Archive for the ‘SMC online trading’ Category

RED HERRING PROSPECTUS: A CAREFUL EXERCISE

Initial Public Offering (IPO) is an exercise done by a company for raising capital by going public. IPO is raised generally in two ways either through fixed price or through Book Building. Generally, most of the companies follow the book building process. For this purpose, the company assigns the Merchant Banker as a Book Running Lead Manager (BRLM) for the IPO to handle the responsibility of Book Building Process.

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Book Building is a mechanism through which a consensus price of IPO can be determined on the basis of bids received from the informed investors such as Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs), Non-Institutional Buyers (NIBs) and Retail Investors. The process helps in making a correct evaluation of a company’s potential and the price of its shares. In most of the IPOs generally the allocation of the total issue into these 3 categories comprises of 50%, 15%, 35% of the total issue respectively.

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However when the dilution of the promoters stake is less than 25% the minimum allocating proportion for these categories changes to 60%, 10%, 30% of the total issue,respectively. The company aspiring to be public, files Red Herring Prospectus (RHP),framed by merchant banker, to the regulatory body SEBI that is supposed to cover all the important information about the company, its promoters and its businesses with due diligence.

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RHP is supposed to be the most important document for the company as it acts as a medium of imparting all the critical information regarding the issuer company to the public.Generally prospectus spreads over 300-400 pages. However, investors can concentrate on few key chapters to have the overall understanding of the public issue. Industry Overview, Company Overview, Capital Structure, Objects of the issue, Financial Information and Management discussion and Analysis are some of the chapters that one should necessarily focus on.

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Let’s understand the relevance of each of these topics one by one:

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Industry Overview: This chapter covers the prevailing market scenario of the industry in which the company operates. We get to know that how much the particular industry contributes to the growth of the country’s economy. That is the behavior of the industry with respect to the growth momentum of the country’s economy. Moreover it entails the government plans and initiatives, budgetary allocation in accordance with five year plans for the industry. This gives the picture of potential opportunity in the industry and its key drivers. It also includes the various linkages regarding the relation of industry to the domestic and global economy.

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Business Overview: This compasses all the information related to the business domain of the company – how the business commenced its operations, grown over the period. The product details of the company and where does it lies in the value chain of the industry. The product scope,how the distribution channel works, the marketing strategy, raw material procurement, details about the vendors, clients and their relation withthe company, the revenue generation process, target market, location of operation. All these information helps in knowing the strengths and weaknesses of the company. It also gives information regarding the future aspects of the company.

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How the company is expecting to expand its business, strategies to increase the market share of the company.

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Capital Structure: It tells us about the shareholding pattern of the company. The constituents of the present equity capital of the company, since inception to the present pattern of the shareholding. The details of the how it has raised its capital under the due period. It gives us the details aboutwho are the stakeholders along with their respective stake in the company.

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Objects of the Issue: This chapter assumes high degree of significance in the RHP as it answers the very first question that comes to the mind of the investors that for what reason the company is going public. It entails the objectives of the issue as where and how the company is going to deploy the funds raised from the issue. At times the company induces the fund requirements from the internal accruals that can be from the present business profits of the company or through the debt syndication from banks along with the issue proceeds.

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Company sometimes also utilize the issue proceeds to repay its debt so as to reduce its interest burden. Thus, it contains the purposes of the issue with their respective amount being required.

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Financial Information: This includes all the financial statements of the company on the stand alone and consolidated basis viz. Profit and loss statement, balance sheet, fund flow statement. These statements show the performance of the company from past 4-5 years along with the annexure that details various heads of these statements. Financial Statements helps the investors in knowing the health of the company in numbers.Various ratios and multiples are arrived with the help of these statements.

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Management Discussion and Analysis: This chapter summarizes the company businesses and its development in due course of time. Year-on-year financial comparison is explained in this part of the document. This helps us in knowing the management’s efficiency to grow a company. Certain important events, factors affecting the operations of the company or some specific strategies of the company are explained in this part of the document.To sum up, RHP being the formal document of the company plays an integral role in assessing the company’s business prospects and thus helps investors in taking decision for subscribing an IPO or otherwise.

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However, it is generally perceived as a lengthy exercise by some section of investors.This can be achieved by going through the above discussed topics that can impart all the relevant information of the company leading to a wise investment decision. After all, “Moneywise Be wise”.

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Turmeric………Golden Spice

Turmeric is a very important spice in India from ancient times. India is the biggest producer with account of nearly 90% of the world’s total production and consume 80%of it. Turmeric, basically a tropical plant of ginger family is the rhizome or underground stem Global Trade and production The main producing countries of turmeric are India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka,Taiwan, China, Burma (Myanmar) and Indonesia.

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The total yearly consumption of Turmeric all around the globe is approximately 38 Lakh bags to 40 Lakh bags.India is largest exporter (approximately 90%) of Turmeric. Taiwan, Thailand and other Southeast Asian countries are other exporter. United Arab Emirates (UAE) is the major importer accounting for 24.06 % of the total exports followed by United States of America (USA) with 12.93 %. Japan, Sri Lanka, Iran, United Kingdom and Middle Eastern countries are other major Importers of Turmeric.Production of Turmeric in India Generally, India produces almost 7 to 9 lakh ton per annum.

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The important varieties produced in India are: ‘Alleppey Finger’ (Kerala) and ‘Erode and Salem turmeric’ (Tamil Nadu), ‘Rajapore ‘and’ Sangli turmeric’ (Maharashtra)and ‘Nizamabad Bulb'(Andhra Pradesh).As per latest Statistics last year India has 185320 hectares under turmeric cultivation with a total production of 7.01 lakh tonnes. Andhra Pradesh topped both in area and production. Andhra Pradesh contributes nearly 31 per cent of the area under turmeric.Acreage under turmeric in the State has increased to 0.65 lakh hectares as on October 13th this year.

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Tamil Nadu is second largest producer state. In Tamil Nadu, the area under turmeric is expected to increase 9 per cent to 0.43 lakh hectares.India exports about 10% e.g. 40,000 to 50,000 tons of turmeric per annum. Turmeric isthe third-largest spice exported from India. In terms of quantity and value, it accounts about 12% and 5% respectively. USA, Malaysia and china are major importer of Indian turmeric.Turmeric exportswere lower in theApril-August 2010 quarter with a slip of 13%in volume to 22,500 tonnes compared to 25,500 tonnes in same period of last year.

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Prices seasonality

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Turmeric prices will be hovering lower between January and June.This could be mainly attributed to supply pressure due to new crop arrivals. From June onwards prices will start moving up as the market approaches lean season. Prices peak during October and December month of every year. As per seasonal trend,words of caution may enter into turmeric prices, as the trade may remain in a broader range with some bulk buying & festive season demand. Generally, the new crop hits the market during February-March. But this year it is expected to arrive a little early. Farmers will bring the crop early due to high returns earned last year. Therefore, increased arrivals at spot market will put pressure on the prices next year.

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Turmeric update

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•Turmeric production in 2010-11 is expected to improve by 43-45 per cent to 65-70lakh bags compared with 48 lakh bags in 2009-10.

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•Turmeric production in Andhra Pradesh in 2010/11 is expected to jump by 40 percent to 368,000 tonnes compared to 263,000 tonnes, the state horticulture department data showed.

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•Farmers considerably increased the area under the spice as prices were remunerative

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•The total stocks of turmeric are currently at 11 lakh bags against 7 lakh bags reported last in the same period.

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•The price of turmeric soared to an all time high of `15,500 a quintal in the Erode market.

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Weekly Update 18th – 22nd October 2010

Most of the world markets rallied in the week gone by on the buzz of further quantitative easing by U.S. Without giving details about the strategies on how the central bank will act its Nov. 2-3 meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke said additional monetary stimulus may be warranted because inflation is too low and unemployment is too high.

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Fed is considering ways for raising inflation expectations to encourage people to believe that prices will start rising at a faster pace so that they would spend more of their money now. Retail sales in U.S.climbed more than forecast as purchases rose 0.6 percent following a 0.7 percent gain in August and manufacturing in the New York region expanded in October at a faster pace than anticipated.

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China’s Shanghai Composite Index saw gains of 8.5 percent on the anticipation that China’s banks show strong earnings growth this quarter as the lending has beaten the forecast. Moreover the strong exports growth of 25.1 percent in September mirrors the strong underlying economic momentum. The country’s foreign-exchange reserves, the world’s largest, surged by a record to $2.65 trillion at the end of September.

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India’s wholesale price index rose to rose 8.62 percent in September from a year earlier after an 8.5 percent gain in August. Manufactured product inflation and Food price inflation rose by 0.3 percent and 1.6 percent respectively in September fromthe previous month. RBI Chief Subbarao said that inflation in India is being “quite stubborn,” a sign that controlling prices remains the central bank’s priority.

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Reserve Bank Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn signaled the central bank may intervene in the currency markets to shield exporters from the strengthening rupee. The capital account showed a surplus of $17.5 billion in the quarter to June 30, compared with a record shortfall of $13.7 billion in its current account.

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Foreign investors have so far poured approximately $23 billion in stocks and 10 billion indebt this year. Industrial production expanded by 5.6 percent in August after seeingan expansion of 15.2 percent in July.Going next week the main attraction for retail investors would be the primary market with Mega IPO of Coal India slated to open on 18th October. As Infosys has already rung the bell with positive surprise in terms of earning growth, the investors would now look forward to numbers of companies like L&T, HDFC, Bajaj Auto, etc that are scheduled to announce numbers next week.

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Nifty has support between5870-5950 and Sensex between 19200-19640 levels.With expecting second round of monetary easing, investors dumped dollar and endowed other investment avenues. Commodities extended a rally to the highest intwo years and CRB closed near the mark of 300. The dollar fell to its lowest in 10 months against a basket of currencies and breached the mark of 77. Five week continuous downfall enhanced metals and agricultural commodities.

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Gold gave heroic performance and made another life time high. It rose more than 25% in 2010.Silver is also trading near 30 year high. However, being prudent investors, one should book profit in gold and silver, considering safe trading. Base metals are expected to trade in a range. Crude oil should trade in range $80-85 in short run on mixed fundamental. OPEC has decided to keep the production quota unchanged in last meeting. Agro commodities should trade with high volatility ahead of expiry of October contract.

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SMC Global Securities Selects SunGard Kiodex Risk Workbench

SMC Global Securities, one of India’s largest brokering firms, has selected SunGard’s Kiodex Risk Workbench, a fully integrated Web-based risk management solution, to help its clients in hedging their price risk in foreign exchange, commodities and interest rates.

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SMC Global Securities also selected Kiodex Global Market Data for its independent market data needs.

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Kiodex will help SMC Global Securities establish a corporate hedging desk by assisting with deal capture, reporting and risk analysis of its client portfolios. SMC chose SunGard’s Kiodex Risk Workbench because of its robust risk management tools and its software-as-a-service (SaaS) delivery model, helping companies quickly bring new business to market.

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Mr. D K Aggarwal, chairman and managing director of SMC Comtrade Ltd, said, “With the globalization of the Indian economy, corporations in India need to have proper risk management systems in place. Through this relationship with SunGard, SMC would be in a position to help its clients to effectively manage price risk volatilities in the foreign exchange and commodities space.”

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Mr. Ajay Garg, director, SMC Global Securities, said, “SunGard’s Kiodex Risk Workbench and Kiodex Global Market Data will help us streamline deal entry, capture the dynamics of the commodity markets, and give us the ability to view risk from multiple perspectives so we can focus on assisting our clients with their risk management needs.”

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Kirk Howell, chief operating officer, SunGard’s Kiodex business unit, said, “India is a rapidly growing commodities market. SMC’s selection of Kiodex extends our existing presence in India to the brokerage community.”

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SPECIAL EVENTS: Series I: Open Offer

An open offer is an offer by an existing shareholder or a new shareholder of a publicly listed company, to acquire a certain number of shares from other shareholders of the target company. An open offer can either be voluntary or mandatory.

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Voluntary or Mandatory?

At any time, any entity can come out with a voluntary open offer to acquire as much number of shares of that company from other shareholders at any price which that entity is willing to offer.Whereas, if the open offer gets triggered as per the SEBI SAST guidelines (such as acquiring 15% or more stake in a company), then it is mandatory for the entity to come out with an open offer to acquire an additional minimum of 20% shares of the target company via the Open Offer route.In either of the case, the eligible shareholders, as per their discretion, may or may not tender their shares in the open offer.

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Minimum Pricing

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The price at which the mandatory open offer is to be provided cannot be below the higher of the following:

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1. Average of the weekly high and low of the closing prices of the shares of the company during the past 26 weeks.

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2. Average of the daily high and low prices of the shares of the company for the past 2 weeks.

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3. The price at which the entity coming out with an open offer acquired the shares which triggered the open offer.

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4. Price paid by the acquirer for acquisition of shares of the company, if any, by way of allotment in a public or rights or preferential issue during the past 26 weeks.

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Minimum Acceptance Ratio

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This ratio is the critical criteria in deciding the benefit that may likely accrue to the investors who tender their shares in the open offer. As the name itself suggests,minimum acceptance ratio gives us the minimum number of shares that shall be accepted in an open offer. For example, a minimum acceptance ratio of 10% means that for every 100 shares tendered by a shareholder in the open offer, a minimum of 10 shares shall be accepted in the open offer at the open offer price and rest of the90 shares shall be returned back to the shareholder after the closure of the open offer.

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The minimum acceptance ratio is calculated as follows:

It should be noted that the above figure is arrived at by assuming that all the eligible shareholders actually tender all of their shares in the open offer.

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Example: To understand the whole concept better, let us take an example.

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On September 9, 2010, Accelya Holding World S.L. (“Accelya”) agreed to buy the promoter stake of 38.60% or 56,69,478 equity shares of Kale Consultants Limited(“KCL”) at a price of `172 per equity share. This triggers the mandatory open offer as Accelya was acquiring a stake of more than 15% (i.e. 38.60%) in KCL.The mandatory open offer is for acquiring a minimum of 20% additional shares of KCL by Accelya from the shareholders of the company KCL, except the existingpromoters. This is because the shares have been acquired from the promoters itself and that event itself triggered the open offer in the first place.The open offer has to happen at a minimum price of `172, (as per SEBI pricing guidelines explained above).

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The open offer shall be for 20% additional shares of KCL that works out to 29,37,832 shares. The shares that can participate in the open offer are those which are heldby all the shareholders except the existing promoters, i.e. 61.40% ( 100% – 38.60%) of the total outstanding shares of the company. This works out to 90,19,684 shares.

 

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Hence, for every 100 shares that an investor tenders in the open offer, a minimum of 32 shares will be accepted in the open offer and rest of the 68 shares will bereturned back to the investor.

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Breakeven Price

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In the example we’ve discussed, the minimum acceptance ratio is 32.57% and the open offer price is 172. As on 8th Oct’10, the closing price of shares of KCL is151.25 on NSE. So if an investor had purchased 100 shares at that price his total outgo would be 15,125. On tendering these 100 shares, 32 shares shall be acceptedin the offer at 172, giving him an inflow of 5,504 ( 32 shares x 172). The remaining investment of the investor is 9,621 ( 15,125 – 5,504). This remaining amountneeds to recovered from the remaining 68 shares ( 100 – 32) that the investor will get back once the open offer closes. Thus, the investor will need to sell the remaining68 shares at a price of 141.49 ( 9,621 ÷ 68) to recover his original investment of 15,125. This, 141.49, is the breakeven price in this case. The investor stands to gainonly if he is able to sell his remaining 68 shares above this price, post the open offer.

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What if some shareholders do not tender their shares in the open offer?

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In our example of KCL shares, assume a certain shareholder, say Ratnabali Capital Markets Ltd (“Ratnabali“) which holds 3.48% (5,10,538) shares of the company as ofJune 30th, 2010, does not tender its shares in the open offer. This shall then improve the acceptance ratio from 32.57% to 34.53% for the other shareholders whotender their shares in the offer.

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Therefore, the number of shares accepted in the open offer shall increase to 34 (from the earlier figure of 32 in the example discussed) and accordingly, the newbreakeven price shall stand reduced from erstwhile 141.49 to 140.56.Hence, if any shareholder decides not to tender his shares in the open offer, then it becomes beneficial for the other shareholders who are indeed tendering theirshares in the open offer.

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Note:1. For the sake of simplicity, transaction costs have been ignored in the example discussed in this article.2. Prices and shareholding data sourced from National Stock Exchange.

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SUGAR……. “Ambas as extremidades de cana de açúcar não pode ser doce”

In Portuguese language “Ambas as extremidades de cana de açúcar não pode ser doce” means both ends of sugar cane cannot be sweet. Sugar travelling though its notorious cycle has always been continuously gathering news & issues all along these years. Starting with the sugar cycle, it follows a 3-4 years cycle with a bumper harvest resulting in higher inventory levels. Declining prices pressurizes the profits of sugar companies. Going around the downtrend in the sugar cycle starts with increased availability of sugars, decline in sugar prices. This prompts the farmers to switch over to other crops resulting in lower cane production. All these leads to higher sugar prices and the cycle turns around.

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FOREIGN NEWS

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•Mexico published a quota to import 100,000 tonnes of sugar to cover a shortfall in supply until the end of the year.

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•Tight supply supports raw sugar.

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•The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has pegged India’s sugar production at 23.6 million tonnes, marking an increase of over 26 per cent from last year.

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•Brazil crops shrivel as Amazon dries up to lowest in 47 years.

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•Brazil will harvest 639 million tons in the year started May 1, 3.2 percent less than estimated in April.

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•Australia’s 2010/11 sugar output is being threatened by heavy rain in the northeastern cane growing state of Queensland, disrupting this year’s cane crush.

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•Liffe front-month, December white sugar ends $24.20 higher at $649.80 per tonne after earlier setting a 7-month high for the front month of $661.80 a tonne.

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•Market buoyed by a fresh wave of fund buying and crop concerns in South Africa, Argentina, Mexico and Australia.

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DOMESTIC NEWS

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•Sugar production in Uttar Pradesh, may rise to 6.2 million tonnes from 5.18 million tonnes in the review period.

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•Sugar output in Karnataka is likely to decline marginally to 2.3 million tonnes this year from 2.53 million tonnes last year.

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•Sugar output in Tamil Nadu may jump sharply to 2.1 million tonnes in the 2010-11 crop year from 1.25 million tonnes last year.

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•The output in Gujarat is pegged at 1.3 million tonnes against 1.19 million tonnes last year.

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•Cane growers seek higher prices of 200 rupees ($4.49) per 100 kilograms.

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•NCDEX seeks permission to do futures trading in sugar.

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•The Government has declared lower October sugar quota at 17.50 lakh tonnes (lt) against September’s 19 lt.

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•Sugar imported from India will be tested before its sale in Pakistan, said a minister who rejected the impression that Indian sugar was substandard.

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Seasonality – Indian Scenario

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Analyzing the seasonal index of Indian sugar prices, the prices remain under the pressure till the third quarter of the year. The fourth quarter is a seasonal buying period, as the market witness a recovery because of the festive season.As far as the medium to long-term outlook is considered, the price trends in international markets would be the key determinants of future profitability with the crude oil price trends, which determine the diversion of cane crop to ethanol.

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COMMODITY WEEKLY COMMENTARY 11th – 15th October

International gold hit yet another new high and tested $1364 as the US currency slumped to fresh 15-and-a-half year lows against the Japanese Yen. The euro and British pound both neared 8-month highs vs. the dollar after their central banks failed to cut rates or expand their quantitative easing. The shiny metal continued breaching new high records by taking advantageof concerns surrounding global recovery which raise speculations that central banks will add tostimulus to bolster growth. This time domestic gold and silver also rose to their fresh highs on MCX. Base metal prices traded on the mixed note with lead prices ending in red while copper along with aluminium and nickel prices managing to end in the green territory.

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The base metal prices remained volatile mainly due to weakness in the dollar index and profit taking at highlevels. In energy counter crude oil remained volatile as prices got support by a weaker dollar and investors’ demand for higher-yielding assets. Prices were also under pinned by the drop in motor gasoline and distillates inventories off setting the buildup in crude inventories.Regarding agro commodities, oil seeds and edible oil counter revived on some bargain buying atlower level amid falling dollar index. Strong buying by soyabean millers together with rising soyameal export also encouraged buying in both spot and future market. Fresh arrivals in Haryana and Rajasthan washed out the profit of guargum and guarseed futures. Prices were also discouraged by strong production estimates of guarseed in the current year.

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Despite tight supply position against strong demand pepper futures closed the week on negative note on profit booking. Turmeric rose on improved demand. Chilli was sideways with upside bias on mixed fundamentals while jeera and cardamom moved southward. Receding stocks in major mandies accompanied with strong export demand by traders and exporters gave terrific rise tothe mentha prices. Even in future market it breached the level of 950 on MCX. Mint exports inApril- August, 2010 surged by 2 percent to `723.95 lacs against 595.57 lacs reported last year inthe same period. Chana appeared shy to breach the resistance of 2300 and it closed down on profit booking at higher levels.

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Equity News Round Up 11th – 15th October

DOMESTIC NEWS

Economy

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•Food inflation eased marginally to 16.24% for the week ended September 25, from 16.44% in the previous week, as improved supplies lowered prices.

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Capital Goods

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•BHEL has bagged a `3,700-crore from Karnataka Power Corporation Ltd for setting up the 700 MW Bellary Thermal Power Station in Karnataka.

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•Lanco Infratech informed that its Vidarbha power project based in Maharashtra, has achieved financial closure. The company has raised debt to the tune of `5,549 crore to fund the project which has an estimated cost of around `6,936 crore. The rest of requirement is funded by equity of `1,387 crore.

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•Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has bagged `1,585 crore orders in July-September period from the construction segment. Of the `1,585 croreorders, `435 crore order is for construction of building projects fromleading developers while `781 crore orders is from “clients forconstruction of hotel, office building and add on orders from its ongoing airport and commercial building projects”.

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Automobile

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•Hero Honda has launched a limited edition of its 100cc motorcyclePassion Pro, priced at `46,300 (ex-showroom Delhi).

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Realty/ Construction

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•IVRCL Infrastructure and Projects said its various divisions have wonorders worth `1,120 crore from sectors including power and transportation. The company’s water division bagged the highest `451crore order, followed by `440 crore by building divisions,`136 crore by transportation division and `92 crore by power division.

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•Punj Lloyd Group has bagged a `539-crore contract from the state owned gas utility GAIL India for laying a natural gas pipeline from Dabholto Bangalore. The project will be executed over a period of 13 months.

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Pharmaceutical

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•Cadila has got approval from US health regulator to market high blood pressure treatment tablets, Losartan Potassium and Losartan Potassium and HCTZ in the American market. The US Food and Drug Administration approval has been granted to the firm’s subsidiary Zydus Cadila, for Losartan Potassium tablets in the strengths of 25 mg, 50 mg and 100 mg and for Losartan Potassium and Hydrochlorothiazide tablets in the strengths of 50/ 12.5 mg and 100/25 mg.

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Power

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•NTPC may invest over `10,000 crore to set up a 2,640 megawatt (Mw)thermal power project at Gidarbaha in Punjab. The Project shall be setup as regional power project by NTPC and would also be the company’s first in the state.

INTERNATIONAL NEWS

•US Pending Home Sales Index jumped more than four percent for asecond straight month, to 82.3 in August (2001 = 100). The prior month was revised to 78.9, shaving July’s gain to 4.5 percent. The readings point to a second straight jump for existing home sales which surged nearly eight percent in August.

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•US non-farm payroll employment fell by 95,000 jobs in September following a revised decrease of 57,000 jobs in August. Economists had expected employment to come in flat compared to the loss of 54,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

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•UK output price index rose 4.4% annually in September, compared with a4.7% gain in August. The increase was a touch higher than the expected 4.3% rise. Output prices gained 0.3% month-on-month after stagnating in August. Excluding food, beverages, tobacco and petroleum, output prices increased 4.6% annually.

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•The Japanese Cabinet approved a 5.05 trillion yen ($62 billion) new stimulus package to boost the economy amid widespread concerns that it could slip back into recession. The new package, which will befinanced by an extra budget, is aimed at addressing labor market issues,social welfare and healthcare services. The government is trying to finalize this additional budget by the end of this month.

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Weekly Update 11th – 15th October 2010

Beside Indian market all global markets closed in green in the week gone by on the expectation of policy easing by developed nations. Central banks resorting to purchase of debt and currency intervention in developedeconomies is flooding markets with liquidity and funds are flowing to Asia for higherreturns. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke has signaled that Fed may announce thepurchase of more Treasuries as soon as their next policy meeting in November in aneffort to boost growth and reduce an unemployment rate.

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The Bank of Japan said this week it will establish a 5 trillion yen ($61 billion) fund to buy government bondsand other assets. It also cut its benchmark overnight interest rate for the first timesince 2008, dropping it to a range of zero to 0.1 percent. Joining the league European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet too said that ECB policymakers are in the “same mood” as a month ago and for now remain committed tophasing out their unlimited lending program.With the economic activity gaining pace, it is believed that Indian market wouldcontinue to see overseas buying. Moreover Indian government plans to raise $8.9billion in the year ending March 31 selling state assets including Coal India, Steel Authority of India Ltd. and Indian Oil Corp. thereby giving more investment opportunities to investors.

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While many developed nations are intervening in the currency markets in order tostem the appreciation in the currency, Indian Finance minister is of the opinion thatthe situation has not gone to an extent at which there is a need to restrict portfolio or foreign direct investment. As a matter of fact Indian rupee gained 4.5 percent inSeptember. Finance Minister said “We should try to engage the countries innegotiations and build up a consensus through which the matter can be resolved andit cannot be resolved through confrontation.” The International Monetary Fundraised its 2010 economic growth forecast for India to 9.7 percent from 9.4 percent,citing strengthening local consumer demand.

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Since we have already seen a huge run up in the broader indices meaning moreparticipation coming from large cap stocks so now going forward we may expectmore activity in mid and small cap stocks. The result season is starting in the comingweek and corporate would give their guidance for the rest of the year which wouldset the future undertone of the markets. Nifty has support between 5950-5870 and Sensex between 19640-19200 levels.What a stunning rally gold has enjoyed recently on fear of inflation. It has hit many records in fewer days.

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Silver was not behind, it made life time high of `34898 on MCX and breached the mark of `35000 in spot market. Talk of quantitative easing by US and rate cut by BoJ are creating anxiety over currency devaluation and long-terminflation is keeping gold and silver on remarkable run up. After witnessing the bigswings of both side, we can say that trend of crude oil is little bit in indecision mode.However, bias should be on upside. Michigan Confidence, CPI and advance retailsales data of US may further provide the direction to metals and energy. Industrialmetals which have made upper trading range last week, are likely to trade up onweakening dollar index.

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Binani Inds to Buy Public Holding in Cement Unit

Binani Industries Ltd said on Wednesday it received board approvals to acquire the entire public holding in its unit Binani Cement, sending shares of both companies soaring.

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In a separate statement, Binani Cement said it will voluntarily delist equity shares from both BSE and NSE, after getting shareholders’ approval. Its shares rose as much as 20% on the news, while the parent’s stock rose 16%.

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Traders expect that the purchase price would be decided using a reverse book-building method, which pushed up the stock price, said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

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In reverse book-building, shareholders can indicate the price at which they will tender the shares, he added.

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As on June 30, promoters hold 51.28% stake, while non-institutions hold 41.75%, institutions 6.97% and foreign institutional investors hold 2.10%, BSE data showed.

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Binani Group is into manufacturing of cement, zinc, glass fibre and downstream composites.

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Binani Industries would have to spend over Rs 700 crore to acquire the entire shareholding at the current share price, Thunuguntla said, adding that this would be part of Binani Industries internal restructuring plan.

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Shares of the Binani Cement closed up 14.41% at Rs 95.65, while that of Binani Industries closed 11.4% up at Rs 121.45 in a strong Mumbai market.

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Source:Moneycontrol

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