Archive for the ‘Private Equity’ Category

Lets Know About Economic Indicators :)

Hello Friends here we come up with our another write up on “SMC Gyan Series”.

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Lets Know About Economic Indicators

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Topic is “Economic Indicators”.

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Economic indicators are important as they provide an accurate account of nation‘s economy at various points of time.

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There are various types of economic indicators that deal with different periods of time and there are others that deal with separate administrative divisions like states for example.

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They are important in context of analyzing nation’s economy.

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In this Blog, we would know what are major economic indicators ?

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Major Economic Indicators :

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1. Industrial Production:

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Measures the change in the production of the nation’s factories, mines and utilities, industrial production.

Also measures the country’s industrial capacity utilization.

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

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Indicates the pace at which a country’s economy is growing or shrinking.

3. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI):

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This index includes data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export and import orders.

4. Producer Price Index (PPI):

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Measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture, and electric utility industries.

The PPIs most often used for economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude goods.

5. Consumer Price Index (CPI):

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Measures the average price level paid by urban consumers (80% of the population in major currency countries) for a fixed basket of goods and services.

6. Durable Goods:

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Measures new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods.

This figure is a useful measure of certain kinds of customer demand.

7. Employment Cost Index (ECI):

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ECI counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation’s business and government establishments.

8.Retail Sales:

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It is the indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences.

9. Housing Starts :

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Measures the number of residential units on which construction is begun each month.

Thus to conclude Economic indicators is a tool for an investor for knowing the economic world.

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It also simultaneously a tool to smartly make money out of the sensitive movements of the financial & commodities market.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

Now, Trading in Derivatives Contracts in 3 More Currency Pairs :)

Trading in Derivatives Contracts in 3 More Currency Pairs

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Spirits of indian investors and institutions dealing in foreign currencies were boosted by the latest news of regulators allowing Indian bourses to start trading in derivatives contracts in three more currency pairs.

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Rupee-Euro, Rupee-Japanese Yen (JPY) and Rupee-British Pound (GBP).

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Currently, only trading in futures contracts in Rupee-US Dollar is allowed on the bourses, which began on the NSE on August 29, 2008, followed by MCX-SX.

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Permission from the banking regulator Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) came within a month of the combined turnover of the two forex derivative boursesNSE’s foreign forex trading segment and MCX Stock Exchange (MCX-SX)— crossing the combined turnover of the cash market of NSE and BSE.

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Last fortnight, the forex derivatives markets recorded a turnover of nearly Rs 34,500 crore, compared to about Rs 23,200 crore on the two bourses’ cash segments.

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Although BSE offers forex derivatives trading, the segment is yet to take off.

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Following the global trend, where forex trading volumes dwarf volumes in both equities and commodities, the forex derivatives segment in India took just a year and a half since their launch to surpass the turnover in the cash segment of the bourses.

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However, spokespersons from both NSE and MCX-SX said that these bourses will start trading in these three new pairs very soon.

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Indian Private Equity Industry to Hit By US Banks Curbs : Experts

Indian Private Equity Industry to Hit By US Banks Curbs

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In case, US President Barack Obama‘s proposal to curb the role of commercial banks in hedge and PE funds is implemented, then fund-raising could indeed become a very tough task for Indian private equity players.

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But at the same time, the move could help Indian funds take part in more deals, market players insist.

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Obama has proposed to bar commercial banks from owning, advising and investing their own capital in PE and hedge funds.

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Though most investors in Indian PE funds are university funds, endowment funds, pension funds, insurance funds and institutional investors,  the industry expects the move to impact fund-raising in the long term and in big way, as banks will be barred from taking part in these funds.

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A large number of venture capital and PE funds of US-based commercial banks had reduced their exposure to India during the economic slowdown.

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Though few big ones like Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch etc; stayed back in the market.

Indian PE players hope to get more deals if these players vacate the market.

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Market experts do not see any significant impact in the coming few months, but cannot deny that a slowdown in USA market will surely impact the Indian private equity industry.

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They feel that any curbs on banks would make fund-raising a very difficult task since banks were the biggest contributors of funds.

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Industry players say the focus will shift from funds of banks to fund of funds, pension funds, and university and endowment funds.

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“It will be difficult to put a number as these transactions are structured in a complex manner.

But I believe a significant proportion of investments in India-based PE funds come from balance sheets of these banks.

These firms will be affected and will have to look for new sources of money,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

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Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk

Hello Friends here we come up with another write up on “SMC Gyan Series”.

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Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk

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Topic is “Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk
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Mutual funds are the best investment tool for the retail investor as it offers the twin benefits of good returns and safety as compared with other avenues such as bank deposits or stock investing.

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Choose the wrong fund and you would have been better off keeping money in a bank fixed deposit.

Keep in mind the points listed below and you could at least marginalize your investment risk:

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1) Past performance –

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While past performance is not an indicator of the future it does throw some light on the investment philosophies of the fund, how it has performed in the past and the kind of returns it is offering to the investor over a period of time.

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Also check out the two-year and one-year returns for consistency.

How did these funds perform in the bull and bear markets of the immediate past?

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Tracking the performance in the bear market is particularly important because the true test of a portfolio is often revealed in how little it falls in a bad market.

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2) Know your fund manager

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The success of a fund to a great extent depends on the fund manager.

The same fund managers manage most successful funds.

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Ask before investing, has the fund manager or strategy changed recently?

For instance, the portfolio manager who generated the fund’s successful performance may no longer be managing the fund.

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3) Does it suit your risk profile?

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Certain sector-specific schemes come with a high-risk  high-return tag.

Such plans are suspect to crashes in case the industry loses the market men fancy.

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If the investor is totally risk averse he can opt for pure debt schemes with little or no risk.

Most prefer the balanced schemes which invest in the equity and debt markets.

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Growth and pure equity plans give greater returns than pure debt plans but their risk is higher.

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4) Read the prospectus

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The prospectus says a lot about the fund.

A reading of the fund’s prospectus is a must to learn about its investment strategy and the risk that it will expose you to.

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Funds with higher rates of return may take risks that are beyond your comfort level and are inconsistent with your financial goals.

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But remember that all funds carry some level of risk.

Just because a fund invests in does not mean it does not have significant risk.

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Thinking about your long-term investment strategies and tolerance for risk can help you decide what type of fund is best suited for you.

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5) How will the fund affect the diversification of your portfolio?

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When choosing a mutual fund, you should consider how your interest in that fund affects the overall diversification of your investment portfolio.

Maintaining a diversified and balanced portfolio is key to maintaining an acceptable level of risk.

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6) What it costs you?

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A fund with high costs must perform better than a low-cost fund to generate the same returns for you.

Even small differences in fees can translate into large differences in returns over time.

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Finally, don’t pick a fund simply because it has shown a spurt in value in the current rally.

Ferret out information of a fund for at least three years.

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The one thing to remember while investing in equity funds is that it makes no sense to get in and out of a fund with each turn of the market.

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Like stocks, the right equity mutual fund will pay off big — if you have the patience.

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Similarly, it makes little sense to hold on to a fund that lags behind the total market year after year.

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SMC Global Securities : Money Wise Be Wise !

India Inc Set to Raise Rs.50k Crores Through IPOs in 2010: SMC Capital

India Inc Set to Raise Rs.50k Crores Through IPOs in 2010:SMC Capital

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Domestic companies seems set to get on with the huge fund raising exercise this year with plans to raise over Rs 50,000 crore via public offers, driven by the sharp recovery in the stock market.

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Almost 50 companies have already filed the draft prospectus with the market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

This depicts at the healthy prospect of the strong IPO market after the encouraging revival of IPO market in 2009.

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Indian companies had raised about Rs 20,000 crore through IPOs in 2009.

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Market Experts feel that fund raising can go up to Rs 50,000 crore this year since Government has already planned to sell shares in a host of public sector companies by way of IPOs and follow-on public offers (FPOs).

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Five companies aiming to raise over Rs 300 crore have already received the regulator’s clearance for the IPO, if draft prospectus filed with the SEBI is anything to go by.

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“The IPO pipeline looks strong in 2010.

Also the way the government is pushing ahead with the disinvestment plan, fund raising can go up to Rs 50,000 crore by the end of the year,” SMC Capitals Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

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As part of its disinvestment plans the government intends to raise over Rs 20,000 crore by way of FPOs of NMDC, SAIL, NTPC, and REC.

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Some of the prominent private companies which have their IPOs lined up, beside this, include Jindal Power, BPTP, Reliance Infratel, Emaar MGF etc;

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“Of the total IPOs that are in the pipeline, as many as 16 are from real estate sector. However, their success is a bit doubtful as the appetite for realty IPOs are currently less,” Thunuguntla added.

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Primary market fund raising in 2008 saw 30 IPOs mopping up Rs 17,000 crore, but shares of many these companies gave the investors modest-to-good returns.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW JANUARY 2010

EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW JANUARY 2010

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The year 2009 was an unconventional year with surprises galore.

The sharp recovery in the benchmark Sensex is evident of the same.

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The year came with some shocks and some surprises, be it Satyam opening the Pandora’s Box, government coming to the rescue through fiscal stimulus or gold touching the new highs.


With appreciation of more than 75%, 2009 calendar year emerged as the best year bringing back hope and strengthening the faith and confidence of investors.

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As we welcome the New Year, let’s have a glance at how was the sunset of 2009 with the happenings in the month of December.


The month started with not much action as the indices were little changed as every rise was seen as an opportunity to book profits as fear of rising inflation barred investors from building large positions.

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The India’s industrial output jumped 11.7% in November 2009 from a year earlier, helped by stimulus measures and robust domestic demand.


The momentum in the country’s industrial output is likely to sustain in the coming months.


The facility for Indian companies to buy back their Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) under the automatic route and approval route would be discontinued from January 2010 due to the improvement in the equity market.

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The central bank said it would allow non-bank financial companies which are focused on financing infrastructure projects to borrow from overseas markets under the approval route.


During the middle of the month, profit taking pulled the key benchmark indices lower.

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The worst monsoon since 1972 and flood in some parts of the country have pushed up food prices nearly to 17.28% annually in beginning of January, while the headline inflation accelerated to 7.31% in December.


The food supplies need to be boosted to stem the price rise as the current acceleration in inflation rate is not only due to loose monetary stance.


The government towards this, has cut the open sale price of wheat, while ministers have pledged to import food items that are in short supply to boost local supplies and stem inflation.

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Dollar also showed strength and sparked fears of unwinding of dollar carry trade.

The Christmas week saw a ‘Santa Claus’ rally that took the market to 19 months’ closing high in a truncated trading week.

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Further, the latest data showed that corporate advance tax payments for the October-December 2009 quarter shot up sharply, suggesting a higher profit growth in corporate sector in the third quarter (October-December) of the current fiscal.

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The corporate advance tax payments for the quarter were up 44% to Rs.48300 crore against a 3.7% decline in April-June quarter and a 14.7% increase in July-September quarter.


The company-wise break-up of advance tax collection suggests a broad-based recovery with automobiles, cement, metals and consumer goods, doing well.

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Amidst all this, we had the Finance Minister‘s statement that containing inflation and cutting fiscal deficit are the major challenges for the government in the short-to-medium term.


Towards this the government can even alter the proposed draft for the direct tax code to sustain the high economic growth.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please Click Here

India Inc Set to Raise Rs.50k Crores Through IPOs in 2010

India Inc Set to Raise Rs.50k Crores Through IPOs in 2010.

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Domestic companies seems set to get on with the huge fund raising exercise this year with plans to raise over Rs 50,000 crore via public offers, driven by the sharp recovery in the stock market.

.

Almost 50 companies have already filed the draft prospectus with the market regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

This depicts at the healthy prospect of the strong IPO market after the encouraging revival of IPO market in 2009.

.

Indian companies had raised about Rs 20,000 crore through IPOs in 2009.

.

Market Experts feel that fund raising can go up to Rs 50,000 crore this year since Government has already planned to sell shares in a host of public sector companies by way of IPOs and follow-on public offers (FPOs).

.

Five companies aiming to raise over Rs 300 crore have already received the regulator’s clearance for the IPO, if draft prospectus filed with the SEBI is anything to go by.

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“The IPO pipeline looks strong in 2010.

Also the way the government is pushing ahead with the disinvestment plan, fund raising can go up to Rs 50,000 crore by the end of the year,” SMC Capitals Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

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As part of its disinvestment plans the government intends to raise over Rs 20,000 crore by way of FPOs of NMDC, SAIL, NTPC, and REC.

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Some of the prominent private companies which have their IPOs lined up, beside this, include Jindal Power, BPTP, Reliance Infratel, Emaar MGF etc;

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“Of the total IPOs that are in the pipeline, as many as 16 are from real estate sector. However, their success is a bit doubtful as the appetite for realty IPOs are currently less,” Thunuguntla added.

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Primary market fund raising in 2008 saw 30 IPOs mopping up Rs 17,000 crore, but shares of many these companies gave the investors modest-to-good returns.

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FII investment, this year, is the highest ever inflow in India

FDI inflow India Last year Touched 80 Thousand crores

The FII investment of Rs 80,500 crore in 2009 is the highest ever inflow in the country in rupee terms in a single year and comes a year after they pulled out over Rs 50,000 crore.

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FII inflow so far this year has broken the previous high of Rs 71,486 crore parked by foreign fund houses in domestic equities in 2007.

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Market analysts believe that the FII inflow in India may continue in the next year as well, if the liquidity conditions remain strong.

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As per Market experts, FIIs are expected to continue to be positive on domestic markets and in general Indian markets seems to fare well in 2010.

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Delhi-based SMC Capitals Ltd’s Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla has supported the view, saying,

“If liquidity conditions remain strong next year, one can expect FII inflow to remain strong into India even in 2010 as well.”

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The Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark sensex, comprising 30 bluechip stocks, has gained more than 70% so far in 2009, one of the best performers among leading global bourses.

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“However, if dollar-carrytrade-unwinding starts, then one can expect rush of FII outflow from the country, resulting in pressure on Indian markets,” he cautioned.

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Significantly, last year the FIIs had pulled out a net Rs 52,900 crore from the domestic bourses — a trend triggered with the collapse of global financial services icon Lehman Brothers in the middle of September 2008.

This selling trend continued till the first two months of the passing year.

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Mid-cap and Small-cap Shares Outperformed Blue Chips in 2009

mid-cap and small-cap shares outperformed blue chips

2009 was a year when stock market minnows beat the big boys of Dalal Street.

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This year, mid-cap and small-cap shares outperformed blue chips, setting the momentum for 2010.

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Stocks of companies with medium and small market capitalisations shot up more significantly than the scrips with larger valuations.

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This was all happening when stock market  was witnessing a recovery across the board in the year.

Market experts said the smaller capitalization stocks do not need huge amounts of investments to rally and so managed to outperform their peers in the benchmark index, Sensex in the year.

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According to an analysis of the performance of mid-cap and small cap indices on the Bombay Stock Exchange, the small-cap index has given a return of as much as 115 per cent, while the mid-cap index has gained nearly 100 per cent so far in 2009.

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In comparison to the performance of its smaller peers, the 30-share benchmark index, Sensex, gave a return of 75.3 per cent to investors.

“The rally in the mid-cap and small-cap have been stronger than that of the large cap index of Sensex.

Mid-cap and small-cap indices comprise stocks require relatively smaller investment as they are available at cheap rates in the market,”

SMC Capitals Ltd Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

The mid-cap and small cap indices track the performance of companies with market capitalisations that are a fifth or tenth of that of blue chip firms.

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🙂