Archive for November 3rd, 2009

Downward Movement Hits Indian Equities Markets

Downward Movement Hits Indian Equities Markets

Downward Movement Hits Indian Equities Markets

Indian equities markets entered into a consolidation zone with analysts terming the downward movement as long expected.

A benchmark index fell 5.44 percent from its last weekly close and ended trade below the 16,000-mark.

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The 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) ended 914.53 points, or 5.44 percent lower, at 15,896.28 points at the weekly close Friday, as opposed to the previous week’s close at 16,810.81 points.

The broader S&P CNX Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE), too slipped, closing at 4,711.7 points, down 5.7 percent from its last weekly close.

However, companies with large-to-medium market capitalization saw greater selling with the BSE midcap index ending 7.36 percent lower and the BSE smallcap index losing 8.01 percent over the last week.

“This consolidation was expected anyways as the valuations were not commensurate with the earnings of corporates. To an extent a correction in valuations was warranted,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equities head of brokerage and capital markets consultancy SMC Capital.

The markets started on a cautious note Monday ahead of the Reserve Bank of India‘s mid-year policy review Tuesday.

The Sensex ended a volatile day at 16,740.50 points — 70.31 points or 0.42 percent lower than Friday’s close.

The Nifty followed a similar trajectory and ended in negative at 4,970.9 points, down 0.52 percent.

Both benchmark indices nosedived Tuesday as the RBI indicated in its policy review that it would start tightening the monetary policy and look at exiting the stimulus measures.

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Data with markets watchdog Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) showed that foreign funds were net sellers during the week, having sold scrips worth $12.8 million.

The top gainers this week on the Sensex were

Tata Motors (up 7.2 percent),
Ranbaxy Labs (up 4.8 percent),
Wipro (up 2.9 percent),
Grasim (up 1.6 percent) and
Hindustan Unilever (up 1 percent).

The top losers were :

DLF (down 18.5 percent),
Reliance Capital (down 14.5 percent),
Reliance Infrastructure (down 14.2 percent),
Hindalco (down 13.9 percent) and
Reliance Power (down 12.9 percent).

“Broadly speaking only about one percent of the quarterly results show a sound top line growth. Profits might have increased, but that is not because of increase in core operations – cost cutting and other income have contributed towards it,” said Thunuguntla.

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SEBI May Reduce the Trading Holidays at Bourses

SEBI May Reduce the Trading Holidays at Bourses

SEBI May Reduce the Trading Holidays at Bourses

Market regulator SEBI is looking into a proposal by several investors to allow fewer trading holidays on stock exchanges in line with the global practice.

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β€œSEBI is actively considering the proposal to reduce the trading holidays at bourses and is likely to take a decision on the matter soon,” an official close to the development said.


According to analysts, this move by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) will increase the trading volume in domestic bourses and would also attract foreign investors.


SMC Capitals Equity Head Jagannadham Thunuguntla said,

β€œFrom the global standards, India has more number of trading holidays. The reducing of holidays would increase the participation of investors, including the foreign ones, and would increase the trading volume,” he said.

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For 2009, the Bombay Stock Exchange has 19 listed trading holidays and these exclude the weekly Saturday and Sunday off.

In developed countries, the trading holiday at leading bourses are far less.

For 2009, there are only nine trading holidays on the New York Stock Exchange.

In European markets, there are just four holidays this year excluding Saturdays and Sundays.

Recently, Sebi opened gates for longer trading hours for stock exchanges, allowing the bourses to extend market hours by around two-and-a-half hours between 9 am and 5 pm.

The market regulator had further asked the bourses to reset their timings provided they have in place risk management system and infrastructure commensurate to the trading hours.

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Bear and Bull Part 2

Hello Friends,

Just an extension of our previous blog ” Bear and Bull Part 1″.

Both bull and bear markets are inevitable

Both bull and bear markets are inevitable

In this Blog we would touch upon if bull and bear markets are inevitable and what are the basics investors should keep in mind while trading in bear and bull market πŸ™‚

Both bull and bear markets are inevitable!

Smart investors try to anticipate both events to profit from their eventuality.

Bear markets are generally shorter in duration than bull markets.

To avoid being hurt by bear markets you must recognize the signs early and move part of your assets into cash equivalent investments.

It is recommendable that one should invest for the long term. Don’t let the bears get you down!

The same thing is true of bears – don’t panic and sell low.

Let the bear market run its course, which history tells us is likely to be short.

On the other hand, a bull market can leave many investors feeling pretty good about their ability to prosper.

Their confidence bolstered by the good times.

Some even find themselves swept up in “Bull Market Myopia” and forget the basic tenets of smart investing, like asset allocation and portfolio diversification.

Holding good stocks through bull and bear markets is a prudent strategy.

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However, many investors feel that they do not want to be in the market during a bear market. It is difficult to predict when to move in and out of the market.

When a bear market ends, a strong upward move can occur in a short time.

If you are not in the market you will miss the move. The probability that your timing will be wrong is very high.

Unlike slow-starting bull markets, bear markets may start with a mini-crash – a major drop within a few days when investors least expect it.

Many investors are afraid to get out of a bull market for fear of missing “big profits” at the top of the market.

This is a recipe for disaster!

It is also known as greed!

As a bull market continues to increase, investors should start to decrease their stock holdings and move them into cash or money markets accounts.

Now, besides bulls and bears there are two other animals in our zoo to keep watch for!

Ostriches:

Are investors who stick to their old strategies, oblivious to changes in the world around them.

And then there are the Hogs.

Bulls can make money. Bears can make money.

But Hogs are investors who are too greedy and usually get slaughtered!

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