Archive for the ‘Gilts Fund’ Category

EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW JANUARY 2010

EQUITY MARKET OVERVIEW JANUARY 2010

.

The year 2009 was an unconventional year with surprises galore.

The sharp recovery in the benchmark Sensex is evident of the same.

.

The year came with some shocks and some surprises, be it Satyam opening the Pandora’s Box, government coming to the rescue through fiscal stimulus or gold touching the new highs.


With appreciation of more than 75%, 2009 calendar year emerged as the best year bringing back hope and strengthening the faith and confidence of investors.

.

As we welcome the New Year, let’s have a glance at how was the sunset of 2009 with the happenings in the month of December.


The month started with not much action as the indices were little changed as every rise was seen as an opportunity to book profits as fear of rising inflation barred investors from building large positions.

.


The India’s industrial output jumped 11.7% in November 2009 from a year earlier, helped by stimulus measures and robust domestic demand.


The momentum in the country’s industrial output is likely to sustain in the coming months.


The facility for Indian companies to buy back their Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) under the automatic route and approval route would be discontinued from January 2010 due to the improvement in the equity market.

.

The central bank said it would allow non-bank financial companies which are focused on financing infrastructure projects to borrow from overseas markets under the approval route.


During the middle of the month, profit taking pulled the key benchmark indices lower.

.


The worst monsoon since 1972 and flood in some parts of the country have pushed up food prices nearly to 17.28% annually in beginning of January, while the headline inflation accelerated to 7.31% in December.


The food supplies need to be boosted to stem the price rise as the current acceleration in inflation rate is not only due to loose monetary stance.


The government towards this, has cut the open sale price of wheat, while ministers have pledged to import food items that are in short supply to boost local supplies and stem inflation.

.

Dollar also showed strength and sparked fears of unwinding of dollar carry trade.

The Christmas week saw a ‘Santa Claus’ rally that took the market to 19 months’ closing high in a truncated trading week.

.

Further, the latest data showed that corporate advance tax payments for the October-December 2009 quarter shot up sharply, suggesting a higher profit growth in corporate sector in the third quarter (October-December) of the current fiscal.

.


The corporate advance tax payments for the quarter were up 44% to Rs.48300 crore against a 3.7% decline in April-June quarter and a 14.7% increase in July-September quarter.


The company-wise break-up of advance tax collection suggests a broad-based recovery with automobiles, cement, metals and consumer goods, doing well.

.

Amidst all this, we had the Finance Minister‘s statement that containing inflation and cutting fiscal deficit are the major challenges for the government in the short-to-medium term.


Towards this the government can even alter the proposed draft for the direct tax code to sustain the high economic growth.

🙂


Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please Click Here

Advertisements

2009 Turned Out To Be Worst for Gilts Funds

2009 turned out to be a worst for gilt funds

.

2009 turned out to be one of the worst for gilt funds, which offered the best returns to investors in a gloomy and uncertain 2008.

.

On the other hand, 2009 proved to be a good year for diversified equity mutual funds (MFs).

.

Most gilt funds gave more than 20% growth in 2008 with the best one topping the performance chart with a 44.8% increase in a year which saw equity funds post 34.2% to 80.4% losses.

.

While diversified equity funds are back on top this year, gilt funds have slipped considerably due to the sharp rise in yields on government securities (G-Secs).

.

The yield on the 10-year government bond has moved up by about 2.5% in 2009 bringing down bond prices.

.

Prices of the 6.05% 10-year government bond issued in February 2009 is about Rs 11 lower than its opening price.

.

Bond prices and bond yields are inversely related.

Rising yields have pushed down bond prices affecting the performance of gilt funds, which invest primarily in G-Secs.

.

Only seven out of the 40-odd medium-term and long-term gilt funds have shown growth in 2009 while the 15-odd short-term gilt funds have shown only a marginal increase.

.

While the market was expecting net government borrowings at Rs 1.1 lakh crore, it came at over Rs 3 lakh crore.

The gross borrowings for financial 2010 would be around Rs 4.51 lakh crore.

🙂