Archive for the ‘Merchant Banking’ Category

Standard Chartered IDR : “Opportunity in Crisis”

Standard Chartered IDR : “Opportunity in Crisis”

By Jagannadham Thunuguntla

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The bad market conditions are putting pressure on the ongoing IPO of Standard Chartered IDR. However, if one closely observes, there is some opportunity emerging in the Standard Chartered IDR.

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What’s the trade?

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When the price of Indian IDR was fixed, the trading price of the Standard Chartered Plc share on London Stock Exchange was trading in the range of GBP 15.5.

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However, thanks to the stabilization of the global equity markets in the past 2 to 3 trading sessions, the price of the Standard Chartered Plc on London stock exchange has reached to the tune of GBP 16.82 on Thursday closing. Hence, the Indian rupee translation of the trading price in London stock exchange works out to the equivalent price of Rs 1140. As, there is 10:1 exchange rate, the effective equivalent price of Standard Chartered Indian IDR works out to Rs 114.

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If one observes, the Standard Chartered IDR issue book is getting built at the lower end of Rs 100.

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So, the institutional investors and large HNIs can take this opportunity, by simply applying for IDRs in the Indian public issue; and shorting the share in the London stock exchange. Hence, there is a spread of Rs. 14 (that is, between Rs. 114 and Rs. 100), that is 14%.

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This trade is more fascinating, especially, on the back of the fact that recently the listing days from the closure of the issue have been reduced to 12 days from the erstwhile 22 days. So, 14% is the spread available for a trade of just 12 days.

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Further, it is appearing that the IPO book will at best get barely subscribed one time. Hence, there is no risk of oversubscription. So, whoever applies is assured of allotment. Hence, as there is no spill-over risk due to oversubscription, this trade can really work well.

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It seems there is a clear 14% opportunity in just 12 days for institutions and large HNIs.

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Even if we assume that the final issue price will be in line with the Rs 104 per IDR, as applied by the Anchor investors, still there is Rs 10 spread (that is, between Rs 114 and Rs. 104), that is to the tune of about 10%.

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The couple of assumptions that need to be highlighted are:

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(a) The IDR issue will be able to get closed successfully and will not get called off; and

(b) The currency risk is properly hedged

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Conclusion

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As this is the first ever IDR issue in India, the learning curve will be steeper for every one associated in the value chain, regarding the concept and nuances of the modus operandi. As always, the “first mover advantage” can prove to be invaluable.

Indian Stock Market Reaction To Indian Budget :)

Indian stock markets, reacted positively to the budget, with a benchmark index breaking free to close 237 points higher than its previous weekly close. :)

The 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) moved up 237.92 points or 1.47 percent to end Friday at 16,429.55 points, 237 points above its previous weekly close at 16,191.63 points.

The broader S&P CNX Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) too posted gains to end the week at 4,922.3 points, up 77.4 points or 1.57 percent.

Broader market indices, however, ended the week in the red with the BSE midcap index closing 0.54 percent down and the BSE smallcap index 1.67 percent lower.

“Though it is not possible to keep everyone happy, the finance minister has done a commendable job. This was evident from the way markets reacted to the announcements,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, the equity head for brokerage firm SMC Capitals.

“The budget did help in breaking from the side-ways movement, but it is not going to help much going forward. A lot of the budget news has been factored in and one should not expect a major rally,” he added.

The top gainers during the week included Hindalco (up 7.7 percent), Maruti Suzuki (up 6.8 percent), L&T (up 6.2 percent), Hero Honda (up 5.5 percent) and ICICI Bank (up 5 percent).

Among top losers were ITC (down 6.5 percent), Reliance Communications (down 2.8 percent), Tata Power (down 2.2 percent), Hindustan Unilever (down 2.2 percent) and Reliance Industries (down 0.6 percent).

Data with markets watchdog Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) showed that foreign funds were net buyers during the week, having bought scrips worth $313.56 million.

Benchmark indices in the US ended slightly lower this week with Dow Jones industrial average dipping 0.8 percent, the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index 500 down 0.4 percent and the Nasdaq composite falling 0.3 percent.

How To Get Started in Online Investing? Final Part

Hello Friends here we come up with an extension of our previous blog “How To Get Started in Online Investing?” Part 1.

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How To Get Started in Online Investing?

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In previous blog, we have touched upon the questions, any beginner investors do have in their mind while going for investing.

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At the same time we had also tried to look in previous blog that what is Online Trading, resources needed first of all to invest online, few steps to start investing online and how SMC ONLINE helps investors in reaping the benefits of online trading.

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In this Blog, we would try to discuss about what are the further steps an investors need to take once the initial registrations are done with.

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:)

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Once the registration formalities are done with, you would be required to load your online investing trading account with funds.

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Once Funds would be deposited you would need to look out for the stocks on which you would like to invest prima facie.

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One thing you should bear in mind that before investing, you should do the in-depth research about the company’s profile, performances and services.

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In this respect investing firms like SMC ONLINE comes to your rescue usually by helping you with their excellent research support, stocks recommendations and quality statistics.

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These things are really very important while you invest in buying the shares of any company.

As a wise investor you should keep your eyes open, and don’t blindly trust anyone.

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Another very important thing is RISK FACTOR.

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You’ll have to take the risk in terms of investing your money in the stock market.

Stock market is a bit similar to gambling.

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But there is a big difference between the risk and calculated risk.

For a beginner, you should only go for calculated risk.

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Don’t put your entire money in terms of buying the shares of a new company, even if the future potential of that company seems very high.

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Start slowly, understand the market, earn some decent amount of money first of all and then go for big trading.

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Once you have gotten started, you should start by learning a little bit about chart reading.

If you can read the charts you will have a good idea what is going on.

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And as I said earlier, I would conclude this topic by saying that any beginner investor should look for a broker firm that gives good value for money with their commission fees.

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:)

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Stay Tuned for more and more on this :)

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However For More latest Industry,Stock Market and Economy News Updates, Click Here

Moneywise…Be Wise ;)

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If you find yourself asking the question –

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Why should I Save ?

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Why should I Invest ?

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Where do I Invest ?

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Who would Guide me to take informed decision on my Investments ?

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…then look no further !

Why SMC?

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SMC Group, a leading Financial services provider in India, a vertically integrated investment solutions company, with a pan-india presence is there to guide you and provide complete investment solutions to you.

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SMC Group, having rich experience of more then two decades in financial markets, is one of the largest & most reputed investment solutions company that provides a wide range of services to its client base of more than 5, 50,000 clients with presence in more then 1500 cities.

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SMC Online, an unit of SMC Group, is one stop financial investment portal for investor’s all financial needs.

Investors can trade online in Equities, FNO, Currency Futures, Commodities, apply online for IPOs, and invest online in Mutual Funds.

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SMC is :

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a) 4th Largest broking house of India in terms of trading terminals (Source: Dun and Bradsheet, 2008)

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b) 5th largest distributor of Initial Public Offering (IPOs) in retail (Source: Prime Data Ranking)

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c) Awarded ‘Fastest Growing Retail Distribution Network in Financial Services’ (Source: Business Sphere, 2008)

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d) Recipient of ‘Major Volume Driver Award’ from BSE for last three years consecutively.

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e) Nominated among the top three in the CNBC Optimix Financial Services Award 2008 under National Level Retail Category.

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f) One of the largest Proprietary Arbitrage Desk doing risk free arbitrage in equities & commodities.

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g) Commanding turnover of more then 3% in equity market, 4% in commodity market and 10% in DGCX.

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h) Transparent and professional management.

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j) Relentless focus on investor care.

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k) World class in-house research facilities providing research support to investors.

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l) All financial products and services under one roof.

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:)

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Next Blog we would try to read more about the other SMC’s investment products and services.

Stay Tuned for more on this :)

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To know more about the SMC Products and Services, click here.

Indian Private Equity Industry to Hit By US Banks Curbs : Experts

Indian Private Equity Industry to Hit By US Banks Curbs

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In case, US President Barack Obama‘s proposal to curb the role of commercial banks in hedge and PE funds is implemented, then fund-raising could indeed become a very tough task for Indian private equity players.

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But at the same time, the move could help Indian funds take part in more deals, market players insist.

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Obama has proposed to bar commercial banks from owning, advising and investing their own capital in PE and hedge funds.

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Though most investors in Indian PE funds are university funds, endowment funds, pension funds, insurance funds and institutional investors,  the industry expects the move to impact fund-raising in the long term and in big way, as banks will be barred from taking part in these funds.

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A large number of venture capital and PE funds of US-based commercial banks had reduced their exposure to India during the economic slowdown.

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Though few big ones like Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch etc; stayed back in the market.

Indian PE players hope to get more deals if these players vacate the market.

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Market experts do not see any significant impact in the coming few months, but cannot deny that a slowdown in USA market will surely impact the Indian private equity industry.

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They feel that any curbs on banks would make fund-raising a very difficult task since banks were the biggest contributors of funds.

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Industry players say the focus will shift from funds of banks to fund of funds, pension funds, and university and endowment funds.

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“It will be difficult to put a number as these transactions are structured in a complex manner.

But I believe a significant proportion of investments in India-based PE funds come from balance sheets of these banks.

These firms will be affected and will have to look for new sources of money,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head at SMC Capitals.

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:)

Wise Money Weekly Update of The Market (Week: 25th – 29th January)

Hello Friends, here, we bring you the weekly view of the Indian as well as of the Global markets and latest global business and industry updates..

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Wise Money Weekly Update of The Market (Week: 25th - 29th January)

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A sell-off in global stocks, disappointment from key corporate earnings like L&T, possibilities of further monetary tightening by China and US president‘s proposal to put new restrictions on big banks weighed heavily on the domestic markets.

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In the forthcoming week, domestic markets are expected to remain volatile as traders roll positions in the derivative segment from January 2010 series to February 2010 series.

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Markets will also take cue from monetary policy which is scheduled to come out on January 29.

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Though tightening is largely expected by way of Cash Reserve Ratio hike as RBI has already started the first phase of ‘exit’ in its October 2009 policy statement but there is a belief if the RBI sucks out some liquidity, it may not raise interest rates, since liquidity is excess in the system.

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The Indian food price inflation is largely due to supply constraints.

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But going ahead anticipation of decline in food price inflation & lower borrowing from government in future because of huge money raising plans through disinvestment are some of the factors that are likely to determine RBI stance on increasing policy rates.

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The widely watched wholesale price index rose an annual 7.3% in December 2009, its highest since November 2008 and accelerating from a 4.8 % rise in November 2009.

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Food prices rose 16.81 % in the 12 months to 9 January 2010, easing from nearly 20 % in early December.

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On the Global economic front, GDP of China returned to double-digit growth in the fourth quarter of 2009 at 10.7 percent, and over the full year GDP surpassed the government’s target of eight percent.

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Back at home, domestic economy, which grew at 7.9% in the September quarter, is expected to grow 6-6.5% in the December quarter.

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The World Bank has raised its forecast at 2.7% for global growth in 2010.

Moreover it has raised its forecast for US growth in 2010 to 2.5% growth, after predicting 1.8% in June.

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Japan’s gross domestic product will expand 1.3% this year, more than the 1% predicted in June.

The euro area’s economy is forecasted to grow 1%, compared with the earlier estimate of 0.5% expansion.

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:)

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Stay Tuned for More on this..

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Note : For More Latest Industry, Stock Market and Economy News and Updates, please click here

Hello Friends, here, we bring you the weekly view of the Indian as well as of the Global markets and latest global business and industry updates.

India’s Total External Debt Touched $243 Billion

India’s Total External Debt Touched $243 Billion

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India’s total external debt rose by 8.1% to $242.8 billion at the end of September 2009 from $224.6 billion at March-end 2009.

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The long term debt increased by 10.6% to $200.4 billion, while short term debt declined by 2.3% to $42.4 billion.

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Most of the increase in the debt ($8.3 billion or 45.6%) is due to depreciation of dollar against major global currencies, out of total increase of $18.2 billion, according to a finance ministry statement.

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The total external financial assets increased by $21 billion to $378.6 billion at September end 2009 over the previous quarter.

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Total external financial liabilities increased significantly by $32.7 billion over the previous quarter and stood at $476.4 billion at Septemberend 2009.

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Direct investment and Portfolio investment in India increased by $11 billion and $10.2 billion respectively over the previous quarter.

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Long-term debt at $ 220.4 billion accounted for 82.5% of the total debt.

As a positive development, India’s short term debt, which had increased sharply between March 2005 and March 2008, went down by $985 million to $42.4 billion at September-end.

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The decline was seen in all the components of short-term debt except trade related credits for period above six months and up to one year

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Short-term credit, that is a credit of less than 180 days, short-term liabilities of banking system and investment of foreign central banks and other global financial institutions in government’s treasury bills is considered bad for economy.

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:)

Corporate India set to prefer QIPs for Funds Raising in 2010

Corporate India set to prefer QIPs for Funds Raising in 2010

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Merchant bankers are of view that Qualified institutional placements (QIPs) are expected to still be the preferred route to raise money in 2010.

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Earlier, QIPs  had gained traction during the middle of the year but ran into valuation headwinds in the last quarter of 2009.

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In 2009, Indian companies had raised close to Rs 33,000 crore by way of 45 QIP issuances.

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Also, about 33 QIP issuances are trading above the issue price, while 12 issuances are trading below the issue price.

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2009 was the year of the QIPs.

QIPs are expected to rule the roost, as there is serious interest and appetite in the overseas markets for instruments like converts/ADRs/GDRs.

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QIP, which was introduced in May 2006, picked up momentum in 2007 and then stagnated in 2008 when the market was in a bear grip.

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Delhi-based real estate company Unitech successfully raised $325 million through a QIP in mid-April 2009.

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Later, Indiabulls Real Estate and PTC India raised Rs 2,657 crore and Rs 500 crore, respectively, through such placements.

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QIP is a private placement by which a company sells its shares to qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) on a discretionary basis with the two-week average price being the floor.

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In a QIP, unlike an IPO or PE investment, the window is shorter (four weeks) and money can be raised quickly.

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According to a study by SMC Capital, the 45 QIP issuances have resulted into a mark-to-market (MTM) return of about more than 21.60 per cent, amounting to a profit of about Rs 7,050 crore.

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Some of the QIP issuances trading significantly above the issue price are Unitech (first round of QIP issuance), Emami, Shree Renuka Sugars, HCC , United Spirits, Dewan Housing, etc.

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Those trading below the issue price are Network 18 Fincap, REI Agro, Indiabulls Financial Services, Punj Lloyd, Delta Corp.

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“The overall positive listing performance of QIPs in 2009 will encourage investors as well as Indian corporates to access this route for fund-rising in an aggressive manner,” says Jagannadham Thunuguntla, equity head, SMC Capitals.

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QIPs had hit a pause button when a large percentage of them ran into valuation headwinds, resulting in companies raising a much smaller amount than what was initially proposed.

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:)

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IRDA Allows Banks to Sell Insurance Products of Multiple Companies

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The Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority (IRDA) is likely to permit banks to sell insurance products of more than one company.

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The move will allow banks to retail insurance products and not just be distributor for one insurer.

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A panel, set up by the IRDA to look into bancassurance, is finalizing its report, an IRDA official said.

From 2002, IRDA had allowed bancassurance.

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A bank was allowed to act as an agent for only one life and one general insurer according to the norms.

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Bancassurance is a delivery channel in which an insurance company uses a bank”s sales channel to sell its products.

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At present, bancassurance garners more than a quarter of the entire premium collected by the insurance industry.

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Combining scheduled commercial banks, co-operative banks and regional rural development banks, India has close to 1,70,000 bank branches.

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IRDA has been concerned about tie-ups between banks and insurance companies and is considering a regulatory framework for an open architecture for such arrangements

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:)

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