Posts Tagged ‘Economy’

Equity News Update

DOMESTIC NEWS

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Economy

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•The Food Price index increased 13.75 per cent in the week ended October16, sharply lower that the previous week’s annual rise of 15.53 per cent,mainly as vegetables continued to exert downward pressure on account ofa base effect.

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Power

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•Reliance Power Ltd has placed order for 30,000 MW capacity of Boiler,Turbine, Generator Packages (BTG) for its coal based power plants withShanghai Electric Group Co Ltd, the leading global supplier of powerequipments.

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Realty/ Construction

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•Nagarjuna Construction has bagged four projects worth 540 crore in thestates of Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh.

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Capital Goods

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•BGR Energy Systems has bagged a 2,168-crore balance of plant (BoP)contract from Hyderabad-based Thermal Powertech Corporation of IndiaLtd. The project is funded by Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) as thelead lender with consortium of banks.

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Automobile

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•Maruti Suzuki India (MSI) is planning to ramp up its service centres by amassive 1,500 outlets by 2015 in line with its expansion of productioncapacity to over 17 lakh units annually. This enhancement is expected toresult in additional employment of about 22,000 people by the servicenetwork operators.Information Technology

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•Wipro Ltd, India’s No 3 software services provider, secured an IT servicescontract from Electricity North West Ltd, which operates the electricitydistribution network in north-west England.

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•Tata Consultancy Services announced an ASP (application service provider)initiative with Strate, the licensed Central Securities Depository (CSD) inSouth Africa. This joint venture with TCS, for the TCS BaNCS SecuritiesProcessing solution, will provide best-in-class and leading-edgetechnology to mid-tier players in the South African market.

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Pharmaceuticals

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•Strides Arcolab has received tentative approval from US Food and DrugAdministration (FDA) for one new drug application (ANDA) for fixed dosecombination of Lamivudine and Zidovudine tablets 150mg/300mg underthe expedited review provisions of the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDSRelief (PEPFAR).

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•Biocon will invest $161 million in a facility in Malaysia, joining a number ofIndian companies that have chosen to establish facilities in the South-EastAsian country.

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Oil & Gas

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•Petronet LNG plans to set up a 1,200-MW gas-based power plant linked toits Dahej terminal and will seek the approval of its board in a month. Theproject would be financed through internal accruals and debt. Thecompany has already acquired about 50 hectares of land for the project.

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INTERNATIONAL NEWS

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•US third quarter GDP expanded at a 2.0 percent annualized pace, followinga 1.7 percent rise the prior quarter. The latest figure matched analysts’projections for a 2.0 percent gain. Year-on-year, real GDP in the secondquarter is up 3.1 percent, compared 3.0 percent in the second quarter.

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•US new home sales rose 6.6 percent to an annual rate of 307,000 inSeptember from an annual rate of 288,000 in August. hile new home salesremain at relatively low levels, the annual rate has moved well off therecord low of 282,000 set in May. Nonetheless, the annual rate of newhome sales in September is still 21.5 percent below the rate seen in thesame month a year ago.

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•US New factory orders for durable goods in September rebounded 3.3percent, following a 1.0 percent decrease in August. The gain inSeptember came in significantly above the consensus forecast for a 1.6percent boost. Excluding transportation, new durables orders fell back 0.8percent, following a 1.9 percent increase in August.

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•US initial claims fell steeply to 434,000 in an October 23 week that isn’tskewed by special factors. The level is the lowest since July as is the fourweekaverage of 453,250. Given that July’s data were distorted byadjustment problems tied to auto retooling, the latest batch of data isperhaps the best so far of the recovery.

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Weekly Update 1-5th November 2010

Global markets saw profit booking ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision on monetary easing at its meeting on 2-3 November 2010 in order to spur growth and to reduce the unemployment rate. Economists expect the Fed to buy between $80 billion and $100 billion worth of assets each month in a new program to stimulate the economy. IMF pointed out that global liquidity, by whichthey meant money supply growth in the G-4 economies of Japan, the US, the euro zone and the UK, has an impact five times as large as domestic liquidity on what it called the liquidity receiving economies, or the emerging markets.

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The U.S. gross domestic product rose at a 2 percent annual rate in the third quarter after a 1.7 percent increase in the previous three months. Japanese factory production fell 1.9 percent in September from August and core consumer prices saw a decline of 1.1 percent from a year earlier added to worries that stronger yen is affecting economy expansion. G-20 finance ministers and central bankers said they will refrain from “competitive devaluation” and let markets have a bigger role in setting foreign-exchange values.

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Citing Inflation a major concern, RBI has last hiked the policy rates by 25 bps in September for the fifth time. Headline inflation has come off to single digit and is likely to come down further going ahead as harvest season produce is expected to come in the market. The government recently allowed duty-free import of rice and wheat and has released grains from its stocks to rein in food price rise. On the manufacturing side, Industrial production growth dropped to 5.6 percent in August from 15.2 percent in July. The growth of six infrastructure industries has further slowed to 2.5% in September, pulled down by contraction in output of coaland petroleum refinery.Though possibility of hike of another 25 bps by RBI in its meeting on 2nd November cannot be ruled out but a large section of the market believes that this timearound RBI may not touch upon the policy rates citing inflation coming down going forward and moderation in manufacturing activity.

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Further the actions taken so far by RBI has yet to give any material affect in the economy as even after the hikes in policy, the banks have yet to make adjustments in interest rates. Nifty has support between 5930-5840 and Sensex between 19640-19200.Sea saw movements in commodities is showing the nervousness among the investors ahead of Fed meeting which is scheduled in this week. If Fed goes for second round of quantitative then it can give confidence to economy and spill over can be seen in commodity as well. On the other side, if Fed goes for less than expected money injection in economy then we can see some downside in base metals and energy.

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Dollar index slid about 6 percent since early September on the talk of same “QE2” in US. Bullions were the major beneficiary of this fall in dollar index. October was a volatile month for commodities in which commodities reacted on every speculation over quantitative easing and agricultural markets going their own way as crops forecasts were cut. Commodities end month with modest gain. Investors should adopt cautious approach ahead of meeting.

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Weekly Update 25th – 29th October

Losses due to profit taking in the Indian markets during initial part of the week were recouped seeing the huge response for Coal India offering especially from the overseas investors. The issue attracted bids that exceeded the combined gross domestic product of Latvia and Iceland. However most of the Asian markets corrected in the week gone by after China unexpectedly raised interest rates to curb inflation and to prevent an asset price bubble in the economy on concerns over regions economic growth.

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The move indicates that the consensus has been reached for lower growth. Albeit past experience has shown that initial interest rate hikes does not give much harm to economic growth. China’s economy expanded by 9.6 percent in the third quarterless than the growth experienced in the prior quarter but higher than the median estimates of 9.5 percent.

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Results of companies from Europe to U.S. supported markets. According to Bloomberg data of the 132 companies in the S&P 500 that reported results since Oct. 7, more than 85 percent have topped analysts’ per- share earnings estimates.Whereas in Europe, of the 46 companies in the Stoxx 600 that have posted results since Oct. 7, 32 have beaten estimates for per-share income.

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The result season has so far been good in India. Banks have posted decent to strong earnings growth. In the Information technology sector TCS and Infosys surprised positively while Wipro surprised negatively. Auto companies are expected to deliver strong set of numbers on the back of higher volumes with price increase. Higher metal prices are likely to provide good earnings to manufacturer of base metals. Cement companies are likely to post bad set of numbers on the back of lower realization and good monsoon season.

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Market is eyeing over G-20 finance chiefs meet to try to resolve differences over countries that are devaluing their respective currencies in order to spur economic growth and to endorse market-based exchange rates in a fresh effort to defuse mounting trade tensions before they hurt the world economy. We may see some volatility in domestic markets on account of expiry week.

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Stock specific activity is likely to play out as the results season is still going on. Nifty has support between 5950-5870 and Sensex between 19640-19200.Good corporate earnings amid falling dollar index are offering opportunities to bulls to keep the momentum in their favour, especially in base metals. 19-commodity Reuters-Jefferies CRB index, which serves as a broad benchmark for commodities investors, was up for a ninth straight week since Aug. 22.

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Monetary tightening by China could not give much impact on base metals prices. In case of bullions, trend is little different. Bullions prices retreated across the board as dollar index grew stronger and investors opted to sell some of their holdings for aprofit. For the time being bullions should move in a range. Market players appears cautious to some extent ahead of next month’s decision from the Federal Reserve about whether to take steps to stimulate the economy. Even energy pack is moving in a range on mixed fundamentals. Bulls are more active in agricultural commodities owing to the ongoing festive fever.

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Equity News Round Up 11th – 15th October

DOMESTIC NEWS

Economy

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•Food inflation eased marginally to 16.24% for the week ended September 25, from 16.44% in the previous week, as improved supplies lowered prices.

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Capital Goods

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•BHEL has bagged a `3,700-crore from Karnataka Power Corporation Ltd for setting up the 700 MW Bellary Thermal Power Station in Karnataka.

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•Lanco Infratech informed that its Vidarbha power project based in Maharashtra, has achieved financial closure. The company has raised debt to the tune of `5,549 crore to fund the project which has an estimated cost of around `6,936 crore. The rest of requirement is funded by equity of `1,387 crore.

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•Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has bagged `1,585 crore orders in July-September period from the construction segment. Of the `1,585 croreorders, `435 crore order is for construction of building projects fromleading developers while `781 crore orders is from “clients forconstruction of hotel, office building and add on orders from its ongoing airport and commercial building projects”.

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Automobile

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•Hero Honda has launched a limited edition of its 100cc motorcyclePassion Pro, priced at `46,300 (ex-showroom Delhi).

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Realty/ Construction

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•IVRCL Infrastructure and Projects said its various divisions have wonorders worth `1,120 crore from sectors including power and transportation. The company’s water division bagged the highest `451crore order, followed by `440 crore by building divisions,`136 crore by transportation division and `92 crore by power division.

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•Punj Lloyd Group has bagged a `539-crore contract from the state owned gas utility GAIL India for laying a natural gas pipeline from Dabholto Bangalore. The project will be executed over a period of 13 months.

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Pharmaceutical

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•Cadila has got approval from US health regulator to market high blood pressure treatment tablets, Losartan Potassium and Losartan Potassium and HCTZ in the American market. The US Food and Drug Administration approval has been granted to the firm’s subsidiary Zydus Cadila, for Losartan Potassium tablets in the strengths of 25 mg, 50 mg and 100 mg and for Losartan Potassium and Hydrochlorothiazide tablets in the strengths of 50/ 12.5 mg and 100/25 mg.

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Power

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•NTPC may invest over `10,000 crore to set up a 2,640 megawatt (Mw)thermal power project at Gidarbaha in Punjab. The Project shall be setup as regional power project by NTPC and would also be the company’s first in the state.

INTERNATIONAL NEWS

•US Pending Home Sales Index jumped more than four percent for asecond straight month, to 82.3 in August (2001 = 100). The prior month was revised to 78.9, shaving July’s gain to 4.5 percent. The readings point to a second straight jump for existing home sales which surged nearly eight percent in August.

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•US non-farm payroll employment fell by 95,000 jobs in September following a revised decrease of 57,000 jobs in August. Economists had expected employment to come in flat compared to the loss of 54,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

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•UK output price index rose 4.4% annually in September, compared with a4.7% gain in August. The increase was a touch higher than the expected 4.3% rise. Output prices gained 0.3% month-on-month after stagnating in August. Excluding food, beverages, tobacco and petroleum, output prices increased 4.6% annually.

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•The Japanese Cabinet approved a 5.05 trillion yen ($62 billion) new stimulus package to boost the economy amid widespread concerns that it could slip back into recession. The new package, which will befinanced by an extra budget, is aimed at addressing labor market issues,social welfare and healthcare services. The government is trying to finalize this additional budget by the end of this month.

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NATURAL GAS……….. THE FUEL OF THE 21ST CENTURY

Natural gas has emerged as the most preferred fuel and vital component of theworld’s supply of energy due to its environmentally cleanest, safest and most useful nature, greater efficiency and cost effectiveness among all energy sources.Natural gas is a mixture of hydrocarbon gases. In its purest form, such as the naturalgas that is delivered to your home, is almost pure methane.

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Growing importance: We require energy constantly, to heat and cook food, and generate electricity. Due to clean burning and lower emission levels of potentiallyharmful byproducts into the air as compared to other fossil fuels, the importance of natural gas in our lives is growing constantly. The demand of natural gas has sharplyincreased in the last two decades at the global level. In India too, the natural gas sector has gained importance, particularly over the last decade, and is being termedas the fuel of the 21st Century.The industrial and electricity sector accounts for the greatest proportion of natural gas use across the world. The US residential sector consuming the second greatestquantity of natural gas.

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Global Production: According to U.S. Department of Energy, globally total provedreserves of natural gas is 6,254.364 trillion cubic feet (tcf) in 2009 with an increase of0.68% as compared to 2008. Russian federation has largest reserve of 1,680.00 tcffollowed by Iran and Qatar with 991.600 and 891.945 tcf reserve respectively. Russiais largest producer of natural gas with 23 tcf followed by USA with over 20 tcf. Majorexporters of piped natural gas are Russia (154 bcm), Canada (103 bcm) and Norway(93 bcm), the major importers are US (104 bcm), Germany (87 bcm) and Italy (75bcm). The major exporters of CNG are Qatar (40 bcm), Malaysia (29 bcm), Indonesia(27 bcm) and the major importers are Japan (92 bcm), South Korea (36 bcm) andSpain (30 bcm.)

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Production in India: Natural gas production in India grows at averaging 11.7percent per year. Total production is estimated to grow from 1.1 trillion cubic feet in2007 to 2.7 trillion cubic feet in 2015. Most of the production of gas comes from theWestern offshore area. The on-shore fields in Assam, Andhra Pradesh and Gujarat States are other major producers of gas. Fertilizer (41%) and power (37%) are themajor users of natural gas in India.

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Factors affecting demand for Natural Gas: There are two primary drivers thatdetermine the demand for natural gas in the short term-Weather and Fuel Switching.Natural gas demand typically peaks during the coldest months for heating homes anddips during the warmest months, with a slight increase during the summer to meetthe demands of electric generators. Hurricanes and severe weather also disrupt the supply.

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While most residential and commercial customers rely solely on natural gas to meetmany of their energy requirements, some industrial and electric generationconsumers have the capacity to switch between fuels. For instance, during a periodof extremely high natural gas prices, many electric generators may switch from using natural gas to using cheaper coal, thus decreasing the demand for natural gas.

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Generally the state of the U.S. economy can have a considerable effect on thedemand for natural gas in the short term, particularly for industrial consumers. When the economy is expanding or declining, the consumption of natural gas fromindustrial sectors is generally increasing or decreasing at a similar rate.Long term demand factors reflect the basic trends for natural gas use into the future.The analysis of factors that affect long term demand across all sectors arecomplicated.

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Probably the most important long term driver of natural gas demand isfuture residential heating applications. Due to the retirement of old nuclear,petroleum, and coal powered generation plants leaves a significant requirement fornatural gas use for electric generation to meet the commercial demand forelectricity generation and transportation.

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Outlook: Currently the future prices of natural gas in MCX are trading in sidewaysmanner. It has strong support at `170. Seasonal demand from mid oct can support therecovery upto `220 in mid term.

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Equity News 27th September – 1st October

DOMESTIC NEWS

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Economy

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·Food inflation, as measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), rose to 15.46 per cent for the week ended September 11, primarily due to rise in prices of potatoes and onions. Food inflation stood at 14.77 per cent during the corresponding week in 2009 and at 15.1 per cent during the previous week ended September 4.
Realty/ Construction ·IVRCL Infrastructures & Projects Ltd (IVRCL) has bagged orders worth `750
crore for four laning and improvement of Karanji-Wani-Ghuggus – Chandrapur Road Maharashtra State Highway – 6&7 in Yavatmal and Chandrapur district on DBFOT basis.


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Cement

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·J K Lakshmi Cement would invest `1,800 crore over the next three-four years to double its cement production capacity to 10 million tonnes.

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Oil & Gas

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·GAIL India will make capital investment of around `40,000 crore ($8.8 billion) by 2014-15, mainly to expand its pipeline network and boost petrochemicals capacity.

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Telcommunication

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·Kavveri Telecom has bagged a contract worth `30 crore from one of the telecom operators for the supply of equipment and antennas. The order is to be completed within a year.

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·Bharti announced its entry into the fast-growing mobile handset business as group firm Beetel launched eight handsets in the price range of `1,750- 7,000. Bharti is India’s number one mobile service provider with over 140 million subscribers and the company recently acquired Zain Telecom in Africa to expand its footprint in 16 countries.

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Capital Goods

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·BHEL said it is in talks with SAIL and Vizag Steel to tie up for manufacturing high grade steel, while Korean steel maker Posco may join the proposed joint venture company as a technology partner.

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·Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd has got a contract worth `2,665 crore ($583 million) to set up a 1,200 megawatts coal-fired power plant at Chhattisgarh in central India.

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Paint

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·Berger Paints India Limited has proposed to set up a paints manufacturing complex at Hindupur in Anantapur district of Andhra Pradesh comprising three units and involving an investment of around `350 crore.

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Pharmaceuticals

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·Aurobindo Pharma has received USFDA approvals for ampicillin and.sulbactam injections in bottle, single-use vial and bulk pack formats.

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Ampicillin and sulbactam is a sterile semi-synthetic penicillin product falling under the anti-infective segment.

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FMCG

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·Procter & Gamble India (P&G) is set to bring in one of its biggest global brands–Wella hair colour—as it looks to strengthen its health and beauty business in India. This is the first time that the detergents-to-diaper maker will enter the Indian hair colour market, which is dominated by L’Oreal India’s L’Oreal Excellence Crème and Garnier, and Godrej Consumer Products.

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INTERNATIONAL NEWS

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·US Fed left policy rates unchanged but appears to have begun preparations for additional easing-possibly at the post-election November FOMC. The fed funds target range was left unchanged at a range of zero to 0.25 percent and, again, the Fed stated that this rate is expected to remain low for an “extended period.”

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·US Housing starts showed unexpected strength in August with even the single-family component increasing. Housing starts in August jumped 10.5 percent after rising a modest 0.4 percent in July. The August annualized pace of 0.598 million units clearly topped analysts’ expectations for 0.550 million units and is actually up 2.2 percent on a year-ago basis. The gain in August was led by a 32.2 percent surge in multifamily starts, following a 36.0 percent increase in July. The single-family component rebounded 4.3
percent after dipping 6.7 percent in July.

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·US Existing home sales rose 7.6 percent in August to a 4.130 million annual rate, up substantially from July’s 3.840 million rate (revised from 3.830).

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Gains swept regions with supply coming down a bit, at a still extremely swollen 11.6 months. Prices are softening, down 1.9 percent to a median $178,600. The gain in sales was predicted by the pending homes sales report released early in the month, data that popped higher.

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Equity News Round Up 30th August – 3rd September

DOMESTIC NEWS


Economy

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•The food price index rose to an annual 10.05% in the week ended August 14 as against 10.35% in the previous week.

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Oil & Gas

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•ONGC is set to get permission from the Centre to pay only a third of its total royalty obligation to the Rajasthan government on the revenues earned from the oil blocks owned by Cairn India, removing a possible obstacle to the Vedanta-Cairn deal and saving the oil explorer an annual outgo of $350 million.

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•The Supreme Court refused to restrain Vedanta Group’s bid to acquire Cairn India through an open offer of $3 billion. Billionaire Anil Agarwal-owned Vedanta Group plans to acquire around 60% stake in Cairn India for over $9 billion, including the 20% proposed to be bought by Sesa Goa.

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Telecommunication

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•Reliance Communications’ 3G Innovation Lab has started with hopes of providing the operator with applications that will drive higher data consumption among mobile phone users as the company launches third generation (3G) wireless services.

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Ship Building

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•ABG Shipyard exited Great Offshore by selling its 4.66 per cent stake in the offshore oil and gas service provider for `64.50 crore through open market transactions.

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Information Technologies.

•Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has signed a 130 crore e-governance contract with the Madhya Pradesh government.

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•EdServ announced that it has tied up with the Canada-headquartered Corel to become its authorised online training partner. EdServ thus have the rights to train and certify students on the Corel Technology, Graphics Design and Desktop Publishing.

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Auto Ancillaries

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•Lumax Industries plans tosetuptwoautomotivelightingplants intwoyears.The first plant isbeing setupat SanandinGujarat tosupplyTataMotors’Nanocar and will become operational inthethirdquarter this fiscal.

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Power

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•Power Grid Corporation is among the three firms shortlisted by the Nigerian Government to manage the country’s electricity grid to be constructed at a cost of $ 3.5 billion.

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Tea.

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•Jayshree Tea & Industries (JTIL), a BK Birla Group company, is eyeing tea estates in Rwanda. It has decided to participate in the auctioning of tea estates that is likely to be kicked off by the Rwanda Tea Authority shortly.

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Pharmaceuticals

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•Cipla has approved the acquisition of Mumbai-based Meditab Specialities for a consideration of 133.35 crore. The acquisition of Meditab will help the company consolidate its business invariouscountries includingChina & Africa.

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INTERNATIONAL NEWS

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•US Existing home sales fell 27.2 percent in July to a 3.83 million annual rate for the lowest level in 15 years. The 3.83 million rate compares with expectations for 4.65 million. Supply at the current sales rate ballooned from June’s already swollen 8.9 months to 12.5 months for the worst reading in 11 years.

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•US New factory orders for durable goods in July rebounded 0.3 percent, following a 0.1 percent decline the prior month. The July rebound came in significantly belowthe consensus forecast for a 2.5 percent comeback.

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•US Jobless claims swung lower in the August 21 week in what should slow the deepening pessimism. Initial claims fell 31,000 for the second biggest decline of the year. Yet the 473,000 level is still on the high side when compared to levels in July, evident in the four-week average of 486,750 which is the worst since November.

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•US Gross domestic product grew at a 2.4 percent annual pace, less than forecast, after a 3.7 percent first-quarter gain that was larger than previously estimated. The U.S. economy slowed in the second quarter as a scarcity of jobs eroded consumer spending, leaving the rebound dependent on a surge in business investment.

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