up 293.23 percent at Rs.1,080.80; Sterlite Industries, up 230.45 percent at Rs.861.65; Hindalco, up 211.23 percent at Rs.160.75; and Maruti Suzuki, up 199.88 percent at Rs.1,559.65.

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Only three stocks ended lower — Bharti Airtel was down 54.02 percent at Rs.328.80; Reliance Communications was down 23.92 percent at Rs.172.90; and Reliance Industries which ended lower since the company declared a 1:1 bonus.

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Looking ahead, the markets expect some more action once the government’s divestment programme gets underway even as investors have their fingers crossed on when the Sensex will breach the magical 21,000 mark.

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So, overall, the year 2009 has been one of the most significant chapters in the stock market growth with an increase of 80% in its value. Further, we keep our spirits high on FM’s comment that Indian economy can grow at 7.75% in FY10.

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Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? “No” Says India’s Think Tank :)

 

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? "No" Says India's Think Tank


Indian policy-makers
are not really worried over the potential adverse impact on the country’s economy because of the multi-billion-dollar debt default risk faced by Dubai World, ranked among the largest conglomerates in the region.

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Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said “India is a very large economy. It is a resilient economy”.

“I don’t think some development in real estate in Dubai will have an impact on the Indian economy” he added.

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🙂

He also said “As far as India is concerned, the housing, real estate sector and construction industry are all doing well.

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This is confirmed by the increasing demand for construction materials, cement and steel,”

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Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla also saw little impact of the Dubai World’s woes on the country’s economy.

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Though he was a trifle more circumspect and preferred to watch the situation before hazarding a guess.

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“We will have to study what the issue is, what is the problem, what will be the possible implication if any for the Indian economy, the people and corporates,” Chawla told.

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Asked if the crisis will impact money flows into India,since the Gulf region accounts for over half the total inward remittances worth over $25 billion annually from expatriate Indians,

Chawla said: “It’s unlikely.”

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The state-run Dubai World stunned the global financial world Thursday when it announced it would need to restructure its debt, estimated at $59 billion, to preempt default and asked creditors for a six-month deferment.

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The conglomerate, which has a host of companies under its fold, has interests in a wide range of businesses such as realty, infrastructure, logistics and economic zones.

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And that is not just in the region but across a clutch of countries including India.

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🙂

Indian equities reacted adversely to the development, with the benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) down as much as 634.16 points, or 3.76 percent, midway into the trading session Friday.

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It later recovered and closed with a loss of some 220 points, or 1.3 percent over the previous close.

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🙂

Indian markets have rallied more than 100 percent from the lows a year ago,mostly backed by news of recovery and not necessarily on fundamentals,”

said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of brokerage firm SMC Capital.

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“This is why such news will have a negative impact on our markets and we will be dragged down,” Thunuguntla, who heads the equities division of SMC Capital told.

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Even some Gulf-based companies, like Emmar, which have business interests in India, said there will be virtually no impact on their ongoing projects in India.

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The response was similar from India’s leading engineering and construction major Larsen and Toubro Ltd, which said its exposure in Dubai was around $20-$25 million.

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🙂

FII Net Inflow Crossed $8 Billion in 8 Months :)

FII Net Inflow

FIIs’ net investments in Indian equities crossed $8 billion in calendar 2009 with foreigners buying stocks worth $274 million on Friday.

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At the end of July, net inflows from FIIs stood at $7.3 billion and it took another 20 trading sessions before net inflows crossed the $8-billion mark, the first time this year.

The sensex has risen 65% till now in 2009.

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Last year, hit by recession back home FIIs took out nearly $12 billion from Indian stock markets but with sentiment improving from March this year, they have returned with net investment amounting to $9.3 billion, Sebi data shows.

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Data include stocks bought by FIIs through QIPs and public offers, buybacks and also investments in unlisted companies, fund flow trackers said.

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As per experts this phenomena has happened because India is being considered as one of the better performing market since the October crash.

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Experts maintains that despite immediate headwinds such as impact of poor monsoons on agriculture and uncertain rural economy, the growth potential in the economy cannot be overlooked.

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“Investors will be looking for value and India could be very well the destination” experts pointed out.

With FIIs holding 16% of India’s biggest 500 companies, market experts believe FII holding may rival the 19.1% peak in 2007 as the third-largest Asian economy continues to grow at a decent pace.

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Bank strike hits individuals, corporates alike :(

Bank Strike

A strike by over a million employees of 25 state-run banks hit both individual and corporate customers Friday, the second day of the two-day strike over wages and pensions.

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While bank managements tried to keep automated teller machines (ATMs) across the country supplied with cash, cheques were not being cleared, delaying payments all around.

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Eighty-five percent of the bank branches have reported closed.
It’s difficult to quantify how much business has been affected, but there was hardship in store for the people.

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People were inconvenienced across the country with hundreds of ATMs getting closed.


A handful that were open, such as in Kolkata, did not have cash.

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In Bangalore, banking operations, especially transactions have virtually halted, with majority of ATMs running out of cash since Thursday evening.

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The trading volume at Indian equities and bond markets is also expected to be slim Friday as a lot of payments are routed through state-run banks.

‘In bond markets, banks are big players and hence volumes will be down. As settlements and clearance process are hampered, equity trading may also get affected,’ said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

It is estimated that an average 3.52 million cheques (valued around Rs. 26,767 crore) were cleared every day during May 2009.
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Private sector banks are open, but operations which involve transactions with public sector banks are expected to be affected.

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While bank managements tried to keep automated teller machines (ATMs) across the country supplied with cash, cheques were not being cleared, delaying payments all around.

‘Eighty-five percent of the bank branches have reported closed. It’s difficult to quantify how much business has been affected, but there will be hardship for the people