Posts Tagged ‘financial year’

Indian Banking System Witnesses Slowdown in Deposit Growth

Despite deposit rates being revised by various commercial banks, the Indian banking system is witnessing a lull in deposit growth, according to data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). On a year-on-year (YOY) basis, the deposit growth in the banking system rose 14.79% (34 bps higher over the previous fortnight) to Rs 46,90,703.28 crore during the fortnight ended September 10. Further, during the previous fortnight ended August 27, 2010; the deposits mobilized by banks grew by 14.45% to Rs 46,70,237 crore. Hence, the deposits collected by banks went up by Rs 20,465 crore, against an increase of around Rs 38,658 crore in the previous fortnight.

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People from the top management of various banks are citing their reasons for this lull. B A Prabhakar, ED, Bank of India (BoI) said, “Like credit growth, deposit growth is looking sticky. It is because people may be holding a lot of cash in hand.” Further, HSU Kamath, ED, Canara Bank, said, “People are putting their money in other schemes like post office savings schemes, mutual funds and stock market investment. With the sensex touching 20,000 mark, equity market investments look attractive to the people. It should be one of the causes of slower deposit growth. Now rate of deposits have gone up by 100-200 basis points across the banking industry, that situation will be corrected soon and deposit growth is expected to pick up by the end of September,” he added.

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Industry experts also believe the current rally in equity markets to be the major reason for this slowdown and argue that this jump has lured people’s attention to equity market instruments from the traditional banks’ term deposits. In this backdrop, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised repo and reverse repo rates by 25 and 50 basis points (bps), respectively, on September 16, though most banks are yet to follow suit. Worried over this development, RBI is prodding banks to increase their deposit rates.

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Going further, though the central bank had projected 18% growth in deposits for 2010-11, it has not exceeded 15% in this financial year so far.

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Government Will Take Necessary Steps to Control Inflation

Finance Minister, Mr. Pranab Mukherjee, said on Tuesday that rising inflation is a major area of concern and the government will take necessary steps to control prices.

Mr. Mukherjee said Inflation has risen mainly due to the prices of food that have gone up in last month. According to the provisional data issued on Monday by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the reported inflation rate accelerated to 4.78% in November to 1.34% in October.

Pranab Mukherjee also said the government is taking necessary steps to cut its recorded fiscal deficit to 3 % of GDP after 2001/12, from 6.8 % estimated for the current financial year ending March 2010.

During 2005-06 and 2007-08, the economic growth was recorded at 9 % is mainly coming down due to Inflation and high financial loss, which is creating obstacles in the way of economic development.

Mukherjee told in parliament, “Prices are a major area of concern and we shall have to address it.” He also added “Whatever steps are needed, we will take those steps,”

The government agencies are paying high prices to farmers for buying grains and supply shortage of food items in the country, resulted in increase of inflation in the last four decades.

According to the latest government data released shows food inflation at 16.7 % in November, which have pushed the inflation to 4.78 %.

Taking the steps to control inflation, the Reserve Bank of India (BBI) has cut its policy lending rate by 425 basis points between October 2008 and April 2009, reduced Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and brought in liquidity in financial markets to control the increasing Inflation rate.

The government also increased the tax slabs and higher spending, which widened the fiscal deficit that has to be funded by a record borrowing of 4.51 trillion rupees ($96.6 billion) in 2009-10.

Mr. Mukherjee also said the deficit was “unsustainable”, and the government would reduce it to 5.5 % in financial year 2010-11 and to 4 % in 2011-12″ and thereafter, we shall have to come back to 3%.”

The government”s fiscal deficit has touched almost half of the full-year estimate in the first six months of FY”10. The fiscal deficit for the six-month period stood at Rs 1,97,775 crore, which is 49.3 per cent of the total estimate of Rs 4,00,996 crore for this fiscal. The fiscal deficit during the same period last year was at 77 per cent of the annual estimate.

It swelled to 6.2 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) last fiscal against budget estimates of 2.5 per cent.

E-Filing of Service Tax to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

E-Filing of Service Tax Set to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

E-Filing of Service Tax Set to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

The government will make electronic filing of service tax mandatory within a couple of months, said a senior official of the Central Board of Excise and Customs (CBEC).

“Electronic filing of service tax will be made compulsory in the next two months,” CBEC member Mr Y G Parande told reporters on the sidelines of a PHD chamber seminar.

Parande also expressed hope that despite impact of stimulus package on realisation of revenue, the government would meet service tax collection target during the financial year.

During the year, the government proposed to garner Rs 65,000 crore as service tax.

The service tax collection during the first seven months has dropped by 5.4 per cent to Rs 28,926 crore compared with corresponding period last year.

The collections of indirect tax, including customs, excise and service tax, fell by 21.6 per cent to Rs 1,26,903 crore during the period of April-October.

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Attributing decline in revenue collections to incentives given by the government to help the economy combat the impact of global slowdown, Mr Parande said, “certainly, the stimulus packages have had the effect (on indirect tax collections), particularly because rates were brought down.”

Earlier, stimulus packages and economic slowdown have hit the exchequer hard as indirect tax collections shrunk by 21.6 per cent to Rs 1.27 lakh crore in the first seven months of this fiscal, against Rs 1.62 lakh crore a year ago.

All the three components of indirect tax — excise, customs and service tax — have registered decline in collections.

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As stimulus is taking a heavy toll on the exchequer, talks have also already begun about when to withdraw it.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had said it will be phased out from next fiscal, while Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee had said it will continue till the global economy recovers.

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Banks Pushes for Short Term Credit :)

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Banks have started pushing short-term credit to shore-up loan books before the end of the lean season.

Bank’s move is attributed to abundant liquidity.

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According to highly placed bank officials, credit off take continue to be lacklustre.

Credit growth this year was hardly a third of the level for the corresponding period of the previous year.

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This financial year, non-food credit was only Rs 29,133 crore as against Rs 98,840 crore during the corresponding year-ago period.

This translated into an incremental credit-deposit ratio of just 12 per cent as against 53 per cent for the same period of the last financial year.

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Meanwhile, the majority of corporate loan off-take (especially by large corporates) was in the form of short-term loans.

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Most of the loans are for short durations like of the 30 days.

These loans are refinanced with commercial paper (CP) issues.

Further, the loans were priced low, as between 7 and 8 per cent.

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Such short-terms advances were then repaid when corporate made their CP placements.

Last week alone, public sector corporates, including SAIL, had raised at least Rs 2,000 crore through six-month CP issues priced as low as 5 per cent.

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Bankers feel short-term credit push would help them beef-up loan books for the second quarter of the financial year.

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Investors Wealth Up 80% in Just Over Five Months :)

Investors-gain-Rs25lakh-cr

Investor wealth has increased by over Rs 25 lakh crore in just over five months from the beginning of the current financial year, on improving sentiments in the domestic and global markets.

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According to an analysis of the valuations for the period (Apr 1-Sep 18), the combined market capitalization of all the firms listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange increased by Rs 25,02,749 crore or nearly 80 per cent.

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Analysts believe the rise in investor wealth has been due to the upbeat market sentiments on indications of global economic recovery.

“The markets have given a healthy return on the back of positive mood among domestic and international investors,” SMC Global‘s Vice President Rajesh Jain said.

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The total market valuation increased to Rs 56, 35,835.75 crore on Sep 18 from Rs 31,33,086.7 crore on Apr 1.

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While, the 30-share benchmark index Sensex has given a healthy return of nearly 70% to hover around 16,700 level in September against 9,900 level in April.

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The Sensex companies, which comprises of about 45 per cent of the total market capitalisation of all the companies, saw its combined market valuation rise by over Rs 10,00,000 crore in the reviewed period.

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The combined market capitalisation of the 30 blue-chip stocks rose to Rs 25,31,831.55 crore on Sep 18 from Rs 15,31,252.34 crore on Apr 1.

However, the total turnover of the Sensex companies dropped to Rs 1,597.42 crore on Sep 18 from 1,705.52 crore on Apr 1.

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Jain also said that the drop in the volumes is due to less participation of retail investors in the markets, which reflects that the run is mainly on account of institutional money, both domestic and international.

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Meanwhile, foreign investment into the Indian stock markets are likely to cross USD 10 billion-mark by the end of this month.

Huge sum of USD 9.8 billion (Rs 47,674 crore) have already been poured into the bourses by overseas entities so far in 2009.

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Indian Export to Register 10% Growth during 2010-11 :)

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With all sectors including textile showing recovery, the total export from India is likely to register 10% increase during 2010-11.

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However, the growth during this fiscal (2009-10) would be either flat or marginally negative, although export observed a marginal decrease during the last financial year due to global recession.

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While, it is said that almost all the sectors in India were showing a stimulation or plus-growth, including automobile, plantation and engineering.

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On the other hand, it is said that the economic situation is not really that bad and there is a sign of revival during the last two to three months whereas the year 2010-11 is said to be good for all the sectors, particularly textile, which was feeling the ”cyclic pinch” and that would be back to business in the year.

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Though textile would continue to remain weak in 2009, there could be recovery in the year 2010 and once the demand from the USA and EU improves, it is expected to achieve a reasonable growth 🙂

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However, though there was a steep export growth in textiles and clothing in the first half of 2008-09, there had been slowdown in demand from major markets, USA and EU, due to the global economic crisis.

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India on way to Become 3rd Largest Steel Producer by 2013.

India-3rd largest-steel-producer

The capacity expansions being carried out by various steel majors and the increase in crude steel production has pushed up India’s ranking to the fifth largest crude steel producer in the world.

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However, during the financial year 2008-2009, India produced 55 million tonne of steel and became the fifth largest steel producer stated Goutam Kumar Basak, Executive Secretary of the Joint Plant Committee (JPC) constituted by the Government of India.

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Additionally, as per the data available with JPC they have produced 22.14 million tonnes of steel during April-August this year, a jump by 6.6% compared to the figure of corresponding period last year.

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The capacity expansions being carried out by various steel majors and the increase in crude steel production has pushed up India’s ranking to the fifth largest crude steel producer in the world.

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Moreover, he expressed assurance that the steel sector would produce 60 million tonne steel this financial year.

On the other hand, China, which produced 501 million tonnes last year, was the leading steel producers in the world followed by Japan(119 million tonnes), USA (91 Million tonnes), Russia (69 Million tonnes).

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India, which had earlier set itself the target of becoming the world’s third largest steel producer by 2013, is also aiming to produce 124 mt of steel by 2011-12, as per the 11Th five year plan.

Going by the production of steel in the country so far, India is on its way to become the third largest steel producer in the world very soon.

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