Industry expects 44% rise in sugar output next season

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the globe.

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Industry expects 44% rise in sugar output next season

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Industry expects 44% rise in sugar output next season:

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India’s sugar output is expected to rise by 44% to 23 million tonne in the crop year that starts from October 2010, an industry official said, as higher prices are likely to support cane cultivation.

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The output in 2010-11 would be substantially higher than an expected 16 million tonne during 2009-10, Vinay Kumar, managing director of the National Cooperative Federation of Sugar Factories Ltd, told.

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Bumper planting is going on in Uttar Pradesh because of higher prices.

Producers are raising price of cane every week, Kumar said.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we can read that Corn, Soybeans are expected to rise with the rise in crudeoil prices and decline in dollar value.

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Corn, Soybeans May Advance as Crude Oil Rises, Dollar Declines

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Corn, soybeans and wheat were little changed and may climb on speculation that the dollar’s decline and rising crude oil may increase demand for the crops used for food, animal feed and alternative fuel.

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Corn for March delivery fell 0.1 percent to $4.0425 a bushel in electronic trading on the Chicago Board of Trade at 10:51 a.m. in Tokyo after gaining 1.5 percent yesterday, the biggest gain since Dec. 11.

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Before today, the contract fell 3.1 percent this month, the first drop in four months. March-delivery soybeans climbed 0.3 percent to $10.12 a bushel.

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The contract rose 1.1 percent yesterday after the Department of Agriculture said U.S. exporters sold a total of 367,000 metric tons in transactions with Italy, China and buyers that weren’t identified.

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Cumulative U.S. sales from Sept. 1 to Dec. 10 are up 53 percent to 29.554 million tons.

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COMMODITY WEEKLY COMMENTARY

Most of the commodities finished lower last week on heavy profit booking. Recent bounce back in dollar index compelled commodity traders to quit their long positions. However, some commodities viz., aluminum, nickel and natural gas moved on their own fundamentals and ignored the upside of dollar index. Threat of closure of two mines of Alcoa amid the concern that about three quarters of LME  stockpiles have been tied up by long term financing deals by traders and merchants, raised the premium

on aluminum, sent aluminum prices higher.

Likewise, nickel surged on lower level buying. Rest of the  base metals erased their previous gains to some extent on rise in dollar index amid some negative data.

Gold and silver gave up their previous gain due to the improvement in dollar value. However, recent fall in gold prices brought back smile on consumers face and there is an expectation that import will increase. Negative data, fall in GDP of Japanese economy, higher dollar amid expectation of slower demand of crude in 2010 by EIA hammered crude oil prices and it touched two months low. On the contrary, natural gas jumped on increased seasonal demand. Cold snaps in northwest and Midwest revived the demand of natural gas and it recovered across the bourses, where natural gas is used 72% for heating purpose.

Coming to agro commodities, bears completely dominated all commodities. Selling pressure was witnessed throughout the week. Some short covering in many agro commodities witnessed on Friday.

Less demand from processors amid declining export queries exerted pressure on guar complex. Oil seeds and edible oil complex reacted on improvement in dollar amid new crop estimation by Brazil and Argentina generated selling in futures as well spot market across the board. Fall in crude oil prices gave further pressure on prices. Spices made lower trading range last week. Higher Indian parity, lower export queries in the middle of subdued domestic demand compelled spices to trade low.

Speculative activities in turmeric were on high last week. Throughout the week, December contract traded into upper circuits and April contracts traded moreover on lower side, which increased the gap between contracts to more than 3400 level. Wheat futures cooled down owing to increased supply in spot market. Crushing season of sugarcane has already started which has led to a nonstop decline since last three weeks.

Wheat Rises as Dollar Drop Boosts Outlook for U.S. Export Sales

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

 

Wheat Rises as Dollar Drop Boosts Outlook for U.S. Export Sales

Wheat Rises as Dollar Drop Boosts Outlook for U.S. Export Sales:

Wheat rose to a one-week high on speculation that prospects for U.S. exports gained because the dollar declined this month and as demand increased from investors seeking a hedge against inflation.

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Wheat prices also got a boost from concern that some U.S. growers were unable to plant winter crops because unusually heavy rainfall delayed the soybean harvest and hindered access to the fields.

 

U.S. shipments have lagged behind the year-earlier pace because of rising world stockpiles and because competing suppliers offered grain at lower prices.

 

Wheat also gained as speculative investors including index- and hedge-fund managers bought commodity futures that they deem to be undervalued, including wheat.

 

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In Other major Commodity Update, there is information about Soybean Prices rising on surging Chinese demand for U.S. Supplies.

 

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Soybean Prices Rise on Surging Chinese Demand for U.S. Supplies:

Soybean prices rose to a five-month high on surging demand for animal feed and cooking oil made from oilseeds shipped by the U.S., the world’s biggest producer and exporter.

 

From Sept. 1 to Nov. 19, U.S. export sales of soybeans rose 58 percent to 27.1 million metric tons (995.4 million bushels) from a year earlier, and China accounted for 62 percent of the total, government data show.

 

A drought this year in Brazil and Argentina, the largest shippers of feed made from the oilseed, boosted consumption of U.S. supplies.

 

U.S. sales of soybean meal from Oct. 1 to Nov. 19 surged 72 percent to 4.7 million tons from a year earlier, Department of Agriculture figures show.

 

Shipments of soybean oil have tripled.

 

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Dubai Debt News Sent a Shudder Throughout World Markets

Just a year after the global downturn  derailed  Dubai’s explosive growth, the  city is now  so  swamped  in  debt that  it’s  asking  for a  six-month  reprieve  on  paying  its bills.

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Dubai Debt Fears Grip World Markets

 

This has cast a shadow on a world only just emerging from the worst economic crisis since the 1930s,  knocking markets  from Sydney to Sao Paulo and raising questions about Dubai’s reputation  as a magnet for international investment.

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For India, which has tens of thousands of its citizens living  and working in the emirate,  the concerns are more direct:  thousands of its expats staring at job losses and  the economy, sharply reduced trade.

India, which gets nearly a quarter of the remittances from the United Arab Emirates and  has lakhs of laborers working in the region, could be worse off than most other nations  if the crisis escalates into a full-blown one  like the Russian or Argentinean crises of the past.🙂

India’s exports to the UAE stood at $23.92 billion in FY09.

It is very likely that we may see one more leg of job losses in Dubai.

The only consolation for the region is that Abu Dhabi is booming.

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Indian shares and the rupee fell in sync with other global markets where investors are fleeing for safety after Dubai debt trap concerns.

The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark Sensex on Friday tumbled over 451.63 points to 16,403.30 points in the first ten minutes of trading on hectic selling by funds in line with weak global cues and concerns over Dubai’s debt.

Similarly, the wide-based National Stock Exchange index Nifty dropped by 140.50 points to 4865.05 points.

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Brokers said the selling focus was more on banking and realty stocks after Dubai’s debt problems revived concerns about the global financial system and rattled markets across Europe and Asia.

Indian rupee fell 24 paisa to 46.55 against the dollar.  The MSCI Emerging Markets Index lost 1.4%.

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Most European indices were about 2% lower after Asia tumbled.

The Shanghai Composite Index slumped 3.6%, its biggest drop since August, and Brazil’s Bovespa Index slipped 1.1%. U.S. markets were closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.

Credit-default swaps tied to debt sold by Dubai rose as much as 131 basis points to 571.

“Dubai isn’t doing risk appetite any favours at all and the markets remain in a vulnerable state of mind,” said Market analysts.

“We’re still in an environment where we’re vulnerable to financial shocks of any sort and this is one of those.”

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Bull Run in Commodities May Continue

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the globe.

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Bull run in commodities may continue

Spurt in prices to be driven by dollar weakness, rise in demand and low supplies.

The global bull run in commodities is likely to continue through next year due to dollar weakness, supply restraint and, eventually, a pickup in demand.

Crude oil prices are also up 74 per cent, but the energy complex as a whole is down, as natural gas prices are weighed down by massive oversupply.

Precious metals have also risen 37 per cent.

The base metals complex has performed well this year, driven by the rebound in growth in China, although some of the increased demand has gone into inventory.

Sugar and soybeans have been the exception in 2009, rising sharply while the rest of the agricultural complex underperformed.

This was largely on supply issues; improved crops in 2009-10 are expected to flood the market, dampening prices.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we can read about Govt estimation about the Edible oil output which says that Edible oil output may dip 7.4% in 2009-10.

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Edible oil output may dip 7.4% in 2009-10:

The government today said edible oil output is likely to decline 7.4 per cent to 7.96 million tonnes in the 2009-10.

Edible oil production, last year, stood at 8.6 million tonnes.

Oil season runs from November to October.

Production/net availability of edible oil from all domestic sources is estimated to be 7.96 million tonnes in the 2009-10,” Minister of State for Agriculture K V Thomas said.

The demand of edible oil in the country is estimated to have increased to 17.79 million tones this year, he said.

The domestic edible oil production is likely to decline following a dip in oilseeds production, which is estimated to be 15.23 million tonnes in the kharif season against 17.88 million tonnes in the last season, the official data showed.

Thomas said, “There is a wide gap in the production and demand of edible oil in the country and imports are resorted to bridge the gap.”

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Gold Buying Cools Off After New Records

Gold demand declined as prices struck a fresh high, after a slight pick-up seen in off take in the previous session.

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However, the most-traded December gold contract hit a fresh record high at 17,284 rupees per 10 grams, before trading 0.12% higher at 17,251 rupees tracking overseas leads.

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Meanwhile, it is said that traders were stationed on the sidelines seeking lower prices to stock for the ongoing wedding season while the business of dealers declined by about 50% on year as high prices dented demand.

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On the other hand, jewelery demand in India decreased 42% to 111.6 tonnes in Q3 to September, while total demand, which comprises jewellery and retail investment demand, fell 49% to 137.6 tonnes.

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Precious Metals are on Record Setting Spree :)

Precious Metals are on Record Setting Spree

 

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As gold rallied by Rs 80 per ten grams to Rs 17,095 and silver firmed up by Rs 110 per kilo to Rs 28,510 due to constant demand from stockiest on account of rising trend  in global market, both gold and silver resumed at a record high on the bullion market.

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However, due to worries about future inflation and economic uncertainties,  another record high in the Asian marketgold hit , while Asian stocks bounced back as the bearish dollar kept assets in demand.

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Meanwhile, spot gold increased as high as $1,143.95 per ounce in early Asia trade, settling just above $1,140 while standard gold rose by Rs 80 per ten grams to resume Rs 17,095 from the overnight closing level of Rs 17,015.

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On the other hand, pure gold also firmed up to Rs 17,185 from Rs 17,105 while silver ready too hardened by Rs 110 per kilo to Rs 28,510 from Rs 28,400 previously.

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Earlier due to frantic buying by jewellers in the midst of firming global trend, gold prices touched a record high of Rs 17,300 per 10 gram in the bullion market and Silver coins also set a record by adding Rs 400 to Rs 33,900 for buying and Rs 34,000 for selling of 100 pieces.

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Moreover yesterday silver also rose by Rs 1,000 to Rs 28,350 per kg.

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Sudden Surge and the record setting spree in the precious metals can be attributed to frantic buying of gold in marriage season.

In between, gold in international markets too has climbed to a record high along with the weakening of dollar.

Gold Breaks 16K Mark, Silver Hit New Highs :)

Gold Breaks 16K Mark, Silver Hit New Highs

Due to constant festive demand in the midst of rise in the overseas markets, benchmark Gold prices increased by Rs 105 per 10 grams to break the Rs 16,000-mark in the bullion market while silver continued to hit new highs.

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However, due to higher international advices, silver went to a record peak on constant industrial demand while on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for October delivery rose to $1,064.20 an ounce.

Moreover, the contract had previously touched a high of $1,068.40 an ounce and December silver futures closed at $17.84 an ounce from $17.82.

Additionally, in Tokyo, gold was below the all time high levels as dollar decreased to fresh 14-month lows against its major rivals.

On the other hand, in the local market, benchmark gold increased by Rs 105 per 10 grams to restart at Rs 16,035 from Monday’s closing level of Rs 15,930.

Similarly, pure gold also rose by a similar margin to Rs 16,110 from Rs 16,005 while silver ready hardened by Rs 95 per kg to Rs 28,150 from Rs 28,055 previously.

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Nifty, Sensex at New Peak Ahead of Diwali :)

Nifty, Sensex at New Peak Ahead of Diwali

As China’s economy showed more signs of revival and weak dollar raises commodity stocks,  Global Stock Markets increased while the Sensex Index gained 204 points to close at 17,231.

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However, on the NSE, the Nifty advanced 64 points to end at 5,118, its highest level since 16 May 2008 when it closed at 5,157.

Moreover, the BSE metal index increased 5.2%  while Sesa Goa rose nearly 14% and JSPL rose 8%.

Additionally, the BSE capital goods index was up 2.4% and the BSE auto index gained 2.3%.

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In the Capital goods space, Punj Lloyd advanced 7.3%, Praj Industries rose 5.7% and Themax ended 4% higher.

Similarly, among the auto stocks, M&M, Bharat Forge and Exide Ind gained over 5% each.

In the Sensex pack, 25 stocks increased while 5 counters decreased.

M&M surged 6.1% to Rs 971 and Sterlite Ind, Hindalco and JP Associates were up over 5% each.

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Moreover, RCom emerged as the top loser while the stock declined 6.5% to Rs 231 in the midst of reports that special auditor has pointed out that the company inflated revenues by
Rs 2,915 crore in 2007-08 financial year.

Further, Bharti Airtel shed 3.2% while Reliance Infra fell 2.6% and previously, in Asia, China’s Shanghai index jumped 1.2% enhancing more by expectations for better corporate earnings for Q3.

On the other hand, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 2% while Japan’s market was the region’s only major laggard with the Nikkei 225 stock average shedding 0.2% to 10,060.21 in the midst of a stronger yen.

In the meantime, the dollar resumed its slide, falling to a 14-month low against the euro pushing prices for commodities like oil and gold ever higher.

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Dollar Supremacy to End? New Global Reserve Currency to Set In ?

UN called for a new global reserve currency to end dollar supremacy. Is dollar Supremacy at risk?

The United Nations has called on for a new global reserve currency to end dollar supremacy, which has allowed the United States the “privilege’’ of building a huge trade deficit.

“Important progress in managing imbalances can be made by reducing the reserve currency country’s ‘privilege’ to run external deficits in order to provide international liquidity,’’ UN undersecretary-general for economic and social affairs, Sha Zukang, said.

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Speaking at the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Istanbul, he explained:

“It is timely to emphasis that such a system also creates a more equitable method of sharing the seigniorage derived from providing global liquidity.’’

Greater use of a truly global reserve currency, such as the IMF’s special drawing rights (SDRs), enables the seigniorage gained to be deployed for development purposes,’’ he said.

The SDRs are the asset used in IMF transactions and are based on a basket of four currencies—the dollar, euro, yen and pound—which is calculated daily.

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China had called in March for a new dominant world reserve currency instead of the dollar, in a system within the framework of the Washington based IMF.

Beside this another worrying news for Dollar lovers is floating around that Arab states had launched secret moves with China, Russia, Japan and France to stop using the dollar for oil trades, though denied by many of arab states.

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