Archive for November 28th, 2009

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? “No” Says India’s Think Tank :)

 

Dubai Woes to Hit India Hard? "No" Says India's Think Tank


Indian policy-makers
are not really worried over the potential adverse impact on the country’s economy because of the multi-billion-dollar debt default risk faced by Dubai World, ranked among the largest conglomerates in the region.

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Commerce Minister Anand Sharma said “India is a very large economy. It is a resilient economy”.

“I don’t think some development in real estate in Dubai will have an impact on the Indian economy” he added.

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🙂

He also said “As far as India is concerned, the housing, real estate sector and construction industry are all doing well.

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This is confirmed by the increasing demand for construction materials, cement and steel,”

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Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla also saw little impact of the Dubai World’s woes on the country’s economy.

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Though he was a trifle more circumspect and preferred to watch the situation before hazarding a guess.

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“We will have to study what the issue is, what is the problem, what will be the possible implication if any for the Indian economy, the people and corporates,” Chawla told.

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🙂

Asked if the crisis will impact money flows into India,since the Gulf region accounts for over half the total inward remittances worth over $25 billion annually from expatriate Indians,

Chawla said: “It’s unlikely.”

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The state-run Dubai World stunned the global financial world Thursday when it announced it would need to restructure its debt, estimated at $59 billion, to preempt default and asked creditors for a six-month deferment.

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The conglomerate, which has a host of companies under its fold, has interests in a wide range of businesses such as realty, infrastructure, logistics and economic zones.

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And that is not just in the region but across a clutch of countries including India.

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🙂

Indian equities reacted adversely to the development, with the benchmark sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) down as much as 634.16 points, or 3.76 percent, midway into the trading session Friday.

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It later recovered and closed with a loss of some 220 points, or 1.3 percent over the previous close.

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🙂

Indian markets have rallied more than 100 percent from the lows a year ago,mostly backed by news of recovery and not necessarily on fundamentals,”

said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of brokerage firm SMC Capital.

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“This is why such news will have a negative impact on our markets and we will be dragged down,” Thunuguntla, who heads the equities division of SMC Capital told.

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Even some Gulf-based companies, like Emmar, which have business interests in India, said there will be virtually no impact on their ongoing projects in India.

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The response was similar from India’s leading engineering and construction major Larsen and Toubro Ltd, which said its exposure in Dubai was around $20-$25 million.

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🙂

India’s Wealth Lies in Its Cities

It was once believed that India lives in its villages.

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Now it is clear that India’s wealth lies in its cities, or more specifically, Mumbai.

 

India's Wealth Lies in Its Cities

A study conducted by Delhi-based SMC Global classified companies geographically on the location of their registered offices.

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It reveals that Mumbai-registered companies account for 36.28% of the total BSE 500 market cap.

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Some of the prominent names based out of Mumbai are Reliance Industries, L&T, HDFC and SBI.

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Also, out of the market capitalisation ascribed to Maharashtra which has the highest market capitalization among the states — more than 90% originates from Mumbai.

🙂

In fact, Mumbai and six other cities account for 85.71% of the total market capitalisation of BSE 500.

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With Delhi NCR (National Capital Region, which includes satellite cities such as Gurgaon and Noida along with the capital) contributing 27.82%.

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After the financial and political capitals, state capitals take the fore.

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Bangalore lays claim to 7.10%,

Hyderabad to 4.86% and Kolkata accounts for 3.83%,

while Ahmedabad and Chennai account for 3.35% and 2.47%, respectively.

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On a state-wide basis, five states in combination with Delhi NCR and Maharashtra account for 94.20% of the total market cap.

A total of 66.17% of the index’s market cap can be traced to Maharashtra and Delhi NCR.

While the latter accounts for 38.35%, Delhi accounts 27.82%.

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Karnataka accounts for 7.74%, Gujarat, 7.48%, Andhra Pradesh is at 4.95% and Tamil Nadu at 4.02%, while Bengal has 3.83%.

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Though the big Indian companies have a pan-India presence with factories or plants located across the country, they tend to have registered offices in metros.

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That is because of the ease of operations and presence of other corporate houses, suggested the study.

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“The traditional metro cities have accumulation advantage.

Its ultimately the money which brings in more money.

As the Indian economy keeps evolving, tier-2 and tier-3 cities may catchup gradually, to bring-in more equitable distribution of wealth across the country.”

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…said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

🙂