Archive for the ‘PORTFOLIO REBALANCING’ Category

Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk

Hello Friends here we come up with another write up on “SMC Gyan Series”.

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Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk

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Topic is “Mutual Funds : Marginalise Your Investment Risk
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Mutual funds are the best investment tool for the retail investor as it offers the twin benefits of good returns and safety as compared with other avenues such as bank deposits or stock investing.

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Choose the wrong fund and you would have been better off keeping money in a bank fixed deposit.

Keep in mind the points listed below and you could at least marginalize your investment risk:

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1) Past performance –

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While past performance is not an indicator of the future it does throw some light on the investment philosophies of the fund, how it has performed in the past and the kind of returns it is offering to the investor over a period of time.

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Also check out the two-year and one-year returns for consistency.

How did these funds perform in the bull and bear markets of the immediate past?

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Tracking the performance in the bear market is particularly important because the true test of a portfolio is often revealed in how little it falls in a bad market.

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2) Know your fund manager

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The success of a fund to a great extent depends on the fund manager.

The same fund managers manage most successful funds.

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Ask before investing, has the fund manager or strategy changed recently?

For instance, the portfolio manager who generated the fund’s successful performance may no longer be managing the fund.

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3) Does it suit your risk profile?

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Certain sector-specific schemes come with a high-risk  high-return tag.

Such plans are suspect to crashes in case the industry loses the market men fancy.

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If the investor is totally risk averse he can opt for pure debt schemes with little or no risk.

Most prefer the balanced schemes which invest in the equity and debt markets.

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Growth and pure equity plans give greater returns than pure debt plans but their risk is higher.

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4) Read the prospectus

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The prospectus says a lot about the fund.

A reading of the fund’s prospectus is a must to learn about its investment strategy and the risk that it will expose you to.

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Funds with higher rates of return may take risks that are beyond your comfort level and are inconsistent with your financial goals.

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But remember that all funds carry some level of risk.

Just because a fund invests in does not mean it does not have significant risk.

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Thinking about your long-term investment strategies and tolerance for risk can help you decide what type of fund is best suited for you.

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5) How will the fund affect the diversification of your portfolio?

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When choosing a mutual fund, you should consider how your interest in that fund affects the overall diversification of your investment portfolio.

Maintaining a diversified and balanced portfolio is key to maintaining an acceptable level of risk.

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6) What it costs you?

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A fund with high costs must perform better than a low-cost fund to generate the same returns for you.

Even small differences in fees can translate into large differences in returns over time.

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Finally, don’t pick a fund simply because it has shown a spurt in value in the current rally.

Ferret out information of a fund for at least three years.

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The one thing to remember while investing in equity funds is that it makes no sense to get in and out of a fund with each turn of the market.

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Like stocks, the right equity mutual fund will pay off big — if you have the patience.

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Similarly, it makes little sense to hold on to a fund that lags behind the total market year after year.

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SMC Global Securities : Money Wise Be Wise !

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Mid-cap and Small-cap Shares Outperformed Blue Chips in 2009

mid-cap and small-cap shares outperformed blue chips

2009 was a year when stock market minnows beat the big boys of Dalal Street.

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This year, mid-cap and small-cap shares outperformed blue chips, setting the momentum for 2010.

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Stocks of companies with medium and small market capitalisations shot up more significantly than the scrips with larger valuations.

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This was all happening when stock market  was witnessing a recovery across the board in the year.

Market experts said the smaller capitalization stocks do not need huge amounts of investments to rally and so managed to outperform their peers in the benchmark index, Sensex in the year.

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According to an analysis of the performance of mid-cap and small cap indices on the Bombay Stock Exchange, the small-cap index has given a return of as much as 115 per cent, while the mid-cap index has gained nearly 100 per cent so far in 2009.

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In comparison to the performance of its smaller peers, the 30-share benchmark index, Sensex, gave a return of 75.3 per cent to investors.

“The rally in the mid-cap and small-cap have been stronger than that of the large cap index of Sensex.

Mid-cap and small-cap indices comprise stocks require relatively smaller investment as they are available at cheap rates in the market,”

SMC Capitals Ltd Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

The mid-cap and small cap indices track the performance of companies with market capitalisations that are a fifth or tenth of that of blue chip firms.

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Domestic Realty Companies Faces Challenges Post Dubai Storm

Domestic Realty Companies faces Challenges Post Dubai Debt fallout

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Domestic realty companies which are planning to tap the primary markets may not see a smooth sailing as the Dubai debt crisis is likely to undermine investor confidence in the sector.

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As many as nine realty companies, including Emmar MGF, have filed their draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) with the market regulator Sebi aiming to raise about Rs 15,000 crore.

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“It will not be surprising if some realty companies defer their share sale plan.

The Dubai debt crisis will not give any positive signal to investors in realty companies and IPOs of companies like Emmar MGF will face huge challenge,”

SMC Capitals‘ equity head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said.

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As per the DRHP filed with the Sebi, nine relators are planning to raise an estimated Rs 15,000 crore through the initial public offers (IPOs).

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This includes Emmar MGF’s Rs 4,000 crore issue, followed by Sahara Prime City (Rs 3,400 crore), Lodha Developers (Rs 2,700 crore), BPTP (Rs 2,000 crore), and Godrej Properties (Rs 500 crore).

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Last month, the Dubai government-owned investment company Dubai World asked for a six-month delay on repaying its $ 59 billion debts.

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? “No” Says India’s Think Tank :)

 

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? "No" Says India's Think Tank


Indian policy-makers
are not really worried over the potential adverse impact on the country’s economy because of the multi-billion-dollar debt default risk faced by Dubai World, ranked among the largest conglomerates in the region.

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Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said “India is a very large economy. It is a resilient economy”.

“I don’t think some development in real estate in Dubai will have an impact on the Indian economy” he added.

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He also said “As far as India is concerned, the housing, real estate sector and construction industry are all doing well.

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This is confirmed by the increasing demand for construction materials, cement and steel,”

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Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla also saw little impact of the Dubai World’s woes on the country’s economy.

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Though he was a trifle more circumspect and preferred to watch the situation before hazarding a guess.

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“We will have to study what the issue is, what is the problem, what will be the possible implication if any for the Indian economy, the people and corporates,” Chawla told.

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Asked if the crisis will impact money flows into India,since the Gulf region accounts for over half the total inward remittances worth over $25 billion annually from expatriate Indians,

Chawla said: “It’s unlikely.”

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The state-run Dubai World stunned the global financial world Thursday when it announced it would need to restructure its debt, estimated at $59 billion, to preempt default and asked creditors for a six-month deferment.

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The conglomerate, which has a host of companies under its fold, has interests in a wide range of businesses such as realty, infrastructure, logistics and economic zones.

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And that is not just in the region but across a clutch of countries including India.

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Indian equities reacted adversely to the development, with the benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) down as much as 634.16 points, or 3.76 percent, midway into the trading session Friday.

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It later recovered and closed with a loss of some 220 points, or 1.3 percent over the previous close.

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Indian markets have rallied more than 100 percent from the lows a year ago,mostly backed by news of recovery and not necessarily on fundamentals,”

said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of brokerage firm SMC Capital.

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“This is why such news will have a negative impact on our markets and we will be dragged down,” Thunuguntla, who heads the equities division of SMC Capital told.

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Even some Gulf-based companies, like Emmar, which have business interests in India, said there will be virtually no impact on their ongoing projects in India.

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The response was similar from India’s leading engineering and construction major Larsen and Toubro Ltd, which said its exposure in Dubai was around $20-$25 million.

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Futures Trading in Rice, Sugar and Pulses Should be Banned

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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'Futures trading in rice, sugar and pulses should be banned'

‘Futures trading in rice, sugar and pulses should be banned’:

A parliamentary panel today suggested that futures trading should be banned in case of wheat, rice, sugar and some pulses till the country becomes self sufficient in these food items.


The Estimates Committee asked the government to bring a new legislation to control the retail prices of essential commodities like rice,wheat, pulses, edible oils, sugar, milk and vegetables.


On futures trading, the report said: “Since food security of the country is at the stake, the Committee recommends that futures trading in wheat, rice, tur dal, urad dal and sugar should be banned till the country achieves self-sufficiency in the production of these items on a continuous basis”.


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In Other major Commodities Updates we can see exports of Spice declining and on the other hand price of pulses rising up 80% in a year time.

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Spice exports decline 1.3% in April-October:

Exports of spices fell 1.3 per cent in volume and 1.6 per cent in value during the April-October period of the current financial year.


According to the latest estimates of Spices Board, total exports in the period were 280,885 tonnes valued at Rs 3,031.59 crore against 284,560 tonnes valued at 3,080.25 crore in the same period last year.


Pepper exports suffered a serious setback as the figures dropped to 11,500 tonnes valued at Rs 179.16 crore as against 14,750 tonnes valued at Rs 246. 70 crore in the same period last year.


Export of chilli also declined to 100,500 tonnes valued at Rs 706.50 crore as against 121,500 tonnes valued at Rs 660.17 crore.


Coriander exports had a better performance at 25,250 tonnes valued at Rs 128.12 crore against 17,100 tonnes valued at Rs 116.80 crore.

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Pulse prices rise up to 80 per cent in one year:

The government today said prices of pulses have surged by up to 80 per cent in the national capital over the last one year.


While prices of tur have gone up by 80 per cent in the last one year to Rs 90 a kg, that of moong dal surged 74 per cent to Rs 82, according to the data presented by Food and Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar in a written reply to the Lok Sabha.


Even import of about 16 lakh tonnes of pulses between April and October has not eased pressure on the prices, the data showed.

Not just pulses, prices of sugar have almost doubled to Rs 38 a kg.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please Click Here

RIL See Retail Sector as Major Value Creator : Ambani

RIL See Retail Sector as an Major Value Creator : Ambani

Reliance Industries has identified retail sector as an important component of its five-platform roadmap for value creation.

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The other value creators include conventional and renewable energy space, innovation and rural transformation, RIL chairman Mukesh Ambani said.


Reliance’s efforts would be on expanding the edifice created by Reliance Retail at the customer end and reinforcing supply chain and logistics,” the chairman said.

Ambani added that Reliance Retail would expand to new cities, markets and form strategic alliances.

This would be done through nearly 1,000 stores, while it has 900 stores across 86 cities.

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The retail company has run up losses over Rs 450 crore in last fiscal.

Ambani said RIL would diversity its conventional energy space with new accumulations in three years.

RIL proposes to accelerate their campaign in the Krishna-Godavari basin,as per the chairman.


Meanwhile, the gas production levels have crossed six billion cubic metres and the D6 field is slated for plateau production by the second half of the year 2010.

Oil production from the D26 field has 2.8 million barrels with daily peak production expected by the end of the year.


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With current cash balance of nearly Rs 19,420 crore, the company expects to be debt free in 21 months, Ambani said.

Even in difficult economic environment, RIL’s capital expenditure was Rs 24,713 crore ($4.9 billion).

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However, the stock market was not enthused.


On the BSE, RIL stock saw a marginal drop of 0.65 per cent to close at Rs 2,133.75 per share.

“Whatever Mr Ambani has said is old. There is nothing to cheer investors.However, overall sentiment is positive.”

Jagannadham Thunuguntla, head, SMC Capital, and other market analysts feels so.

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SEBI Allows Auctions for QIBs in FPOs :)

SEBI Allows Auctions for QIBs in FPOs

Market regulator, SEBI has introduced a significant change in the way institutional bidders invest in follow-on public offers by allowing allotments through auctions.

 

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has amended the Issue of Capital and Disclosure Requirements Regulations (ICDR) to allow pure auctions for qualified institutional investors (QIBs) in follow-on public offerings to begin with.


The method may be later extended to initial public offerings.

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Under the new method, bidders will be free to bid at any price above the floor price.

At present, allotments are made at the floor price.

Retail investors, however , will be allotted shares at the floor price.

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The board also decided that the issuer is free to place a cap either in terms of the number of shares or percentage to issued capital of the company so that a single bidder does not garner all the shares on offer, ensuring a wider distribution of shareholding.

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Jagannadham Thunuguntla, Equity Head,  SMC Capitals, said this means an institutional investor can continue to bid above the floor price and the QIB allotment will be made to the highest bidder.


“The intent is to enable companies to mop up more funds. Earlier, even when there were huge subscriptions and huge demand for an issue, the company could not get more money. This becomes more relevant in the context of the recently announced divestment plans and FPOs by the government for public sector units,” he said.

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Auction for QIBs is welcome as it would allow risk-taking entities and not just the promoters to be a part of the price discovery process, other analyst said.


A SEBI release issued after the board meeting also said the minimum market capitalisation required by listed firms to sell shares in follow-on offerings has been halved to Rs.5,000 crores  from Rs 10,000 crore.

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Moreover, the market regulator has also made it a mandatory that all listed companies would have to furnish audited or un-audited balance sheets on a half-yearly basis within 45 days from the end of the quarter instead of the current yearly basis.

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This would imply that Indian companies will be required to disclose balance sheet items.


Shareholders would be able to access the statement of assets and liabilities of the company and its solvency position on a half-yearly basis.


Shareholders would receive immense help in making informed investment decisions now and would be in better position to assess the financial health of the companies, with the implementation of this SEBI regulation of mandating frequent disclosure of the asset-liability position of companies by companies.

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