Posts Tagged ‘ECB’

Weekly Update 11th – 15th October 2010

Beside Indian market all global markets closed in green in the week gone by on the expectation of policy easing by developed nations. Central banks resorting to purchase of debt and currency intervention in developedeconomies is flooding markets with liquidity and funds are flowing to Asia for higherreturns. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has signaled that Fed may announce thepurchase of more Treasuries as soon as their next policy meeting in November in aneffort to boost growth and reduce an unemployment rate.

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The Bank of Japan said this week it will establish a 5 trillion yen ($61 billion) fund to buy government bondsand other assets. It also cut its benchmark overnight interest rate for the first timesince 2008, dropping it to a range of zero to 0.1 percent. Joining the league European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet too said that ECB policymakers are in the “same mood” as a month ago and for now remain committed tophasing out their unlimited lending program.With the economic activity gaining pace, it is believed that Indian market wouldcontinue to see overseas buying. Moreover Indian government plans to raise $8.9billion in the year ending March 31 selling state assets including Coal India, Steel Authority of India Ltd. and Indian Oil Corp. thereby giving more investment opportunities to investors.

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While many developed nations are intervening in the currency markets in order tostem the appreciation in the currency, Indian Finance minister is of the opinion thatthe situation has not gone to an extent at which there is a need to restrict portfolio or foreign direct investment. As a matter of fact Indian rupee gained 4.5 percent inSeptember. Finance Minister said “We should try to engage the countries innegotiations and build up a consensus through which the matter can be resolved andit cannot be resolved through confrontation.” The International Monetary Fundraised its 2010 economic growth forecast for India to 9.7 percent from 9.4 percent,citing strengthening local consumer demand.

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Since we have already seen a huge run up in the broader indices meaning moreparticipation coming from large cap stocks so now going forward we may expectmore activity in mid and small cap stocks. The result season is starting in the comingweek and corporate would give their guidance for the rest of the year which wouldset the future undertone of the markets. Nifty has support between 5950-5870 and Sensex between 19640-19200 levels.What a stunning rally gold has enjoyed recently on fear of inflation. It has hit many records in fewer days.

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Silver was not behind, it made life time high of `34898 on MCX and breached the mark of `35000 in spot market. Talk of quantitative easing by US and rate cut by BoJ are creating anxiety over currency devaluation and long-terminflation is keeping gold and silver on remarkable run up. After witnessing the bigswings of both side, we can say that trend of crude oil is little bit in indecision mode.However, bias should be on upside. Michigan Confidence, CPI and advance retailsales data of US may further provide the direction to metals and energy. Industrialmetals which have made upper trading range last week, are likely to trade up onweakening dollar index.

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Jet Airways Touches 52 Week High

Jet Airways is currently trading at Rs 810.00, up by 30.60 points or 3.93% from its previous closing of Rs 779.40 on the BSE.
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The scrip opened at Rs 778.00 and has touched a fresh 52 week high of Rs 831.30 and low of Rs 765.00 respectively. So far 1214825 shares were traded on the counter.

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The BSE group ‘A’ stock of face value Rs 10 has touched a 52 week high of Rs. 831.30 on 20-Aug-2010 and a 52 week low of Rs 221.80 on 08-Sep-2009.

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Last one week high and low of the scrip stood at Rs 831.30 and Rs 659.80 respectively. The current market cap of the company is Rs 7077.23 crore.

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The promoters holding in the company stood at 80.00% while Institutions and Non-Institutions held 15.60% and 4.40% respectively.

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Jet Airways, India’s premier international airline, has sought Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) nod to raise foreign currency loans worth Rs 3,450 crore for the purpose of repayment of higher-cost domestic debt.

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The country’s largest private-sector carrier is planning to discharge the loans taken from local banks through the amount raised, though under current regulations, foreign currency loans, also known as external commercial borrowings (ECBs), cannot be used to refinance domestic loans. In this backdrop, recently, only those telecom firms which had bid for 3G licences have been allowed repayment of rupee loans with the ECB proceeds.

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Further, the company wants RBI’s support to ensure uninterrupted services and continued employment to over 13,000 employees..

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RBI’s Move to Modify the ECB Guidelines

India Inc cautiously welcomed the RBI”s move to modify the ECB guidelines and said this also indicates a gradual withdrawal of stimulus measures announced to help the industry tide over the global crisis.

However, Ficci said that the RBI”s step may make availability of funds through ECB route more expensive while the ECB route is frequently used by SMEs for raising funds, which are even otherwise available at a high price from the domestic banking system.

Meanwhile, it also said that the relaxation of certain ECB norms given by the RBI during the liquidity crisis period to India Inc have been gradually withdrawn that is an indicator of a gradual withdrawal of the stimulus package.

Further, CII said that RBI”s steps are an indication of slowly unwinding of the liquidity enhancing measures while these measures should not be seen as a precursor to monetary tightening through a rate hike.

On the other hand, the chamber welcomed the central bank”s decision to allow NBFCs exclusively involved in financing infrastructure projects to avail of ECBs.