India’s Merchandise Exports Rise After 13 Months of Sliding

India’s Merchandise Exports Rise After 13 Months of Sliding

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The economy really got a cheerful start to the New Year.

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After 13 consecutive months of sliding, India’s merchandise exports — which contribute a fifth to GDP — rose 18.2% in November to $13.2 billion.

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Imports remained in the negative zone declining by 2.6% to $22.88 billion.

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This has led to a lower trade gap of $9.69 billion during the month under review against $12.32 billion in the same period a year ago.

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🙂

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For April-November, exports were lower by 22.3% at $104.2 billion from a year-ago period, much lower than the 26% gap seen up to October.

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But as an indicator to a pickup in the econmic activity, contraction in imports during November was much lower than 15% seen in October.

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🙂

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But industry and analysts alike cautioned against taking the year-on-year growth in exports as a sign of firm revival.

That is because part of the growth is due to the lower base of exports last year during this period.

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Notwithstanding the lower base, it is also a fact that there has been a revival in global demand too.

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🙂

Market analysts feel that 2010 could belong to exporters provided government continue with the stimulus, particularly interest subsidy.

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Exporters however feels that it would be difficult to sustain double-digit growth as the November rise is partly due to pre-Christmas orders from abroad.

So despite the positive growth, the country’s overseas shipments in the current fiscal will be much lower than the $185 billion notched last year.

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🙂

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