Indian Markets posted fourth weekly consecutive gains led by rising optimism of growth and portfolio investments. The run up in the market was phenomenal and beyond expectations of market participants. Global investors seems to be going more anxious about India consumption and growth, complemented by continued monetary accommodation by developed nations in order to propel growth. Indian Government recently raised the cap of foreign investments by $ 5 billion in federal and corporate bonds with a residual maturity of over five years. The step is viewed very positively in the sense that the ease of limit in federal bonds will take out interest rate pressure from the banks. The ease in corporate bonds issued by companies in the infrastructure sector will fill the estimated financing requirement of $1 trillion in the five years to 2017.
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U.S. central bank kept its benchmark interest rate in the range of zero to 0.25 percent .The bank said that they are prepared to provide additional accommodation in the light of slower economic recovery. The statement raised the speculation that the bank may buy more treasuries down the year. Weaker growth has still kept the unemployment at above 9 percent levels and reflects that companies are still cautious. The U.S. markets surged to highest level since May as the orders for durable goods rose the double of market expectations.
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Another happening that market is keeping an eye on is the political pressure building on Obama administration to take a stance on the China’s currency policy. The yuan has appreciated about 2 percent against the dollar since the central bank said it would pursue a more flexible exchange. However U.S. wants to see more rapid and “significant” rise in the yuan’s value.
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With the visible positivity across the globe, Indian markets are maintaining up move and managed to close above the psychological mark of 6000 levels on the weekly basis. The weakness in the dollar index clearly strengthens the equity markets and lead to the fresh breakout especially in US and European counterparts.
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One should maintain the stance of buying on dips. The Midcap stock may provide handsome return in the near future. Nifty has support between 5900- 5810 and Sensex between 19640-19200 levels.
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It appears that bullion counter is taking advantage of every opportunity and making new highs now and then on rock solid fundamentals. Weaker than expected growth in manufacturing and services industries of euro zone, sovereign debt crisis in Ireland, plummeting dollar index amid some poor economic releases fuelled rally in bullions. Negative tone of global economy capped the upside of base metals and energy counter, even fall in dollar index could not give much impact and they appeared shy to break the resistance. Local currency appreciation locked the movement of commodities. This week is full of event risk. GDP data of US and UK, consumer confidence data and employment data of US may give further direction to commodities. Crude oil is witnessing lackluster trading and thus moving in range on ambiguity in the world economy. Energy counter needs big news for further direction. Spices should revive in this week.
Trade in corporate bonds would have to be routed through clearing houses from very soon
Market regulator SEBI has said that trade in corporate bondswould have to be routed through clearing corporations from December 1, a move that experts say would check factors that aggravated financial crisis.
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Directives of the Sebi will be applicable to corporate bond trading that are not currently settled through clearing corporations or clearing houses of stock exchanges.
“It has now been decided that, all trades in corporate bonds between specified entities shall necessarily be cleared and settled through the National Securities Clearing Corp (NSCCL) or Indian Clearing Corp (ICCL),” it said.
The specified entities are mutual funds, foreign institutional investors/ sub-accounts, venture capital funds, foreign venture capital investors, portfolio managers, and RBI regulated entities, the Sebi said.
“The provisions of this circular shall be applicable to all corporate bonds traded Over The Counter (OTC) or on debt segment of stock exchanges on or after Dec 01, 2009,” it said.
SMC Capitals Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntlasaid, “It is a learning from the global financial crisis. One of the major reasons for the crisis to be so severe was that many fancy financial instruments were traded OTC with no records.”
The UN body United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) on Monday projected a lower growth of five per cent for India in 2009 as against Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and Government”s forecast of more than six per cent in the current financial year.
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Releasing its “Trade and Development Report 2009” in New Delhi, UNCTAD report said that it expected Indian economy to grow by five per cent in 2009.
The economy grew by 6.7 per cent in 2008-09 fiscal while in the first quarter of the 2009-10 financial year the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at 6.1 per cent.
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However, the UNCTAD report listed India as the second fastest growing economy after China, in the backdrop of the global economy set to shrink by 2.7 per cent in 2009.
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“The economic winter is far from over: tumbling profits in the real economy, previous over-investment in real estate and rising unemployment will continue to constrain private consumption and investment for the foreseeable future.
Even economies that will grow this year, such as those of China and India, are slowing significantly compared to previous years. The crisis is unprecedented in its depth and breadth leaving virtually no country unscathed,” it said.
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Further, the report said that improvement of certain financial indicators reached in the first quarter of 2009 as well as falling interest rate spreads on emerging-market debt and corporate bonds and the rebound in securities and commodity prices were seen as green shoots of economic recovery.
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UNCTAD has said the growth rate of developed nations is expected to contract by 4.1 per cent in 2009, while it is likely to decelerate to 1.3 per cent in 2009 from 5.4 per cent in 2008 for developing countries.
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The UN body United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) on Monday projected a lower growth of five per cent for India in 2009 as against Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and Government”s forecast of more than six per cent in the current financial year.
Releasing its “Trade and Development Report 2009” in New Delhi, UNCTAD report said that it expected Indian economy to grow by five per cent in 2009. The economy grew by 6.7 per cent in 2008-09 fiscal while in the first quarter of the 2009-10 financial year the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at 6.1 per cent. However, the UNCTAD report listed India as the second fastest growing economy after China, in the backdrop of the global economy set to shrink by 2.7 per cent in 2009.
“The economic winter is far from over: tumbling profits in the real economy, previous over-investment in real estate and rising unemployment will continue to constrain private consumption and investment for the foreseeable future. Even economies that will grow this year, such as those of China and India, are slowing significantly compared to previous years. The crisis is unprecedented in its depth and breadth leaving virtually no country unscathed,” it said.
Further, the report said that improvement of certain financial indicators reached in the first quarter of 2009 as well as falling interest rate spreads on emerging-market debt and corporate bonds and the rebound in securities and commodity prices were seen as green shoots of economic recovery.
UNCTAD has said the growth rate of developed nations is expected to contract by 4.1 per cent in 2009, while it is likely to decelerate to 1.3 per cent in 2009 from 5.4 per cent in 2008 for developing countries.
Who would Guide me to take informed decision on my Investments ?
…then look no further !
[:)]
SMC Global Securities, a leading Financial services provider in India, a vertically integrated investment solutions company, with a pan-india presence is there to guide you and provide complete investment solutions to you.
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Currently, SMC has a highly efficient workforce of over 4,000 employees & one of the largest retail network in India currently serving the financial needs of more than 5,50,000 satisfied investors.
Who would Guide me to take informed decision on my Investments ?
…then look no further !
SMC Global, a leading Financial services provider in India, a vertically integrated investment solutions company, with a pan-india presence is there to guide you and provide complete investment solutions to you.
Currently, SMC has a highly efficient workforce of over 4,000 employees & one of the largest retail network in India currently serving the financial needs of more than 5,50,000 satisfied investors.
Indian stocks rose for the seventh day, driving the benchmark index to its highest monthly gain in more than a year. Telecom shares led gains after the government said it aims to auction high-speed mobile phone service permits.
Bharti Airtel Ltd., the largest mobile operator, jumped to a three-month high on news that so-called 3G licenses will be auctioned off at a starting price of 35 billion rupees ($716 million).
The Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensitive Index, orSensex, added 108.66, or 0.7 percent, to 15,889.73, according to preliminary closing prices. The gauge gained 4.3 percent this week. The S&P CNXNiftyIndex on the National Stock Exchange advanced 0.8 percent to 4,723.85. TheBSE 200Indexrose 0.7 percent to 1,945.33.
Indian private equity firms are currently disinclined to conduct private investments in public equity (PIPE) deals, according to a report in the Business Standard. Their reticence is thought to be due to the recent secondary market crash, and the uncertainty that ensued.
According to the report, which cites a study by Venture Intelligence, private equity firms announced 24 PIPE deals in H1 2009, which were worth around $349m – a massive 68 percent decline on H1 2008’s $1.58bn, across 68 deals.
In addition, PIPE deals comprised 12 percent of the total private equity deal value – $2.89bn – for H1 2009.
For instance, in 2008, the value of Pipe investments worth $1.67 billion eroded to $1.22 billion, an absolute loss of $0.45 billion (26.85 per cent), said an SMC Capital report. Vishal Tulsyan, chief executive officer of Motilal Oswal suggested to the Business Standard that losses arising from mark-to-market accounting may be partially to blame for this trend.
“PEs are staying away from PIPE deals due to the mark-to-market issue. PEs invest for a time-frame of four-six years. Since the market is uncertain, one would not like to take risk,” he said.
Furthermore, valuations have risen in the last nine months or so. “PIPE deals are not cheap anymore. The capital market makes sense for people who are looking at quick appreciation. The market has been range-bound and very volatile,” said Alok Gupta, the chief executive officer of Axis Private Equity, speaking to the Business Standard.
Private equity players have finally made smart exits after the market turned northward during the last five months.
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PE players sold PE shares worth about Rs 1,500 crore during this period using the bulk and block deal window.
According to an ET analysis, selling primarily took place during the month of May and August, 2009 and major sellers included Chrys Capital and Citigroup Venture Capital.
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According to Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals, the severe correction in the stock market during the year 2008 resulted in substantial losses to private equity players which invested in listed companies.
The recent upward movement of the market helped in recovery of their losses.
This is also the main reason for private equity players selling their stakes.
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As per another Expert, there are two main reasons for exit of PE players.
“Everyone is doing a business and one needs cash to carry out businesses. Market crash during September-October last year evaporated the liquidity” said an expert.
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The positive rally of the equity market started on March 9, 2009. Since then the Sensex, has gone up by more than 84%.
In a block deal a minimum quantity of 5 lakh shares or shares with a minimum value of Rs 5 cr is transacted through a single transaction window provided by the stock exchange.
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Whereas, if more than 0.5% of the number of equity shares of a company gets traded under a single client code, it is known as bulk deal.
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