Archive for the ‘World Trade Organization’ Category

Indian Economy Set to Become World 3rd Largest in PPP Category

Indian Economy Set to Become World 3rd Largest in PPP Category

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According to a latest report by consultancy firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), India could move into third place in the individual country GDP ranking in the purchasing power parity (PPP) category ahead of  Japan in 2012.

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This report projections stand against the Goldman Sach’s projection of 2032 in its BRIC’s (Brazil, Russia, India, China) report.

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China, which was projected by BRIC’s report to overtake the US as largest economy by 2041, looks set to achieve this by sometime around 2020, the PwC report said.

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“It seems highly likely that by 2030, China will clearly be the largest economy in the world on this measure (PPP), ending over a century of US economic hegemony,” top official of PwC, said in the report.

It said the credit crisis has accelerated the pace at which the emerging economies will overtake the developed ones.

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The report also projected that India is likely to grow faster than China after 2020.

“This is because of India having a significantly younger and faster growing population than China, and also due to it having more catch-up potential as it started from a lower level of economic development than China,” it said.

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However, the report cautioned that India will only realize this if it continues to pursue growth-friendly economic policies of the last two decades.

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As per the report by 2020, it is projected that seven largest emerging economies, E7 (China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia and Turkey) would be overtaking the G7 (US, Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy and Canada) economies.

This will lead to a tectonic shift in the global economic power.

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🙂

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Weekly Update of The Market (1st – 5th February) Part 1

Hello Friends, here, we bring you the weekly overview of the Indian as well as of the Global economy and along with the latest global business and industry updates.

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Weekly Update of The Market (1st - 5th February) Part 1

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A bout of volatility was witnessed in the domestic market throughout the week due to

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1.  F&O expiry,

2.  unfavorable global cues because of gloomy earnings forecast,

3.  anxiety about China‘s monetary tightening,

4.  the deteriorating finances of countries ranging from Greece to Japan and

5.  India’s central bank‘s decision to raise the CRR to 5.75.

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🙂

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But on later days of the week, US Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged boosted sentiments of global markets.

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Closer home, investors also heaved a sigh of relief as the central bank kept key interest rates unchanged at the quarterly policy review indicating that it would maintain a balance between price stability and growth and raised its GDP growth projection for the current fiscal to 7.5 %.

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The RBI at its quarterly monetary policy review raised CRR by 75 basis points to suck out excess liquidity from the banking system to the tune of Rs 36000 crore.

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On the flip side, the challenges that RBI foresees for the economy is fiscal consolidation.

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The central bank lifted its wholesale price index inflation forecast for the end of the fiscal year in March 2010 to 8.5% from its earlier forecast of 6.5%.

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RBI also said it expected inflation to moderate starting in July 2010, assuming a normal monsoon and global oil prices holding at current levels.

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Moreover, US Federal Reserve too maintained interest rates at near zero levels and vowed to do so for an extended period of time.

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Additionally, it also signaled its intention of unwinding the massive monetary stimulus that it had undertaken during the peak of the crisis.

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🙂

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Stay Tuned for More on weekly updates.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

India’s Exports Rise to the Highest in the Past 15 Months

India's exports rise to the highest in the past 15 months

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Growing for the second straight month, India’s exports touched $14.6 billion in December.

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This is the highest in the past 15 months, helped by an uptick in demand for merchandise in the western markets.

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“We have registered exports of $14.6 billion in December,” commerce and industry minister Anand Sharma told.

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The December growth is about 16% from a year ago, while the expansion is about 10% compared to shipments in November this fiscal.

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The two straight months of growth comes after exports fell for 13 months in a row since October 2008.

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Sharma said going ahead the momentum would be maintained.

He, however, added that exporters are yet to recover from the setback of the past 13 months.

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Sectors like engineering, auto components and pharma helped exports rise again.

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Analysts said December growth has come about on a low base last year when the global demand dropped sharply due to the global recession.

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The December figure reflects the best ever performance since August 2008 when exporters shipped goods worth $16 billion.

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Demand for the Indian products seems to be reviving in the western markets. 🙂

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🙂

China May Become World Largest Economy by 2030 : Report

China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030

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As per the latest report by Deutsche Bank, the economic and financial status of emerging market economies such as India and China will continue to do well in the future and the recent downturn will help accelerate the trend.

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Report also suggests that the (BRIC) economies” increasing size will be making itself increasingly felt in the world markets, ranging from trade and investment to commodity markets.

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Meanwhile, the BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China are likely to achieve significant growth in future.

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Meanwhile, BRIC nations are already ranked among the top 10 on a PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) basis.

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The impressive economic growth rates and greater participation in global trade and financial flows by the BRIC economies are re-shaping the global economic and financial architecture of these economies.

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It is expected that with the constant present growth of the BRIC economies, political, economic and financial realities  of the world is going to change to the extent that China will replace the US as the World’’s largest economy by 2030.

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All the four big BRIC economies carry at least one investment grade rating, currently, at the same time.

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Moreover, China’’s and Russia’’s international status has been enhanced due to their substantial holdings of government controlled foreign assets.

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India on the Verge of Getting a Non-Permanent UNSC Seat

India on the verge of getting a non-permanent UNSC seat

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With its sole competitor from Asia, Kazakhstan, backing out of the crucial race, India inched closer to getting a non-permanent seat on the 15-member UNSC.

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“We have done very well.  The kind of support that India commands is very substantial,” a senior diplomat said, with New Delhi enjoying extensive backing among UN member-states 10 months ahead of voting in the General Assembly.

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Even before Kazakhstan dropped out, diplomats here estimate that 122 votes were in the bag but now that it is the sole runner from Asia, more votes are expected.

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However, it is said that the kind of support that India commands is very substantial whereas to win, India needs two-thirds of the General Assembly vote.

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That adds up to about 128 member states supporting it while the voting for the term starting in 2011 will take place in October 2010.

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Meanwhile, Kazakhstan is a member of the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC), an association of 56-Islamic states.

Being a member there, it was viewed by Indian as a serious competitor since it stood a good chance of getting the votes of a hefty number of Arab and Muslim nations in the General Assembly.

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On the other hand, there is no guarantee that all nations that promise to vote, will end up voting while a late entry in the coming months can also split the votes.

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The Security Council is made up of 15 statesfive permanent members who have the veto power and 15 non-permanent seats elected for a two-year term.

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The last time India had a seat at the Council was in 1992.

In 1996, Japan won with India trailing behind with approximately 40 votes.

🙂

China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030 : Report

China May Pip USA to Become World largest Economy by 2030

As per the latest report by Deutsche Bank, the economic and financial status of emerging market economies such as India and China will continue to do well in the future and the recent downturn will help accelerate the trend.

.

Report also suggests that the (BRIC) economies” increasing size will be making itself increasingly felt in the world markets, ranging from trade and investment to commodity markets.

.

Meanwhile, the BRIC economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China are likely to achieve significant growth in future.

.

Meanwhile, BRIC nations are already ranked among the top 10 on a PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) basis.

.

The impressive economic growth rates and greater participation in global trade and financial flows by the BRIC economies are re-shaping the global economic and financial architecture of these economies.

.

It is expected that with the constant present growth of the BRIC economies, political, economic and financial realities  of the world is going to change to the extent that China will replace the US as the World”s largest economy by 2030.

.

All the four big BRIC economies carry at least one investment grade rating, currently, at the same time.

.

Moreover, China”s and Russia”s international status has been enhanced due to their substantial holdings of government controlled foreign assets.

.

🙂

World Trade Organization (WTO) Chief Says Hopes of Doha Deal are Uncertain

The World Trade Organization (WTO) chief insisted members to resist protectionist pressure in the wake of the economic crisis, but said hopes of an early deal to free up international commerce are uncertain.

However, he said that in February this year, the global economic downturn was peaking while less than a year on; progress has been made but is not yet out of the woods.

Meanwhile, he said that the volume of world trade this year would decline a little more than 10%, which is unprecedented in modern times while in this environment, pressure for protectionist actions with their illusory gains for the domestic economy, will not necessarily diminish any time soon.

Further, success in completing the Doha round of trade talks next year as scheduled was vital to signal business and consumer confidence, and would strengthen the hand of governments as they confront protectionist pressures
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On the other hand, this will not occur unless they are all ready for heavy political lifting at home while there would be a “crunch time meeting” in the first quarter to check if the goal was attainable.