Posts Tagged ‘economic slowdown’

E-Filing of Service Tax to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

E-Filing of Service Tax Set to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

E-Filing of Service Tax Set to be Made Mandatory in Coming Months

The government will make electronic filing of service tax mandatory within a couple of months, said a senior official of the Central Board of Excise and Customs (CBEC).

“Electronic filing of service tax will be made compulsory in the next two months,” CBEC member Mr Y G Parande told reporters on the sidelines of a PHD chamber seminar.

Parande also expressed hope that despite impact of stimulus package on realisation of revenue, the government would meet service tax collection target during the financial year.

During the year, the government proposed to garner Rs 65,000 crore as service tax.

The service tax collection during the first seven months has dropped by 5.4 per cent to Rs 28,926 crore compared with corresponding period last year.

The collections of indirect tax, including customs, excise and service tax, fell by 21.6 per cent to Rs 1,26,903 crore during the period of April-October.

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Attributing decline in revenue collections to incentives given by the government to help the economy combat the impact of global slowdown, Mr Parande said, “certainly, the stimulus packages have had the effect (on indirect tax collections), particularly because rates were brought down.”

Earlier, stimulus packages and economic slowdown have hit the exchequer hard as indirect tax collections shrunk by 21.6 per cent to Rs 1.27 lakh crore in the first seven months of this fiscal, against Rs 1.62 lakh crore a year ago.

All the three components of indirect tax — excise, customs and service tax — have registered decline in collections.

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As stimulus is taking a heavy toll on the exchequer, talks have also already begun about when to withdraw it.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had said it will be phased out from next fiscal, while Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee had said it will continue till the global economy recovers.

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PE Funds Raising Plummets to Lowest Levels Since 2003

Private equity fund raising plummets to lowest levels since 2003

Private equity fund raising plummets to lowest levels since 2003

Fund raising by global private equity funds has dipped to an over five-year low of $38 billion in the third quarter of 2009, as fund managers are refraining from making any new commitments before next year.

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Fund raising in Q3 of 2009 represents a 55% slump from Q2 of 2009, when the PE funds had raised an aggregate $84 billion globally, according to latest report by a reputed global research firm Preqin.

Private equity fund raising plummets to lowest levels since 2003, with the third quarter figures equivalent to just 45% of the $84 billion raised in Q2 2009.

Many of the funds that are closing are doing so short of target, and a number of fund managers putting their fund raising efforts on hold until 2010, or abandoning them altogether for the foreseeable future.

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However, the report noted that the investment shift from the private equity asset class is only short term and the institutional investors would pull back again in the final quarter of this year and in 2010.

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Over the year the number and aggregate fund raising target has dropped considerably.

Reasons can be the slowdown in launches of fund raising programmes, plus an increase in the number of funds being abandoned.

Institutional investors are not making new commitments at anything close to the rate they were in previous years.

The rate of fund raising to drop by nearly 70% over the course of a year is a dramatic fall and demonstrates just how challenging it has become to raise new funds in the current scenario.

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Coming ‘Diwali’ – Gold Prices Set to Reach Over, Rs 16,000 level :)

Gold prices are again ready for a good rally and is likely to reach over Rs 16,000 level before 'Diwali'.

Gold prices are again ready for a good rally and is likely to reach over Rs 16,000 level before 'Diwali'.

After taking a brief consolidation, gold prices are again ready for a good rally and is likely to reach over Rs 16,000 level before ‘Diwali’.

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According to experts, gold prices have declined for a short period last week as the precious metal dipped following a counter rally taken by the dollar.

However, the US dollar index has again started showing weakness and today dipped by 0.6 per cent at 76.54 level, which will be positive for the gold price, SMC Global’s Rajesh Jain said.

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He said gold is likely to reach 1,020 dollar an ounce (28.34 grams) level in the international markets before ‘Diwali’.

However, in the domestic market the rising trend is likely to be capped with strengthening of Rupee against the US dollar, he added.

In the domestic market the prices are likely to be slightly over Rs 16,000 per 10 grams level, Jain said.

He said, the Rupee will keep on strengthening as the equity markets are performing well, which will encourage the Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) to bring in more money.

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Today, the gold was trading at Rs 15,585 per 10 grams, while in the global markets it was at $1,001 an ounce.

Meanwhile, independent analysts have remarked that the bull run in gold will continue as the various monetary and fiscal stimulus programs have failed to boost the world economy, feeding through to a dis-inflationary conditions.

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The US dollar, which is considered a safe haven, softens due to the weakening economic condition.

As dollar declines, many investors and central banks continue to hold gold as their safe haven to protect themselves from unforeseen global economic shocks, boosting the demand for the yellow metal.

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G-5, G-8..Not Anymore..Its G-20 Now !!

G20-world-economy

For the world, apparently, eight is no longer enough.

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The G-8 group of powerhouse economies, which expanded from the original G-5 one by one over three decades, stepped off center stage Friday with the ascension of the G-20 into the role of overseeing the global economy.

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The Group of 20 will take on the role of caretakers of the global economy.

The shift toward multilateral decision-making is sure to please some emerging economies — China and India in particular — and irritate those Americans who believe the United States shouldn’t be handing off its power to international institutions.

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Heading into the second day of a summit aimed at ensuring the world economy emerges from its worst recession in generations with better safeguards against another crisis, the G20 also vowed to keep emergency economic support in place until a recovery is secured, according to the draft obtained by Reuters.

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The document said G20 countries had a “responsibility to the community of nations to assure the overall health of the global economy” and pledged to try to secure next year a deal in long-running world trade talks.

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Larger G-20 would take over — a council that, by simple virtue of a membership that unites more than 80 percent of the global economy, and would be a force to be reckoned with.

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The group, which also accounts for 90 per cent of the world’s economic output, also agreed to rein in financial industry excesses that triggered the credit crisis two years ago, and to tighten rules on how much capital banks must have to absorb losses.

The new rules aimed at improving the quality and amount of capital should be ready by the end of 2010 and will be phased in in the following two years, the draft said.


Where Are We Heading To? Part 2

Indian Stock Market Growth

From the positive happenings in the economy, let’s see how the stock markets have behaved amidst all this?

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The price charts of many companies reflected that the investors were in a catch-up mode.

This was evident from the stock price trajectory of most stocks, which saw a sharp spike in few days.

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In many cases, the stock prices nearly doubled in a matter of few trading sessions.

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It’s a kind of emotion that grips a commuter when he/she loses a train or bus by a fraction of a second.

When we see a bus/train departing in front of our eyes, we rush towards to it without caring about the risks involved.

What if you hurt yourself badly in the process? But who cares?

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Those days seem to be back where most of the frontline stocks are at their 52-week highs or better, but, still their valuations, measured by various ratios such as price-to-earning multiples or price-to-book value among others are far from the highs of 2008.

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Valuations come with expectations. 🙂

Higher the valuations, greater is investor expectation from that particular stock.

To justify the elevated valuations, corporate earnings have to grow at a significant rate.

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Companies also have to improve the quality of earning i.e. the profit growth has to be accompanied with an equally rapid rise in cash flows and dividends payouts.

But can this really happen? To support this, we have the World Bank statement, who said that India would grow 8.1 per cent in 2010, ahead of China (7.5 per cent).

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The numbers in the survey also suggest India is finally ready to rub shoulders with its northern neighbour.

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The point is, India is better placed to face the economic slowdown as compared to other large economies because of the diversified nature of the economy in which some sectors witness robust demand to mitigate the impact of a demand slowdown in other sectors.

It is clear that the Indian economy is recovering from the clutches of the world economic crisis.

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Even the performance of the stock market has shown signs of revival of investor interest and confidence, both domestic and

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The confidence of FIIs in India started to built up in the last few months which is evident from the FII figure mentioned above and tends to be in upbeat mood going forward.

Therefore, even if economic growth does recover in India, it would be a different than what we have seen in the past.

And to gain, investors will have to offload baggage of the past and look at the future afresh.

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Companies Go Slow on Share Buy-Backs.

Companies go slow on share buy-backs

Companies go slow on share buy-backs

In a tight money market, companies that have moved to buy back their shares are going slow on these efforts either because they do not have the money or are saving it for a better use, according to analysts and executives at some of the firms.

Currently, 22 companies have ongoing offers to buy back their own shares and, according to SMC Capitals Ltd, the merchant banking arm of New Delhi-based financial services house SMC Global Securities Ltd, they have spent less than 25% of the aggregate Rs 4,559.47 crore they would have to spend if they bought back all the shares they set out to at the maximum buy-back price.

To be sure, buy-back offers are typically open for several months and many of the 22 companies still have time to repurchase their shares.

Companies buy back shares in an effort to boost investor sentiment and prop up the share price, and increase the return on equity (money for the buy-back usually comes from reserves which is part of the shareholders’ funds or equity) and earnings per share (the shares bought back are destroyed, leaving fewer shares among which the earnings have to be shared).

No companies launched buy-back programmes in 2007, when the equity markets were on a roll. Several companies, however, announced such programmes as the markets started melting last year.

India’s benchmark equity index, Sensex, has lost nearly 50% of its value since January 2008, in the wake of the global credit crunch and an economic slowdown.

Delhi-based real estate firm DLF Ltd, which had announced one of the biggest buy-back plans last year at a total maximum cost of Rs1,100 crore, has thus far repurchased shares worth only Rs 51.3 crore, according to SMC. The offer closes on 9 July.

“The money we have deployed in the buy-back is a reflection of the general market conditions and the liquidity crisis worldwide,” said Saurabh Chawla, executive director, finance, DLF.

Similarly, Reliance Infrastructure Ltd, owned by the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (R-Adag), has bought back shares worth Rs806 crore in an offer capped at Rs2,000 crore, according to SMC data.

“At a time when cash is king, many companies may not be as committed to their buy-backs as they would have been otherwise,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head of equity at SMC Capitals.

Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head of equity at SMC Capitals

Usually, a firm specifies a maximum price for the buy-back and a maximum amount it will utilize for the buy-back.

But it doesn’t necessarily use this amount, and the buy-back happens at the prevailing market price.

“If the maximum buy-back price is Rs600, but the current market price is only Rs 300, the firm will naturally buy back at Rs 300,” said Thunuguntla of SMC Capitals.

A buy-back gives investors the option of liquidating their position in a market that doesn’t have too many buyers.
More read on SMC Capitals : http://www.smccapitals.com/index.htm