Archive for the ‘futures’ Category

Farmers in Upbeat Mood over Prospects of Commercial Crops

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the globe.

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Farmers in Upbeat Mood over Prospects of Commercial Crops

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Farmers in upbeat mood over prospects of commercial crops

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Vagaries of nature may have dampened the mood of farmers in the district of Guntur in Andhra Pradesh with fears lingering over decrease in the yield, but the first signs in the yield of commercial crops are already indicating towards a record production.

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The prolonged drought which delayed the sowing operations in kharif last year meant that the acreage has decreased by about 20,000 acres.

The year 2008-2009, the paddy yield has shot up to 12.96 MT in 2009-2010.

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The drought, however, seems to have hit the prospects of cotton farmers as the yield had been reduced by 1.25 lakh MT.

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As against the total yield of 6.61 lakh MT in the year 2008-2009, the yield has fallen to 5.36 lakh MT in the year 2009-2010.

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In comparison, chilli farmers are smiling as both the acreage and production have shot up considerably.

The yield has shot up by 40,000 MT and the acreage too has increased by about 40,000 hectares.

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In the year 2008-2009, statistics available with the Agriculture Department showed that, chilli was sown in 63, 628 hectares and the cultivable area went up by 67, 867 hectares.

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In Other major Commodities Update, there is a news of soyabeans and corn rice rising the most last week and on the other news, sugar prices surging up by Rs 14/kg in Kerala after the subsidy rollback by state govt.

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Soybeans, Corn Rise Ahead of U.S. Forecasts for Crop Reserves:

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Soybeans rose the most in almost a week on speculation that U.S. crop reserves may be lower than earlier estimates.

Corn and wheat also advanced.

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Soybeans for March delivery rose as much as 13.25 cents, or 1.5 percent, on the Chicago Board of Trade, the biggest intraday gain since Feb. 2.

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The U.S. Department of Agriculture is expected to cut its projection for soybeans reserves before the 2010 harvests to 221 million bushels in a report on Feb. 9, from the 245 million estimated last month, a Bloomberg News survey showed.

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🙂

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Subsidy rollback pushes sugar prices by Rs 14/kg in Kerala:

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Kerala government’s recent decision to stop Rs 28-crore subsidy to its grocery retailing arm Supplyco has pushed sugar prices by around Rs 14 per kg in Supplyco’s outfits.

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Though, sugar prices in state-run shops is still lower than the open market price of around Rs 45 per kg or even Nafed-fixed price of Rs 41 per kg, but low stocks have minimized the benefit of low prices.

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ECBs and FCCBs Dropped 6% in Dec 2009 !

external commercial borrowings (ECBs) and foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) have dropped 6% in December 2009

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Total approvals received by Indian companies to raise capital by way of external commercial borrowings (ECBs) and foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) have dropped 6% in December 2009 to $1.56 billion as against $1.66 billion in December 2008.

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This is as per the data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).

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Total approvals received by Indian companies to raise capital by ECBs and FCCBs stood at $2.35 billion in November 2009.

There were about 68 deals in December 2009, out of which three deals were by way of FCCBs.

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Daimler India Commercial Vehicles Pvt Ltd raised $402 million by way of ECBs for new projects for a maturity period of eight years and 11 months.

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“The ECB market is definitely looking bullish for 2010, however the robustness will not be the way it was in 2007.

Indian banks are also not lending to the corporates here.

Hence, there will be appetite for foreign funds. However, there is a challenge on the forex fluctuation risk as well,” noted Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head with SMC Capital.

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According to market analysts, more Indian companies are going to take the ECB route to raise funds, with the interest rates heading northwards in India.

Currently there is also more demand for short-term funds.

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🙂

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Food Inflation Rose for the Second Week on the Trot

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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Food Inflation Rises for the Second Week

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Food inflation rises for the second week

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Annual food inflation rose for the second week on the trot, affirming RBI’s fears of a spill over into other commodities and services and mounting pressure on the government to take more measures to arrest prices.

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Annual inflation in food articles rose to 17.56 per cent for the week ended January 23 from 17.4 per cent in the previous week, partly due to a poor harvest after the worst monsoon in nearly three decades, according to data released by the commerce ministry on Thursday.

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While prices of wheat, pulses and vegetables have increased, cereals and rice have become cheaper.

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Fuel price inflation, in tandem with global oil prices, increased to 5.88 per cent from 5.7 per cent in the previous week, spurred by a spike in light diesel oil and furnace oil prices.

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The wider inflation, as measured by the wholesale price index (WPI), has already risen to 7.31 per cent for December, forcing RBI to raise its forecast to 8.5 per cent for the fiscal year-end.

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In Other major Commodities Update, there is a news of Centre approving the largest quantity of wheat under its open market sale scheme (OMSS) for bulk buyers to consumers in the North zone and India’s corn exports could drop by 60 %in the year.

🙂

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Nod for salve of 4.4 Lt wheat in North:

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The Centre has approved the largest quantity of wheat amounting to 4.43 lakh tonne under its open market sale scheme (OMSS) for bulk buyers to consumers in the North zone.

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Sources said, for bulk consumers in South zone around 2,01,000 tonne of wheat has been approved by the government for sale from Food Corporation of India (FCI) godowns till now.

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While for East zone, largely comprising of states like West Bengal, Orrisa and Bihar, around 63,900 tonne of wheat has been approved.

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Almost 1,07,000 tonne of wheat has been approved for sale in West zone of the country and 9,500 tonne has been approved for North-Eastern states.

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Of the 8.4 lakh tonne of wheat, approved in total, almost 77% amounting to around 6.36 lakh tonne has been lifted by bulk consumers till Wednesday.

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Corn exports likely to decline 60% this year:

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India’s corn exports could drop by 60 % in the year to September due to a poor domestic crop, quality issues, lower global prices and good crop prospects overseas, traders and industry officials said on Thursday.

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Likely exports are between 1.0-1.3 million tonne due to late harvests because of the drought and rising domestic demand, Amit Sachdev, India representative of the US Grains Council said.

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🙂

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Rising Food Prices Burden the Poor

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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Rising Food Prices Burden the Poor

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Rising prices burden the poor:

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Rising prices of essential commodities coupled with wage deflation and increasing joblessness are pushing the poor households in India to a point of distress.

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Cosmetic measures of the government are unable to address the situation.

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The government of the day is harping upon the idea that an annual GDP growth rate in the range of 7% to 9% would be able to address the situation.

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The country has already experienced a GDP growth rate of 7.9% in the second quarter of the current fiscal 2009-10, but the situation has not improved.

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This is enough to prove that the GDP growth rate alone would not solve the problem.

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Government’s heavy dose of fiscal stimulus can give a big push to the corporate performance and post a good industrial growth which has already been possible in the second quarter of the current fiscal year.

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In Other major Commodities Updates we have information regarding dip in sugar output and regarding centre’s direction to state govts to rationalise taxes on food items in order to check price rise.

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Sugar Output dips 2 lakh tonne:

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India produced 7.84 million tonne (78.4 lakh tonne) sugar till January 15 in the current season (October-September), lower by 2 lakh tonne compared to the output in the same period last year, industry body Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) said.

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ISMA attributed the fall in output to sluggish supply of the cane in Uttar Pradesh, the second largest sugar producing state.

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Centre to ask state govts to rationalise taxes on food items to check price rise:

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The central government is expected to strongly emphasize on states the need to rationalize their tax structure on food grains and sugar to bring down price of essential commodities at the forthcoming meeting of state chief ministers later this week.

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Prime Minister Manmohan Singh will hold the review meeting on food prices with state chief ministers.

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According to official sources, agriculture minister Sharad Pawar is also expected to list the steps taken by the central government including :

extension of deadline for white and raw sugar, extra allocations of wheat and rice over normal PDS supplies—announced after the meeting of cabinet committee on prices last month.

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🙂

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Weekly Update of The Market (1st – 5th February) Part 1

Hello Friends, here, we bring you the weekly overview of the Indian as well as of the Global economy and along with the latest global business and industry updates.

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Weekly Update of The Market (1st - 5th February) Part 1

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A bout of volatility was witnessed in the domestic market throughout the week due to

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1.  F&O expiry,

2.  unfavorable global cues because of gloomy earnings forecast,

3.  anxiety about China‘s monetary tightening,

4.  the deteriorating finances of countries ranging from Greece to Japan and

5.  India’s central bank‘s decision to raise the CRR to 5.75.

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But on later days of the week, US Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged boosted sentiments of global markets.

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Closer home, investors also heaved a sigh of relief as the central bank kept key interest rates unchanged at the quarterly policy review indicating that it would maintain a balance between price stability and growth and raised its GDP growth projection for the current fiscal to 7.5 %.

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The RBI at its quarterly monetary policy review raised CRR by 75 basis points to suck out excess liquidity from the banking system to the tune of Rs 36000 crore.

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On the flip side, the challenges that RBI foresees for the economy is fiscal consolidation.

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The central bank lifted its wholesale price index inflation forecast for the end of the fiscal year in March 2010 to 8.5% from its earlier forecast of 6.5%.

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RBI also said it expected inflation to moderate starting in July 2010, assuming a normal monsoon and global oil prices holding at current levels.

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Moreover, US Federal Reserve too maintained interest rates at near zero levels and vowed to do so for an extended period of time.

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Additionally, it also signaled its intention of unwinding the massive monetary stimulus that it had undertaken during the peak of the crisis.

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🙂

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Stay Tuned for More on weekly updates.

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

Rajasthan Exempts VAT on Sugar

Hello Friends here we come up with the Latest Agri Commodities updates from various parts of the country.

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Rajasthan exempts VAT on sugar

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Rajasthan exempts VAT on Sugar:

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Now sugar would be cheaper by Rs 2 in Rajasthan.

Rajasthan government has decided to exempt VAT on imported sugar in the state till June 30.

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This will help in reining the spiralling sugar prices in a week’s time.

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“The state imposes 4% VAT on sugar. With this exemption, the prices will go down by Rs 160 per quintal,’ says a government official.

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According to Indian Sugar Mills Association, the world sugar economy is facing significant gap between world consumption and production for the second consecutive year.

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The first revision of the world sugar balance for October 2009 to September 2010 puts world production at 159.887 million tonnes, raw value, up by 6.911 million tonnes or 4.5% from the last season.

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The global use of sugar is expected to reach 167.134 mn tonnes.

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Therefore, the world statistical deficit is expected to reach 7.247 million tonnes as against 8.404 million tonnes projected in September 2009.

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Sugar Trade Association of Rajasthan secretary Ballabh Kabra said that this decision can make way for sugar mills to buy imported sugar. “This is the first step to cool down the prices.

We are waiting for government’s nod for importing sugar on our own.

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Sugar prices in Rajasthan are hovering around Rs 41- 43 a kg.

Apart from 4% VAT, sugar attracts mandi tax of 1.6% and an entry tax of 0.25% in Rajasthan,” he said.

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In Other major Commodities Update, we have news about the easing of food prices in coming days as signaled by the Food and Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar.

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Food prices to ease next fiscal: Pawar

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Food prices are expected to decline in the next fiscal on the back of higher farm output and the only worry then for the government would be on storage, Food and Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar has said.

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He, however, said that the country would remain import dependent when it came to pulses and edible oils for the next 10 years.

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On the possibility of prices coming down in the next financial year beginning April one, Pawar told in an interview to a news channel: “100 per cent”.

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In 2011-12 the problem which the government of India will have to worry about (is) what to do and where to store”.

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Food inflation touched 17.40 per cent for the week ended January 16 on account of high prices of vegetables and pulses.

On controlling prices of pulses, the minister said.

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🙂

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RBI Increases CRR, Kicked off its War against Inflation

RBI Increases CRR, Kicked off its War against Inflation

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has kicked off its war against inflation and build-up of inflationary pressures by announcing a surprise increase of 75 basis points in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR).

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Cash reserve ratio is the minimum liquid assets, banks have to retain against deposits or park with the central bank in the form of government securities.

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The CRR will be hiked in two stages : 50 basis points from Feb 13 and another 25 basis from Feb 27 – from the present 5 percent, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor D Subbarao told.

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However, in a cautious move not to disrupt the money supply, the RBI left the key policy rates – repo and reverse repo – unchanged.

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“As a result of this increase in the CRR, about Rs.36,000 crore of excess liquidity will be absorbed from the system,” Subbarao added, as he presented the third quarterly update of the central bank’s monetary policy for this fiscal.

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Subbarao said the cut in excess liquidity will help anchor inflationary expectations and that the recovery process of the economy will be supported without compromising on price stability.

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As inflation was steadily growing and the economy was slowly returning to higher growth trajectory, it was expected that the RBI would tighten monetary policy.

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But the 75-bps hike, according to investors, is a “more hawkish” move than many expected.

The market had expected and was prepared for a 50-bps hike.

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Central bank has said the action was necessary as the “rapidly rising” food inflation was putting pressure on other sectors as well.

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India’s inflation jumped to 7.31 percent in December, 2009 from 4.78 percent in November, mainly driven by high food prices.

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The questions cropping up as a result of this move are :

-Will this move by the central bank going to check the inflation?

-Moreover, what implications this step holds for the economic growth?

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Stay Tuned for More.. 🙂

Lets Know About Economic Indicators :)

Hello Friends here we come up with our another write up on “SMC Gyan Series”.

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Lets Know About Economic Indicators

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Topic is “Economic Indicators”.

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Economic indicators are important as they provide an accurate account of nation‘s economy at various points of time.

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There are various types of economic indicators that deal with different periods of time and there are others that deal with separate administrative divisions like states for example.

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They are important in context of analyzing nation’s economy.

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In this Blog, we would know what are major economic indicators ?

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Major Economic Indicators :

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1. Industrial Production:

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Measures the change in the production of the nation’s factories, mines and utilities, industrial production.

Also measures the country’s industrial capacity utilization.

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

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Indicates the pace at which a country’s economy is growing or shrinking.

3. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI):

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This index includes data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export and import orders.

4. Producer Price Index (PPI):

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Measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture, and electric utility industries.

The PPIs most often used for economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude goods.

5. Consumer Price Index (CPI):

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Measures the average price level paid by urban consumers (80% of the population in major currency countries) for a fixed basket of goods and services.

6. Durable Goods:

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Measures new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods.

This figure is a useful measure of certain kinds of customer demand.

7. Employment Cost Index (ECI):

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ECI counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation’s business and government establishments.

8.Retail Sales:

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It is the indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences.

9. Housing Starts :

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Measures the number of residential units on which construction is begun each month.

Thus to conclude Economic indicators is a tool for an investor for knowing the economic world.

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It also simultaneously a tool to smartly make money out of the sensitive movements of the financial & commodities market.

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